Zář 07

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Picking Up the Pieces

Let’s be honest, unless you’re short, yesterday was catastrophic. Bitcoin was just shy of breaking $7,500 and taking the rally up another leg then unexpectedly plunged 13% and now we’re below $7k, again…


Bitcoin Price Market Overview

Prior to the dump, Bitcoin price BTC/USD 00 was experiencing continued rejections as it approached $7,400 but who would have known the pullback would be this severe?

Ideally, after a 27%+ run, consistent rejections signal that bulls are running out of steam and a pullback to say $7,300 – $7,100 would be sensible as lower highs and rejections function as a profit taking signal for some.

On deeper reflection, there were some external signals that something was amuck. A wallet address rumored to be connected to the Silk Road mysteriously awoke after a nearly 4-and-a-half year long nap to quietly distribute 11,114 BTC to Bitfinex, 4,421 BTC to Binance and 210 BTC to BitMEX.

Reddit user Sick_Silk believes that this Silk Road connected wallet contains roughly $1 billion worth of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash and funds from a number of Bitcoin forks.

Add to this the occurrence of a $70 million short position being initiated last week and Tether’s recent repeat of a $100 million dollar USDT infusion to Bitfinex, and things certainly begin to look a bit funky.

So as Q-Tip would say, “What’s the scenario?”

Daily Chart

BTC was on the verge of escaping the long-term descending triangle at $7,500 and now trades below the 100-MA and 55-EMA. Fortunately, $6,300 – $6,200 have held and a dip below $6,000 seems less likely as the Stoch is already deeply oversold and a corrective rally to $6,650 could occur. Had BTC managed to climb above the descending trendline, a rally toward $8,300 might have occurred.

4-Hour Chart

BTC formed a double bottom at $6,308 and a previous support at $6,537 now serves as resistance. At the moment it appears that $6,500 is standing as a psychological resistance. We can expect resistance at the 20-MA and the 200-MA which nearly aligns with the 38.2% Fib retracement level. Furthermore, the 20-MA is en route to crossing below the 100-MA at the 50% Fib retracement level ($6,857).

Basically, barring some fantastic news like Coinbase purportedly working with BlackRock to develop a Bitcoin ETF or an unexpected spike in bull volume that triggers a $1,000 short-squeeze, we can expect BTC to encounter resistance at the overhead moving averages and previous supports (dotted lines) will likely function as resistance.

It is also likely that BTC shorts have added to their positions as BTC rejects at $6,500. In other words, the road to recovery could be rather challenging for BTC.

BTC-USD-SHORTS: Daily Chart

Looking Ahead

In the absence of market-moving news, BTC is likely to follow the pre-rally pattern of rejecting at the overhead moving averages on the 4-hour chart. Currently, the Stoch and RSI remain in oversold territory and investors should watch the weekly chart at the last higher low is $7,429.

Bitcoin has now given up 2.5 weeks worth of gains and is unlikely to close above $7,429, which makes the possibility of a bear break more likely than the inverse scenario.

[Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by BITFINEX. The charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.]

Where do you think Bitcoin price will go this weekend? Let us know in the comments below! 


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Tradingview.com

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Zář 04

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bull Breakout or Bearish Reversal?

Bitcoin is working hard to overtake the $7,300 mark. However, the holding aspect that has proven problematic.


Bitcoin Price Market Overview

Bitcoin continues to reject at $7,300 even though it has staged a few inspiring pops above the $7,300 resistance. After a nearly 27% gain over the past two weeks, cooling off and consolidation isare expected. The pattern of higher lows has consistently been re-established after each pullback from $7,300. Add to this the fact that there is a range of other positive signs which show BTC is well situated at the moment.

4-Hour Chart

Add to this the fact that there is a range of other positive signs which show BTC is well situated at the moment.

The weekly MACD (not pictured here) shows a bullish cross appearing on August 26th, while the 20-MA rises above all the longer term moving averages on the 4hr chart. The 100-MA recently crossed above the 200-MA — simply following the movement of the 5 and 10-hour EMA along with the ups and downs of the Stoch and RSI have provided easy trading opportunities for day traders.

Bulls have shown some signs of exhaustion as a closer look at the rejected pops above $7,300 shows that a series of lower highs, as well as the occasional higher volume spike above $7,320, is quickly rejected. This plunges BTC to the support zone around $7,270 to $7,250.

BTC now trades outside of the ascending channel. As shown by #1 and #2 on the 4-hour chart, each rejection at or above $7,300 has seen BTC return to $7,255 and $7,234. These have proven to be fairly reliable supports, but a move below $7,255 places BTC. This lies outside of the ascending channel, and $7,234 below the second ascending trendline.

Looking Ahead

In the event of a pullback, BTC has consistently found support at $7,250 and $7,332. $7,200 – $7,190 follow close by. 

The outlook for BTC remains positive. Still, the cryptocurrency needs to quickly surpass, and maintain control over, the $7,300 resistance. This would place BTC back into the ascending channel.

Trade sensibly!

[Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by BITFINEX. The charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.]

Where do you think Bitcoin price will go this weekend? Let us know in the comments below! 


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Tradingview.com.

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Lis 23

Bitfinex Now Offering BTC:EUR Trading Pair

· November 23, 2017 · 1:00 am

Bitfinex, the online cryptocurrency exchange and trading platform, announced that BTC:EUR is now a live trading pair on their website.


Bitfinex the worlds leading cryptocurrency exchange announced today that they will begin trading BTC:EUR, a move that has been widely welcomed after the site previously only supported the US dollar. The exchange also offers margin trading for those with more than a hobbyist attitude towards cryptocurrency trading.

Big News but Little Fanfare

Other than the tweet above, there has been very little fanfare of the new trading pair introduction. Although Bitfinex’s website itself has made no mention of the addition, it has come to light on Reddit that the minimum deposit for Euros is actually 10,000€, with a 0.100% fee on transactions. The exchange and trading platform also announced an introductory discount fee of 15%.

GDAX already has EUR, GBP and US dollar pairs for Bitcoin, so Bitfinex shall make a welcome addition for many traders. The Euro Bitcoin price is currently at 7045€, which converts to $8312 leaving quite a margin for arbitrage, however acceptance of trading certain pairs is limited to certain regions but the savvy trader could perhaps find profit in such a EUR/USD shortfall in Bitcoin’s price.

Are you a Bitfinex user? Is this a welcome move? Let us know what you think in the comments below.


Images courtesy of Bitfinex, Shutterstock

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