Pro 09

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Bounces But Bears Still in Control

Bitcoin price just pulled off a nice 10% bounce with the next level of resistance at $3,700. Let’s take a look at what can happen next?


Bitcoin Price: Market Overview

Bitcoin price 00 dropped to a new yearly low at $3,210 and the overall market cap now rests at $110.6 Billion. Clearly, bears are still running the show for BTC and the SEC’s  final postponement of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund decision didn’t seem to help.

Crypto-fanatics will now need to wait until January 24th for the launch of Bakkt and February 26th for a final approval or denial of a Bitcoin ETF from the SEC. If the cryptocurrency markets’ trend reversal is dependent upon either of these events then we’ve got a long way to drop waiting on the unpredictable outcomes of each of these events.

4-HR Chart

Bitcoin 00 broke below the $3,550 and $3,400 supports and the cryptocurrency will likely mean that $3,700 will post a stiff resistance to overcome. However, at press time, BTC price has managed to break above the $3,600 mark and now looks poised to test $3,700.

The bounce from $3,210 to $3,615 was pleasant and seems to have caused shorts to cover, but bulls couldn’t muster enough follow through to maintain the move and BTC’s failure to cross above any of the overhead exponential moving averages show bears are still running the show.

This is also backed up by the extremely high number of shorts on BTC/USD and the fact that they snapped right back into place after yesterday’s bounce.

BTC Shorts

After taking a glance at the daily and weekly RSI, Stoch, and MACD there’s not much positive to say about BTC short-term future. Perhaps the silver lining of all this will be that the bears are uber-confident right now and an all-time high amount of shorts can be forced to cover (like yesterday) when Bitcoin pulls off a 10% bounce.

In the past, Bitcoin has shown a propensity for weighty 20%+ rallies. A strong upside move would force shorts to cover and provide rapid gains for those trading BTC at the current range.

Daily RSI / Stoch / MACD

Weekly RSI / Stoch / MACD

Monthly Chart

Now for a dose of reality. If bears don’t let up, BTC can drop to 3,000, $2,545, and $1,400.

Safe trading friends and please remember to always use a stop loss. More cautious traders might want to wait until Q2 and Q3 of 2019 in hopes of a trend reversal.

[Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by Bitfinex. The charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.]

Where do you think Bitcoin will go over the short-term? Share your thoughts in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Trading View. Market data sourced from Coinbase.

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Lis 19

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will $5k Hold or Are Bulls Being Led to Slaughter?

Bitcoin price (BTC/USD) had a dire week, breaking down last Wednesday from its 2018 consolidation reaching weekly lows of $5200. 


This week started no better with new lows being found after a further selloff at around $5050. Here we take a look at some of the immediate levels trades and investors alike worth paying attention to.

Bitcoin Price: Daily Chart

Bitcoin‘s resilience sustaining prices around $5500, gave up on Monday as the wider trading environment kicked off the week, with markets pushing BTC price 00 down to test $5000.

As the market attempts to adjust to the breakdown, many are trying to work out where the bottom may be. Here we look at a few of the scenarios being contemplated by investors and traders alike.

Weekly Chart

The lows of August – 2015 August 2017 uptrend converges with the lows of the 2018 downtrend around $4400-4800.  There is a distinct lack of historically traded volume between $4800 and $5500, which may explain why the market is currently falling through the current price range with minimal resistance.

Traders may look to this price range for a bounce, marking a 75% discount from December 2017 prices and a psychological level for both buyers and short covering.

A break and close above previous support at $6,100 would signify some confirmation of a longer term bottom.

2015 Bottom

The 2015 bottom was found at the top of the 2012-2013 trend.  If the same is applied to 2019 it again suggests $4800 region may be a significant level of support.

The most bullish scenario that can be presented is that this down move is being induced by a large player tempting sell volume to the market, which was lacking around $6,000, in an attempt to make a large, longer-term buy and hold position.

This kind of trading is known as a fake out trap to run stops and create liquidity to build such a large opposing position, but it really the only hope short-term players have in this market resuming an uptrend.

$3k – A Comparison to 2015

Looking at 2015 the bottom was found resting alongside the 200MA, currently trending towards $3200, which is where the bottom of the volume range currently resides.

This level is where the market last witnessed significant volume, bouncing the market back to $4350 within two weeks.

