Pro 09

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Bounces But Bears Still in Control

Bitcoin price just pulled off a nice 10% bounce with the next level of resistance at $3,700. Let’s take a look at what can happen next?


Bitcoin Price: Market Overview

Bitcoin price 00 dropped to a new yearly low at $3,210 and the overall market cap now rests at $110.6 Billion. Clearly, bears are still running the show for BTC and the SEC’s  final postponement of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund decision didn’t seem to help.

Crypto-fanatics will now need to wait until January 24th for the launch of Bakkt and February 26th for a final approval or denial of a Bitcoin ETF from the SEC. If the cryptocurrency markets’ trend reversal is dependent upon either of these events then we’ve got a long way to drop waiting on the unpredictable outcomes of each of these events.

4-HR Chart

Bitcoin 00 broke below the $3,550 and $3,400 supports and the cryptocurrency will likely mean that $3,700 will post a stiff resistance to overcome. However, at press time, BTC price has managed to break above the $3,600 mark and now looks poised to test $3,700.

The bounce from $3,210 to $3,615 was pleasant and seems to have caused shorts to cover, but bulls couldn’t muster enough follow through to maintain the move and BTC’s failure to cross above any of the overhead exponential moving averages show bears are still running the show.

This is also backed up by the extremely high number of shorts on BTC/USD and the fact that they snapped right back into place after yesterday’s bounce.

BTC Shorts

After taking a glance at the daily and weekly RSI, Stoch, and MACD there’s not much positive to say about BTC short-term future. Perhaps the silver lining of all this will be that the bears are uber-confident right now and an all-time high amount of shorts can be forced to cover (like yesterday) when Bitcoin pulls off a 10% bounce.

In the past, Bitcoin has shown a propensity for weighty 20%+ rallies. A strong upside move would force shorts to cover and provide rapid gains for those trading BTC at the current range.

Daily RSI / Stoch / MACD

Weekly RSI / Stoch / MACD

Monthly Chart

Now for a dose of reality. If bears don’t let up, BTC can drop to 3,000, $2,545, and $1,400.

Safe trading friends and please remember to always use a stop loss. More cautious traders might want to wait until Q2 and Q3 of 2019 in hopes of a trend reversal.

[Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by Bitfinex. The charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.]

Where do you think Bitcoin will go over the short-term? Share your thoughts in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Trading View. Market data sourced from Coinbase.

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Pro 06

Where Will Bitcoin Price Go as It Nears November Lows?

The Bitcoin price was hovering near its lowest levels in 14 months December 6 a fresh downturn continued to take its toll on investors.


Another Grim Day For Bitcoin Traders

Having lost support at $4000 Tuesday, 00 slipped further towards lows set last month around $3500, reaching $3680 before appearing to claim new support at $3700.

In common with behavior which has prevailed since the Bitcoin Cash contentious hard fork November 15, altcoin suffered similar and often worse losses, led by Bitcoin Cash itself.

The troubled asset, which split into two rival chains following the forking event, was trading at its lowest price ever Thursday at just $118.

BCH00, which has come to refer to the BCH ABC chain of Bitcoin Cash favored by Bitcoin.com owner Roger Ver and Bitmain co-founder Jihan Wu, has consistently performed the worst out of the top twenty cryptocurrencies by market cap.

Rival chain Bitcoin SV00, by contrast, was showing rare strength at press time, extending its inverse correlation with BTC.

ABC’s woes have increased this week after rumors Wu’s Bitmain had sustained Q3 losses amounting to around $740 million – the company’s worst ever result.

Eyeing ‘Final Capitulation’

For Bitcoin itself meanwhile, commentators appeared displeased yet undisturbed by the latest dip.

In an analysis on December 2, technical guru Willy Woo produced his latest mid-term forecast for BTC, which forecast a “final capitulation” followed by a decisive end to the 2018 bear market should Bitcoin hit its current levels.

“…We can expect more range bound sideways action, followed by final capitulation, and an end of the bear market earlier, around Q1 2019,” he wrote on Twitter, adding in a subsequent comment:

If capitulation has indeed happened then we would be in an accumulation phase right now. But the key signs of this have not happened.

What do you think about the Bitcoin price? Let us know in the comments below!


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Říj 09

Ether September Price Lows Could Signal End of Bitcoin Bear Market: Analyst

Ether (ETH) prices “capitulating” in September was “significant” to ending the 2018 cryptocurrency bear market, according to a new theory from one cryptocurrency analyst. 


Thies: ‘We Were Looking In The Wrong Place’

In a series of tweets, UTR Equity’s crypto market commentator Eric Thies postulated that Bitcoin’s run to all-time price highs in December 2017 came as a result of Ether investment during the ICO phenomenon.

When interest slowed, so too did prices begin to freefall — Bitcoin reaching lows below $5900 in February this year and Ether below $170 in September.

“(Bitcoin’s) run in the end of 2017 was fueled by a MASSIVE ICO (ERC20) bubble and therefore indirectly fueled via ETH. Meaning that ETH capitulating in early Sept was significant to ending the bear market,” he wrote, noting the concept was a “theory.”

“We were all looking in the wrong place, expecting (Bitcoin) to do it.”

