Kvě 23

10 Fintech Leaders Predict Bitcoin to End 2019 Above $9,500

Ten prominent fintech experts shared their bitcoin price predictions and all agreed that BTC would close 2019 above $9,500, according to Finder.com.


Experts Expect a Bull Market

The US-based comparison website surveyed 10 fintech leaders on their thoughts and projections on 13 cryptocurrencies (including the top-10 by market capitalization) and the participants included executives from BitBull Capital, Arca, and Blocktoken.

The participants were most optimistic about EOS, Binance Coin and Tron as each was forecast to gain 727%, 459%, and 449%, respectively.

When asked whether the current climate is ideal for the average person to invest in cryptocurrency, 5 out of 10 executives agreed that now is a good time to allocate a small portion of portfolio funds to digital assets. 4 survey participants also said that they believe Bitcoin will surpass its $20,000 all-time high during the next bull-run.

50% of the participants believe that the next uptrend will end just like the one in 2017. But while the majority of the participants expected Bitcoin to eventually cool off from its recent parabolic run, the general consensus was Bitcoin would exceed $9,659 by the end of 2019.

Analyst and participant Joe Raczynski said that:

We are entering a new period with Bitcoin. Many of the institutional players have said they are done with this experiment (publicly), which may be the case [but] I think privately, some other hedge funds and other institutions will continue to invest during this lower period.

Altcoins to Outperform Bitcoin in 2019

Surprisingly, Blockchain Capital partner Jimmy Song expects Bitcoin to close 2019 at $5,901 and Song explained that there seems to be some daylight between Bitcoin and other cryptos.

Bitcoin will start being seen as a different asset than all the others,” he said.

Meanwhile, Bitbull Capital’s Sarah Bergstrand said that she expects bitcoin price to “bounce between $3,000 and $5,000 for the next few months.”

The survey results also show that the majority of participants think Cardano (ADA) will wrap up 2019 at $0.14 and the group was fairly optimistic about EOS.

Brenden Markey-Towler from RMIT Blockchain Innovation Hub predicting that

….as EOS transitions with NEO and Ethereum to next-generation consensus algorithms, I suspect their scope as an institutional technology will increase, and their value with it.

Stellar Lumens (XRP) is expected to reach $0.18 by year-end and the group optimistically forecasts that TRON and XRP will close the year at $0.15 and $0.44.

Finder has held its Bitcoin Predictions Panel since January 2018 and interested investors can find the details of each monthly survey here.

Do you agree with these bitcoin price predictions? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 


Images via TradingView.com, Twitter, Shutterstock

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Kvě 22

Winklevoss: Sitting on the Sidelines is Crazier Than Investing in Bitcoin

Prominent Bitcoin investor and Gemini Exchange co-founder Cameron Winklevoss says that the future of money is currently being built with Bitcoin and crypto and that it’s ‘crazy’ to be sitting on the sidelines. 


‘The Future of Money is Literally Being Built’

Popular cryptocurrency commentator and a prominent Bitcoin investor Cameron Winklevoss has argued the craziness of investing in the crypto space. He said:

“Some people think it’s crazy to invest in crypto. Maybe. But definitely not as crazy as sitting on the sidelines when the future of money is literally being built before your eyes.”

The Winklevoss twins, in general, have been more than well-known in the space. Earlier in January, they said that Bitcoin will pass the $7 trillion gold market cap.

Mr. Wonderful Disagrees

One of those who seem to believe that investing in Bitcoin is more than crazy is popular TV personality and millionaire entrepreneur Kevin “Mr. Wonderful” O’Leary. Those of you who’ve watched the popular entrepreneur show “Shark Tank” surely know him.

Kevin O'Leary bitcoin

Just yesterday, in a rather heated debate with Anthony “Pomp” Pompliano of Morgan Creek Capital, on CNBC’s SquawkBox, O’Leary argued that there’s no value in owning bitcoin as an asset class. He said:

Where is the value in owning bitcoin as an asset class? Tell me why this, which is basically a digital game, has any intrinsic value. And where is the long-term value? Just this idea that they’re going to cut the number of units in half is just a scam. That’s just total BS.

Despite Pompliano’s arguments, the investor couldn’t seem to wrap his mind around the idea and denied all merits of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as well.

Tom Lee Says Current Bitcoin Bull-Run Has Legs

Speaking on CNBC’s Markets Now, Fundstrat Global Advisors’ head analyst, Tom Lee, discussed the current case for Bitcoin. He outlined that the top ten days in any year account for all the gains for crypto.

tom lee Bitcoin price

However, Lee also said that there’s plenty of reasons to be optimistic. He reiterated on the narrative that Bitcoin “has proven to be digital gold” – something also expressed by the Winklevoss twins themselves.