It is likely that a number of market participants who took profits from above this level, or from those that sold here historically and had to endure the run up to 20k will happily re-enter the market on an 85% retracement

Bitcoin Cash Hashing War

Hashing power has been diverted from the BTC network to provide support to the Bitcoin Cash ‘hash war,’ which goes some way to undermine the network security for Bitcoin.

Game theory in Economics and as applied here, works on the basis that individuals are incentivized with their resources to do what is best for themselves and the group, which in this case would be to mine the more profitable Bitcoin chain, however, there is currently an uneconomical war being conducted meaning that the marginal profitability from mining is being ignored in the quest for dominance over the BCH network.

Its unclear how this war of attrition using SHA 256 resources is directly impacting Bitcoin price, but it would be reasonable to assume that it is not positive to the outsiders looking in and until there is liquidity to dump the opposing chains coins, they will need to use their Bitcoin to provide working capital to cover the marginal cost of production.

The probable outcome is that the losing miners will revert their hash and capital back to the BTC network once a winner has been found.

In Summary, Bitcoin 00 looks likely to continue its downward momentum from here, testing the low volume price ranges, with the closest one closing around $4800, however, the strength of the hands of the Hodlers will be tested.

A large engulfing candle supported by significant volume is the only thing which the bulls want to order from the menu, but where that will occur remains to be seen.

Does Bitcoin price suggest it is now a buyers market? Where is the bottom? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.


[Disclaimer:  The views expressed in this article are the personal opinion of the author and do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist. The information in the article should not be taken as financial advice.]

To get receive updates for the writer you can follow on Twitter (@filbfilb) and TradingView. Images courtesy of Tradingview, Shutterstock.

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Kvě 27

Boom or Bust: There is no Middle Ground for Bitcoin, Says Crypto Asset Manager

· May 26, 2018 · 9:00 pm

On the subject of Bitcoin’s viability, there seem to only two conclusions. Either the number one crypto is either here to stay or it is just a fad. Thus, whether you support the “bubble” argument, the “currency of the future” notion or any other position, it all inevitably leads to the “boom or bust” conclusion or at least, so says Grayscale Investments managing director Michael Sonnenshein.


Two Mutually Exclusive Bitcoin Future Outcomes

According to Sonnenshein, there is no middle ground as far as Bitcoin is concerned. Speaking during a recent interview with Fortune, the cryptoanalyst said:

As we begin to look at assets like Bitcoin and the unbelievable adversity it’s faced over the last ten years, every day that Bitcoin doesn’t go away, every day that Bitcoin overcomes a new challenge, for me that makes me feel that Bitcoin will do either one of two things.

It will either survive and become all these amazing things that we think it can be, which will cause its price to be a lot higher. Or it is possible something else may come along that will displace it and Bitcoin goes to zero. It likely will have a binary outcome.

Two Mutually Exclusive Bitcoin Future Outcomes

To emphasize the point, consider the image above. Those were the top ten cryptocurrencies exactly five years ago as cataloged by CoinMarketCap. How many of them do you recognize? Now compare with the image below and see that only Bitcoin and Litecoin are still in the top ten. Where did the others go? Well, Freicoin isn’t even in the top 1,000 coins. Namecoin and Peercoin have also fallen spectacularly over the years as have the others on the list.

Bitcoin Should Be Able to Adapt

Bitcoin Should Be Able to Adapt

The critical question is where does Bitcoin’s destiny lie? Sonnenshein believes there is hope for the digital currency as long as there are continued improvements upon the technology. The managing director of Grayscale investments said that Bitcoin’s future is tied to its ability to remain relevant in the emerging digital currency landscape which it has historically dominated right from the outset.

Bitcoin does have one crucial advantage – it is an open source protocol. Thus, if a paradigm-shifting technological breakthrough emerges, it should be easy to incorporate at least some aspects of it into the network.

Where do you stand on the boom/bust debate? Do you think Bitcoin can adapt to changes in the crypto ecosystem? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below.


Image courtesy of CoinMarketCap, AdobeStock

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Kvě 20

There’s no ‘Consensus’ Concerning the Direction of Bitcoin Price

· May 19, 2018 · 8:00 pm

Thomas Lee’s predicted post Consensus Bitcoin pop never happened. In fact, the market reversed and is now trading at a monthly low! As usual, investors are wondering where the market will go from here.


