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Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Price Cycle Nearing a Close

Source: bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis

While fundamental analysts predict a continued rally to $1000 and beyond for the foreseeable future, technical indicators paint a more detailed picture. According to the charts, the ride up to $1000 will be bumpy, with periods of profit taking and resistance, especially around the $800 range. 

Also read: Blockchain as the Matrix: Are We Entering a Virtual Life?

Technical Analysis: Bumps in the Road

Long-Term Analysis

 

Almost at the $820 technical objective level, a distribution zone could take place with a trading box among this resistance and $600.

Indicators reflect fiction prices at this level, with irregular trading volume because of the distribution activity depending on the fresh demand of new holders. However, the less volatility there is in a resistance level allows the contrary opinion theory, and main players should be placing their profit taking with a re-buying strategy at $600.

Major figures have been accomplished, and Fibonacci is getting fulfilled, as well as the Gann Angles Theory, rounded bottom pattern and every mathematical forecast.

Only news and fundamentals support the present climbing, and any of those components have the capability to smash the present scenario for a technical correction that ends the cycle to start another from the $600 level, with a sideways trading box zig-zagging to $820, leading into a rise to 1800 at the end of 2016.

Mid-Term Analysis

Now, prices are rising, reaching the distribution zone at $820 / $790, where a heavy short marketplace is expected.

According to indicators, the up-trend line is strong enough to accomplish this technical objective and to end this mid-term cycle with a short correction to $600, placing the quotes into a trading box among $820 and $600 in a three-month sideways lateral market that zig-zags the chart, ending the present scenario and starting a fresh one from the box to new technical objectives around $1800 at the end of 2016.

Only political data, fundamentals and hot news are sustaining the present rise, adding the wishful thinking of current players whom are anticipating a continued rally to the $1000 level.

Technical analysis points to a different situation introducing the possibility of a short distribution zone around $820 and re-buying area at $600 in a zig-zag movement for the next time period.

Short-Term Analysis

The only support remains at $600, while prices head towards resistance at $820, getting into a trading box with these top and bottom levels.

There are not any minima to take in account as with the mid-term analysis, but volume isn’t thick enough to ensure any of the picks as a technical goal.

If a correction movement takes place, it would be the end of a large cycle from the $1200 high in December 2013, and the start of after a zig-zag sideways lateral box lasting three months with 200 basis points in a trading active range, which can be considered by the direct observation of the volume activity.

As with every trading range, contingent orders will be placed in a pyramid model that recognizes the oscillator signals of slow stochastics and RSI from below $630 and over $790, in an attempt to harvest profits that lowers the main position cost in the forecasting of the new cycle rise to $1800 for the end of 2016.

Bitcoinist is not responsible for any gains or losses incurred while trading bitcoin. Trade at your own risk.

 

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Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Price Cycle Nearing a Close

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Čvn 18

Technical Analysis: Long-Term Bitcoin Price Corrections to Come?

Source: bitcoin

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis

As the bitcoin price rally gets into high gear, technical indicators at the long, mid and short term levels suggest that there could be corrections on the horizon, after a continued rise to $820 USD. 

Also read: Bitcoin Price Bursts Ahead, Nearing $700 USD

Let’s take a look at the indicators in the first installment of Bitcoinist.net’s new technical analysis series by Ramiro Burgos

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Long Term Analysis

Prices are breaking at every resistance placed by Gann Angles Theory, and also had left back the big triangle accomplishing all the technical objectives.

Taking on all the historical prices data, Fibonacci numbers at the 50% zone would be reached at $670, and the last forecasting on 62% is placed at $820, climbing to $1000 following the round numbers theory.

When we focus on the current recovering movement, the mathematical indicators still show strong signals to the bull market.

But the bubble is on, and every stop loss could follow the climb, producing an approximate 5% pull back. The present rise is just a long term technical correction from the bear market that started in November 2013, and finished in January 2015.