Lee also mentioned the upcoming Bitcoin halving which is estimated to take place in less than a year from now.

As Bitcoinist reported yesterday, the overwhelming majority of people bullish regarding the effect it will have on the cryptocurrency’s price given historical trends.

What do you think of Bitcoin going forward? Let us know in the comments below!


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Kvě 12

‘Facebook Coin’ Will Be More Like Bitcoin Than Starbucks Rewards, Says Analyst

Speculations about the purpose of Facebook’s planned digital coin are getting wilder. Ignoring key features like independence and decentralization, one analyst predicts that ‘Facebook Coin’ would look more like Bitcoin or Ethereum than your Starbucks reward points.


Facebook Coin Might Encourage Viewing Ads

With growing interest, many are trying to envision Facebook’s planned ‘FaceCoin.’ Lacking specifics from Facebook, speculations abound about everything from the coin’s name to what it will be used for.

Under the code name “Project Libra,” tech journalists say, Facebook, Telegram, and Signal are devising their own digital token, which would allow their billions of users to exchange money across the Internet, through their payment systems.

Others argue that Facebook’s coin will be more like one of the major cryptocurrencies. In effect, one analyst, Lisa Ellis, a MoffettNathanson partner, predicts:

The Facebook (FB) coin (Facecoin, perhaps?) would actually look more like one of the large public cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin or Ethereum and less like the internal-payment or loyalty systems that companies like Starbucks(SBUX) use.

She adds that FBCoin will likely be a more-public coin that’s governed by an independent board such as Ethereum and its foundation.

Except That It Won’t…

But regardless of the type and number of predictions put forward, one thing is sure. Facebook’s digital coin won’t be anything like Bitcoin.

It will be issued, developed and controlled by a centralized authority. Its ledger will not be immutable, and access will likely require your Facebook account.

The social media giant has not explicitly denied or acknowledged any of these speculations too. The latest statement on the subject from the company was issued to Barron’s on May 10, 2019,

[Facebook is] exploring ways to leverage the power of blockchain technology. This new small team is exploring many different applications. We don’t have anything further to share.

Visa, Mastercard Would Welcome a ‘FaceCoin’

But while Ellis didn’t mention any specifics, Ellis believes Facebook’s coin probably will end up being a tool to encourage users to watch ads.

This is something Brave has been attempting with its browser and native BAT token though some haven’t been impressed and are working on a more bitcoin-friendly version.

Meanwhile, Ellis had also earlier warned clients that cryptocurrencies could pose an existential threat to Visa, Mastercard, and Paypal. In contrast, she argues that Facebook’s coin would actually benefit these payment giants. Ellis wrote,

If Facebook(FB) launches an open digital wallet and checkout button, the company will need to collaborate with Visa and Mastercard(MA) to enable a variety of card-based funding methods in its wallet (similar to Apple Pay, PayPal(PYPL), or Google Pay).

So how will it be like Bitcoin again?

Will Facebook’s digital currency be anything like Bitcoin? Let us know in the comments below!


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Kvě 10

Did the $41M Bitcoin Theft Create a Buying Opportunity for Binance Coin (BNB)?

Binance Token (BNB) has taken a significant due to the Binance Bitcoin hack but is the recent pullback an opportunity for buyers?


BNB Maybe a Steal as Binance Reels

Since topping out at $25.49 Binance Token (BNB) 00 has pulled back by nearly 27% and the fallout from last week’s Tether – Bitfinex scandal along with Binance’s recent $41 million bitcoin theft are taking their toll on the exchange’s native token.

Clearly, after a more than 500% rally, BNB was ripe for a bit of profit taking and a trend change but the current dump could be more connected to recent events and not a representation of BNB’s value from a technical standpoint.

BNB-USDT Daily Chart

binance

As recently as May 2, BNB was consolidating between $25 to $21 and posting daily lower highs. It’s clear that altcoin was losing strength as it struggled to stay above the 12 EMA The bear cross on the daily MACD corresponds with the April 26th news of Bitfinex misappropriating $850 million USDT to cover their own losses.

BNB-USDT 4-Hr Chart

Today’s pullback brought BNB below both moving averages and the 12 is on the verge of crossing below the 26 EMA. There is the possibility of an oversold bounce occurring shortly as the RSI and MACD are each oversold, but barring a massive influx of buyers, the bounce is not likely to change the trend or extend past $19.50.

On its way to $25.49, Binance Coin blasted through $17 – $21 (61.8% Fib retracement) and the lack of support beneath $19 explains why BNB is slicing through this level towards more solid support at $15. If $17.30 doesn’t hold then the 50% fib level.