Market Overview

Contrary to popular expectation, Bitcoin failed to rally 69 – 130% after the Consensus conference in New York ended this week. In fact, it pulled back nearly 5% as the cryptocurrency market capitalization sank to $389 billion and it appears that the downtrend is set to continue for the short term.

Fortunately, things still bode well for crypto as:

  • Goldman Sachs is developing a dollar pegged cryptocurrency (USDCoin) through Circle which will finally provide an alternative stablecoin to Tether.
  • As Consensus wrapped up, the CFTC and SEC directors shared their view that they have no desire to stand in the path of blockchain development.
  • A platform for institutional investment in cryptocurrencies is gradually concretizing which further supports claims that institutional investors will boost cryptocurrency prices in the future.

Keeping this in mind, at present there is still more tangibly good news than bad news in the crypto-hemisphere and volatility is nothing new to cryptocurrency investors… though all of the moonshot valuations and promises of tripling market caps may have led us to forget this.  

Daily Chart

Bitcoin Daily Chart

After a nearly 5% drop, BTC briefly touched a monthly low at $7,925 on Bitfinex. As shown on the daily chart, this is a nearly 50% retracement of the pre-April rally low of $6,425.

On 18th May BTC had continued a pattern of lower highs and lower lows and the daily chart shows BTC below the 100 and 200-day MA and at the time of writing the RSI sits below the 50 indicating that bears have the advantage.

4HR Chart

Bitcoin 4HR Chart

There is a smidgen of positive news for the short term as around midday Saturday the 5 and 10-day MA changed direction and BTC is close to exiting the recently developed downward channel. On the other hand, both the 20 and 50-day MA are sloping downwards and BTC needs to cross the 50-day MA at $8,400. At the time of writing BTC still trades below the 50-day MA suggesting short term continuance of the bearish trend.

If BTC is unable to recover or hold above $8,000, there are long term supports at $7,800 and $7,600 but how likely these are to hold is questionable as $7,784 is at the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement. A close below $8,000 means that a reversal favorable to the bears is in place and the ensuing sell off could drop prices to $7,000 or lower.

Vision

  • BTC is close to crossing the 50-day MA at $8,400 and a close above the 50 would set BTC outside the recently developed downward trendline.
  • Failure to recover could lead BTC to touch the $7,784 support at the 61.8 percent retracement.
  • Traders are advised to watch from the sidelines as most technical indicators show bears having the advantage.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by BITFINEX. The charts for analysis are provided by TradingView.

Where do you think Bitcoin price will go this week? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Tradingview.com

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Říj 31

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Price to Hit $1500 By Year-End?

Source: bitcoin

bitcoin price

The bitcoin price has recently launched into an upward rally, with technical indicators showing the rise slowing down at $820 while bullish consensus builds to send it further to $1500 by 2017.

Also read: Zcash: Where Is All the Hype Coming From?

Technical Analysis: $1500 and Beyond

Long-Term Analysis

After bullish signs flooded the markets, the bitcoin price has shifted into an upward rally. According to technical indicators, this rally should last until we hit $820, after which a sideways market will prevail.

If this scenario gets confirmed, quotes would be able to double again to the year-end objective beyond $1800. The current Elliott Wave Theory 5th phase could be evaluated at the same size as the 1st wave that took place on 2015´s 3rd quarter.

Following the “ABC ending,” that would happen at $820, which should be thought as a lateral sideways market

Mid-Term Analysis

Bullish consensus is still getting stronger. According to indicators, the technical objective is a lateral sideways market near $820.

If confirmed, that scenario be seen as another bullish sign, allowing the chance for another climb into an euphoric bubble, more than doubling the price to $1500 and beyond.

Short-Term Analysis

Prices have entered a synchronization process, recovering their lag against technical indicators. A full synchronization in the short-term shows a continued rise to $820.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis reflects the chance of another upward movement after the arriving to the technical lateral market at $820. However, the time extension of that lateral movement would determine the next bubble´s size.

Staff opinion: We believe the bitcoin price will stay near $700 for a while, acting as a psychological resistance to further increases. After being tested by profit-taking, the bulls will likely attempt to push beyond $700, triggering a rally that confirms the present technical analysis. The timeline for this prediction is uncertain, we believe that it may or may not happen by the end of 2016

What do you think will happen to the bitcoin price? Let us know in the comments below.