The ‘When Moon?’ Question

Commentators across the cryptocurrency industry and beyond have long sought a narrative to accompany the continued ‘slow bleed’ performance of most assets this year.

As Bitcoinist reported, talk of institutional investors entering to prop up prices continues to contrast with technical analyses suggesting price declines have not yet finished.

While most sources agree that a decisive U-turn cannot be far off, disagreements remain as to the real impact of institutional money or other factors on the industry, should these appear in the short term.

BTC

For Thies meanwhile, funds flowing in via exchanges, stablecoin Tether (USDT)’s token issuance, and other factors support the bear market culmination.

“…Capitulation really may have been $12k-$6k in early Feb, and everything thereafter has been the ecosystem stabilizing itself after a MASSIVE run up,” he concluded about Bitcoin’s performance.

Bitcoin prices have experienced several months of broad stability, at press time falling within 4 percent of values against the USD seen on the same date in July, August and September. 

What do you think about Eric Thies’ market theory? Let us know in the comments below! 


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Twitter, CoinMarketCap.

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Říj 21

Bitcoin Price Drops: Where do We Go From Here?

Source: bitcoin

bitcoin price

A bit of a fall has occurred on bitcoin’s side. Since our last price piece, the bitcoin price has stumbled by about $12 and now hovers at $628.

Also read: Bitcoin Price Breaks $640, Are We About to Go Even Higher?

Bitcoin Price Heading South?

One source writes:

“The levels in focus moving forward are in terms support to the downside at 629, and in-term resistance to the upside at 632. Just as with this morning, this width of range is far too tight to go at with an intra-range approach, so it’s all about breakout for now. If price closes above in terms of resistance, we will get in long towards an immediate upside target of 637. A stop on the trade at 630 defines risk. Conversely, if price breaks below support, a close below this level will put us short towards 625.”

It appears most analysts are not fully able to predict where bitcoin will travel from here. The market is showing mixed activity, and there’s nothing specific to give us a better understanding as to whether things will become bullish or bearish. Present sentiment seems to suggest a bull run, but caution remains that a bearish market could emerge from the darkness.

One analyst explains that bitcoin is presently stuck in an “arc,” and whether it will move north or south is relatively left open to chance:

“Price is meandering its way through the third arc pair. Longer term, this is bullish because when it gets out of the arc pair it is likely to rise again, but until it gets to the other side with a strong close above the arc, it’s not so clear what will happen while it’s in the pair itself. Tomorrow is 120 degrees since the spike low of 6/22, so we are at a point in time that we can expect something might begin tomorrow. But what? A reversal or acceleration?”

This same source suggests that if bitcoin closes below $638 in the next day, a bearish market wouldn’t be terribly unlikely. Still, however, one can see that there is no clear evidence to suggest where bitcoin will go or when, and if support breaks, a massive drop may occur.

Investors are warned to lay off major trading until the market “makes a decision,” and clear signs about where things will go are offered.

Do you think bitcoin’s price will rise or sink? Post your comments below!


Image courtesy of Bitcoinist.

The post Bitcoin Price Drops: Where do We Go From Here? appeared first on Bitcoinist.net.

Bitcoin Price Drops: Where do We Go From Here?

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Srp 01

Technical Analysis: Weekend Bitcoin Price Drop Explained

Source: bitcoin

Technical Analysis: Weekend Bitcoin Price Drop Explained

Bitcoin is falling down to end its current cycle, which will happen when prices drop to the technical reversal level.

Also read: Industry Report: No Bitcoin Crime Goes Unpunished 

Where Did the Weekend’s Bitcoin Price Drop Come From?

Long-Term Analysis

Prices have started the dive to $600 and $580 after a large lateral sideways lateral movement that ended the first technical cycle. To start a new cycle, quotes must reach former broken resistances, which become supports. Once this occurs, strong purchases are expected, framed in the marketplace of biggest players.

Looking back in the chart, another two flags can be analyzed, which have broken to the bear side. This time, the Contrary Opinion Theory could be considered to allow a pull back to $700, extended to Fibonacci´s technical objective at $820

Mid -Term Analysis

According to oversold mathematical indicators, a plunge to the support at $600 has started, where a new bullish consensus is expected to provide the concurrent elements to ensure a change in trend.

Main support is really at $580, but round numbers theory indicates that most people should react psychologically at 600, starting a rebound to $700 and a new bull cycle to $820, where the box resistance is waiting on the quotes.

Short-Term Analysis

Japanese Candlestick analysis reflects the market’s current weakness, and the quotes are going down to the support.

The oscillators have arrived to the oversold zone far before the coming price plunge, and they could be recovering strength, crossing each other to reinforce the rebound strength from $580 to $600. Afterwards, a recovery will take the bitcoin price to the $700, followed by a continued rise to $820.

At press time, the bitcoin price is hovering in the $620 range and is falling fast, indicating  that the suggestions put forth by technical indicators used in this analysis are accurate so far. Thus, we can expect the price to continue dropping in the immediate term until the markets hit the support needed to prepare the price for a rebound.

What do you think will happen to the bitcoin price? Let us know in the comments below!


Featured image courtesy of Benzinga.

The post Technical Analysis: Weekend Bitcoin Price Drop Explained appeared first on Bitcoinist.net.

Technical Analysis: Weekend Bitcoin Price Drop Explained

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