Given that USDT and BTC have shaken off and recovered from the same recent events that now impact BNB, it’s likely that BNB will also recover as the public gets over the shock of the largest crypto-exchange by daily volume enduring a $41 million hack. Luckily, it has resulted in zero Binance users losing funds.

In result, the current price could be a buying opportunity for swing traders as a return to the previous range represents a 20 – 25% return and those looking to set up a long position might consider buying a quarter of their expected investment.

Is Binance Coin a buy now under $19? Share your thoughts below!

[Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are not intended as investment advice. Market data is provided by Bitfinex. The charts for the analysis are provided by TradingView.]

Trade Bitcoin, Litecoin and other cryptocurrencies on online Bitcoin forex broker platform evolve.markets.  


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Trading View. Market data sourced from Coinbase.fkff

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Kvě 08

‘Shocked He Went There:’ Crypto Takes Sides On Binance’s Alleged Bitcoin Reorg Plan

Cryptocurrency’s best-known figures continue to debate exchange Binance’s handling of its $40 million hack amid claims executives planned to undo past Bitcoin transactions. 


Binance CEO Rejects Reorg

In a lengthy debate still playing out on social media, Binance received mixed reviews after CEO Changpang Zhao appeared to suggest there was a plan to conduct a reorganization (‘reorg’) of the Bitcoin blockchain. The step would theoretically allow the transactions involving the bitcoins hackers stole from Binance May 7 to no longer fall under their control.

At the same time, an entire day’s worth of user transactions would become void.

Reorgs to fix erroneous transactions are extremely difficult to do for decentralized blockchains — and, in the case of Bitcoin’s, de facto impossible due to the consensus demands required.

As Bitcoinist previously reported, more centralized blockchains can conduct similar activities more easily. EOS, for example, reversed transactions late last year in an episode which likewise attracted negative attention.

While Zhao subsequently explained that the idea remained hypothetical following discussions and that Binance would not pursue any form of the reorg, some reactions criticized him for mentioning the topic.

Mike Novogratz, the Galaxy Digital CEO and major Bitcoin bull, vented rare comments on the topic after Zhao drew a comparison between his plan and efforts by Ethereum (ETH) developers several years ago.

“I am shocked that (Zhao) even went there. Talk of forking or reorganizing the blockchain is close to heresy,” he wrote on Twitter. “When the (Ethereum) community did it the project was like 5 months old. A baby. Bitcoin now has $100 (billion) market cap and is a legitimate store of wealth.”

Back: Reorg ‘Not Happening’

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin also added a rebuttal, arguing Ethereum’s actions did not constitute a reorg.

“Ethereum did a surgical irregular state change. We never even considered actually rolling back the chain to undo the hack; the collateral damage from that (reverting a day of *everyone’s* transactions) would have been huge and possibly fatal,” he tweeted.

Binance’s back-up fund will cover losses endured by users, while the event appeared to have little impact on buoyant cryptocurrency markets, Bitcoin price shedding $200 but subsequently rebounding.

Mentioning the press handling of the hack as complicating perceptions, veteran cryptographer and Hashcash inventor Adam Back meanwhile took the opportunity to reiterate the difficulty of manipulating the Bitcoin blockchain.

“A Bitcoin reorg is just not happening, and I doubt any Bitcoin industry, miners nor developers considered it either,” he summarized, referencing previous, considerably larger, exchange hacks which came and went without such measures coming to pass.

What do you think about Binance’s remedial measures? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Twitter.

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Kvě 06

Twitter and Google Trends Interest Precedes Cryptocurrency Price, Study Finds

The volume of tweets and Google Search Volume Index (SVI) were found to be leading price indicators for Bitcoin and Ethereum, according to a research paper published by the Southern Methodist University.


The importance of sentiment

In the paper, researchers gathered data on Twitter mentioning Bitcoin and Ethereum; the same was done using Google trends. Building on the ideas of previous research, the hypothesis was that the number of tweets and their sentiment (positive and negative) can influence prices. In the study, it was uncovered that the number of tweets and Google searches changes first before prices do.

The role of sentiment in technical or market analysis is to uncover people’s attitudes towards an entire market or individual index (in this case Bitcoin and Ethereum). The theory of sentiment analysis is a branch of technical analysis that states that price discounts everything, and that price trends are ultimately a reflection of crowd psychology.

Therefore, in theory, if you could measure how positive or negative the people’s shared views are towards a particular stock or cryptocurrency, you could estimate its price trajectory.