Cover image courtesy of Pixabay.

The post Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Price to Hit $1500 By Year-End? appeared first on Bitcoinist.net.

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Price to Hit 00 By Year-End?

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Říj 28

Bitcoin Price Keeps Booming, Another $30 Rise in the Books

Source: bitcoin

Bitcoin Trading System

Another rise has been recorded. Since our last piece, the bitcoin price has shot up by about another $30 and is hanging around the $680 mark. Bitcoin just keeps booming away, and it’s plausible that the digital currency could potentially reach $700 in the coming weeks if its current streak stays strong.

Also read: Bitcoin Price Watch: Are We About to Hit $700?

One source describes the action with a ray of excitement:

“Wow, what a night. We’ve been asking for some volatility in the bitcoin price for the last couple of days, and boy did we get it last night.”

This is the second near-$30 rise for bitcoin in the short span of about a week, and several analysts are “blaming” the devaluation of China’s native yuan currency for the alleged spikes in the coin’s price.

As the strength of fiat continues to drop, many asset holders (particularly in China) are seeking ways to retain some form of power and control in their financial futures, and it appears bitcoin is the way to do that. Bitcoin trading and purchasing are at an all-time high in South Asia, and the streak doesn’t seem to be on the verge of stopping anytime soon.

Is ‘Hodling’ the Best Way to Maintain the Bitcoin Price?

However, there is another side of the spectrum. Sure, people are buying coins left and right. Yes, it is likely contributing to the price hikes, but other investors are touting the power one achieves in simply “holding on” and waiting.

Those with a fair amount of bitcoins in their investment portfolios are sitting around and letting what they have grow. Granted, once they reach a certain point, they will seek to cash out and get their money’s worth. The process is called “hodling,” and is similar to the practices witnessed amongst top stockholders.

One source describes its functions:

“’Hodling’ takes bitcoin off the market, reduces the supply available to everyone else, and increases the price as a result. If could also mean signaling to whoever heeds that you value the asset enough to want to hold it, which in its own interpretation, could warrant keen interest from those who are yet to go into it.”

Hoarding bitcoins is neither wrong nor right; same for spending them. Whatever works to increase the price is probably best, but investors are warned that bitcoin is showing some unusual activity as of late, and it’s unclear whether or not the price is coiling or simply settling and correcting itself. Either way, keep an eye out and keep those bitcoins protected.

Do you think bitcoin will reach $700 soon? Post your comments below!


Image courtesy of Bitcoinist.

The post Bitcoin Price Keeps Booming, Another $30 Rise in the Books appeared first on Bitcoinist.net.

Bitcoin Price Keeps Booming, Another Rise in the Books

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Čvc 12

Bullish Trading Ahead? Bitcoin Price Sees New Technical Patterns

Source: bitcoin

Bitcoinist_Traditional Finance

Technical indicators suggest that the bitcoin price could be preparing for a rather significant correction, potentially sending it below $600. Traders shouldn’t have too much to fear though, as the decline is expected to be followed by bullish activity, resulting in a rise to $700 and beyond, hitting resistance at $1000.

Also read: Industry Report: The Halving That Came and Went

Bitcoin Price Looking Bearish, but Not for Long

Long-Term Analysis

After a year where a rounded bottom pattern was perfectly accomplished, a new big pennant had taken place into the mid-term trading box, created as a result of the sideways lateral market that professional traders´ work let behind their accumulation activities. Perhaps we could see another month in the same price level while prices perform this pennant, which could become a bigger flag formation.

This kind of well-known pattern may also create a bullish consensus that provides some up-sliding of the trading box from the $600 support to the long-term Fibonacci resistance at $820, starting the first wave of the Elliot´s theoretical pattern staying inside the next level box with a probable ladder step rebound at the $700 support level. All of these movements will occur in a major zig-zag advancing pattern toward the second box´s higher resistance of $1000.

Mid-Term Analysis

Forming a kind of trading box with support at $600 and resistance at $820, prices had composited other patterns that could help traders to figure their marketplace, like several rising lines that provide reference for making decisions.

Meanwhile, prices advance in a slow rising zig zag movement, which should become a fireworks show of growth in about 2 months’ time, when the third phase of Elliott wave theory gets real in the charts.

Right now, mathematical oscillators are giving enough signals to sustain the bullish consensus, and to allow the suspicion of far higher prices at the end of the year.