This long-term, upwards correction is about to end with a new correction to $600 as the current big support, likely creating a sideways lateral market and starting a new technical cycle from the new $600 level.

Midterm Analysis

After successive up-breaking, resistance quotes are arriving to a distribution zone, which could be between $670 and $820 due to long-term Fibonacci numbers indicating this up correction from the bear market which took place in 2014.

Now the strongest support shows itself at the recent broken resistance on $600, fixing trading activity among $670 and $820. According to indicators, the strong demand would let prices reach a new level to the up side buy that would be considered a distribution zone because of the overbuying signals from main volatility oscillators.

While investors is focus their math on the 100 level, moving stop losses are recommended on 5% spread behind spot prices, leaving time to accomplish the end of the present cycle, which could  happen in July 2016 or at $820.

Short-Term Analysis

The rising support at $600 seems to be strong enough, and prices still climbing over the 670 level trying to accomplish the long-term Fibonacci numbers at $820 level.

The distribution zone among 670 and 820 could be big enough to take the prices back to 600, creating a lateral sideways market starting a new long term cycle, and closing the current cycle that started on November 2013. This new cycle could have a similar duration as the November 2013 cycle currently coming to a close.

Traders should place moving stop losses at 2, 3 or 5%, but the new lateral sideways movement could have its resistance at $670 after we reach the projected $820 peak. Everybody should wait to sell their positions at $1000, but should also be aware of possible forced stop loss order activations at $820.

Bitcoinist is not responsible for any gains or losses incurred while trading bitcoin. Trade at your own risk.

Article written by Ramiro Burgos.

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Technical Analysis: Long-Term Bitcoin Price Corrections to Come?

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Čvn 05

Bitcoin Price Closer Than Ever to $600 as Bull Run Continues

Source: bitcoin

Bull Market Bitcoin

Bitcoin has done it again. In just a matter of days, the world’s favorite virtual currency has shot up in price by another $40 USD and is now hovering at around the $579 USD range at press time.

Also read: Bitcoin Price Finds Stability After Massive Bull Rally

Bitcoin Continues to Rise

As several fans and analysts proclaim, this rally is undoubtedly huge, and could likely spark a whole new era for bitcoin and digital currency. We are now just around the corner from $600 USD, and many feel that bitcoin could easily reach $680 USD within the coming weeks.

Initial reports claim that 2016 is fast becoming “bitcoin’s year.” According to blockchain.info, the currency has added approximately $1.2 billion USD to its growing market cap, and the recent drop in Ethereum to USD trading may have a lot to do with its rising stance. Bitcoin is now at  its highest in almost two years, and things are still looking up.

Despite the good news, however, some are arguing that traders should remain cautious.

As one source explains, data is suggesting that bitcoin may indeed be reaching the end of its present price spike and that the “price has not yet left the area of recent correction.” This means that bitcoin’s price is not presently showing clear signs that it will be moving forward again right away.

Furthermore, it is stated that investors should wait a little longer before throwing themselves and their funds directly into the growing bitcoin bin:

“The bitcoin price is pushing higher, but speculators should be cautious of the current position of price… The current risk is that today’s surge could only be an ending component.”

While words of caution like these should always be considered, it’s a little difficult to believe fully that things will end where they are. Such words have been thrown into the open air since bitcoin began its initial ascension last November, and it has remained relatively tight since then.

Sure, there have been a few blunders along the way — $15 here or $10 there — but bitcoin always manages to pull itself back together, and the loyalty of its fans has been repaid more often than not in recent months.

Some words of advice – don’t confuse caution with fear. Sitting around and doing nothing while others take action and reap the rewards is no way to live. That said, perhaps rushing in head-first isn’t exactly the best approach either. Give yourself time, and see about exploring ways around any possibly dangerous zones.

Will we hit $680? Post your thoughts and comments below!


Images courtesy of Globe Advisor, Bitcoinist.net.

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Bitcoin Price Closer Than Ever to 0 as Bull Run Continues

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