When the present flag pole reaches the $820 resistance, the support will have to be relocated at $700 like a ladder step rise sliding the box to next level.

Short-Term Analysis

According to volume indicators and candlestick analysis, prices are preparing for a down movement, which may create panic selling from weak hands. This selloff would hit a big support level below $600—probably near 580—where strong hands and big players could be planning their purchases.

After this probable downward slide, the next movement in the present trading box could send prices upward for another 100 points, performing a fast rebound to $820.

Following that rise, a bear correction will send the bitcoin price to a new support level around $700, launching a new sideways lateral movement with resistance at $1000. This trading pattern is expected to hold for the next two weeks.

What do you think will happen to the bitcoin price? Let us know in the comments below!


Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.

The post Bullish Trading Ahead? Bitcoin Price Sees New Technical Patterns appeared first on Bitcoinist.net.

Bullish Trading Ahead? Bitcoin Price Sees New Technical Patterns

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Dub 24

BitcoinAverage Announces Newest API in Beta

Source: bitcoin

Vanbex Report

London, UK, April 24, 2016 — BitcoinAverage, the world’s most trusted Bitcoin price index, will be releasing new system features, revamping its pricing index to accommodate the needs of users at every level, from casual to enterprise-grade.

Disclaimer: This is a press release. Bitcoinist is not responsible for this firm’s products and/or services.

“We are launching a closed beta of our API,” said BitcoinAverage’s Founder, Shaun Gilchrist. “Access will initially be provided to existing users, and then opened up to the wider community. It is our aim to continue providing the most comprehensive price data for the industry, and we hope that with the help of the community and their feedback, we will be best placed to do that.”

The London-based company established itself as the leading source for Bitcoin pricing in 2013 and have since been developing open-source application programming interface (API) tools to provide real-time Bitcoin data to mobile apps, web services and businesses worldwide.

In its latest offering, BitcoinAverage is preparing for the launch of a new full-featured API that will be bundled with an updated front-end interface following beta testing and subsequent finalization of the programming interface.

In addition, the company will also be providing a tiered subscription program along with customizable packages tailored for users in need of something more robust.

The tiered structure will still offer a free plan for users, which has been a staple of BitcoinAverage’s service offerings. The gratis-level entry package will cater to existing users of BitcoinAverage’s API and will ensure no one is forced out following the system upgrade.

One of the biggest changes will be the availability of packages to scale up for enterprising needs and otherwise; service offerings which have been asked of the Bitcoin price index since launching a few years ago.

Following the beta launch, users will be able to generate API keys for authenticated endpoints, allowing users finer control over the API and in turn provides a far better service to clients.

Further, customizable endpoints and custom indices — an industry first — will be made available to higher-tier users.

As Gilchrist explained, these are important features, introduced because of the debate that surrounds what exchanges should or should not be included in an index.

“Going back to Mt. Gox and the downtime or withdrawals issues, currently, chinese exchanges and the issue of inflated volume due to 0% fees, or sites like Localbitcoins.com and the high premiums that skew averages across the board,” said Gilchrist, “the playing field is far from uniform.”

“So we provide clients with the ability to exclude one or multiple exchanges they may feel don’t belong in an index.”

BitcoinAverage’s new system will also allow the freedom to compile an index or indices from scratch.

“Our roadmap includes a far superior algorithm (soon to be complete) than our current volume weighted average price,” Gilchrist said. “We can’t wait to unveil it in its final form soon.”

For more information visit bitcoinaverage.com.

About BitcoinAverage

Since 2013, BitcoinAverage has been the leading source for Bitcoin pricing data, currently comprising and analyzing 50+ exchanges worldwide to ensure the most accurate Bitcoin price is delivered to its users. BitcoinAverage initially launched as an open source project and is now the most widely used bitcoin price ticker in the world. Its Global Bitcoin Price Index (GBX) was the first of its kind in the industry and is still recognised as the most widely used price source for applications, services and businesses worldwide.

Press Contacts

Brandon Kostinuk

Communications Lead, Vanbex Group

Ph: (604) 312-2463

Email: b@vanbex.com

Kevin Hobbs

Director, Vanbex Group

Ph:(604) 379-9032

Email: k@vanbex.com

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BitcoinAverage Announces Newest API in Beta

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