Although in this particular study, tweet volume, and not sentiment, was found to be a leading factor in the price of cryptocurrencies. The lack of sentiment being the leading factor was theorized due to the amount of “noise” there is on Twitter about the currencies compared to actual conversation.

For instance, the researchers found that there 21 million bots on Twitter posting mostly factual information about prices, advertisements, spam etc. Not humans having real discussions about how they feel about either Bitcoin or Ethereum.

The other issue that researchers found with Twitter was that sentiment was mostly positive in nature — even when the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum were falling.

People who tweet about cryptocurrencies even when their prices drop have an interest in them beyond investment opportunity making the tweets biased towards positive.

Despite their findings, the researchers did not completely rule out sentiment analysis using different modeling techniques.

Methodology

In the study, researchers used to open source VADER (Valence Aware Dictionary and Sentiment Reasoner) for analyzing tweet data. Tweet data was taken dating back to 2014 using the site bitinfocharts.com. Google trends data (SVI) was taken as far back as 2004 scaled in the terms proportion to all searches on all topics for the terms Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Results

For the Google trends data, the report found that the price was highly correlated with searches for the keyword Bitcoin and Ethereum, and that these search spikes occurred before the actual increase in prices were observed.

Another strong correlation between Twitter and Bitcoin’s price was found, except this time with more compelling results.

Finally, using machine learning, the results from the Google trends and tweet data was also put into a linear model to verify the positive correlations. The data was split between a training model and testing in an 80% and 20% split.

Social Media Helps Monitor Investor ‘Chatter’

The VADER data could provide some valuable data for investors in gauging market sentiment.

Previously, Bitcoinist has covered the importance of social media chatter on Twitter before with tools such as the ‘Twitter Hype Index.’ But this is the first time that Twitter and SVI data has shown to lead, and not follow, the prices of the most popular cryptocurrencies.

Can social media data provide valuable trading insight? Share your thoughts below!


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Kvě 04

Singapore Students Receive ‘Tamper-Free’ Digital Certificates On Blockchain

Students at the high-school level and above in Singapore will from this year receive digital certificates upon graduation. The initiative uses blockchain technology to enable an “easy and reliable way” to prove qualifications through tamper-free certification.


Authenticating An Education

The concept is simple enough. Graduating students receive digital certificates via email, each of which has an embedded cryptographic proof. Schools also add the certificates to an individual’s MySkillsFuture account – an online portal charting career and lifelong learning pathways. A copy also resides on the Ethereum-blockchain-based OpenCerts platform.

When applying for jobs or further studies, students send the digital certificate to the employer or school.  Relevant parties can verify the certificate against the copy stored on the blockchain.

Education Minister Ong Ye Kung described the initiative as a “tangible example” of the benefits of Singapore’s Smart Nation journey.

With OpenCerts, we are harnessing the power of blockchain in a practical way. It allows for any education institute to issue OpenCerts, and for anyone to quickly check the validity of a digital certificate.

Cutting Through The Paperwork

This should make the job application and hiring process smoother for both the applicant, employer, and issuing institutions.

Students would no longer have to request certified-true copies of certificates from schools. Patrice Choong of Ngee Ann Polytechnic (NP), said that NP issues around 10,000 of these every year. He added that “issuing and verifying certificates was a ‘productivity issue’ that they wanted to deal with.”

In turn, employers could immediately verify digital diplomas as genuine, without having to approach the issuing institution. Mr. Choong says that NP receives around 2,000 such requests per year.

However, he stressed that students would still receive a physical certificate at a graduation ceremony.

Singapore Has Always Been An Asian Jewel

Singapore has been one of the most positive nations when embracing Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, and blockchain technology. The Central Bank of Singapore developed a blockchain-based settlement system for tokenized assets, and its sovereign wealth fund is a major investor in US-based exchange, Coinbase.

This latest initiative, however, is the first blockchain-based project rolled out at a national level.

Will this use-case prove to be a useful app for blockchain? Share your thoughts below!


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Kvě 01

No Cash For Sale: In World First ‘Bitcoin’ City

The UK’s Sun newspaper is touting the ‘World’s first Bitcoin city’ today, where all cash is banned. Backers of the venture hope that Melaka Straits City in Malaysia will attract 3 million crypto-tourists per year.


Take Me Down To The Bitcoin City…

Visitors will be able to exchange their normal money for digital currency when they arrive.

proclaims The Sun. Or “just use the digital currency they already own,” you might suggest – but you’d be wrong.

Melaka isn’t so much a ‘Bitcoin City’, as a ‘Crypto City’, and a ‘One Horse Crypto City’ at that. The digital currency you will (be forced to) change your ‘normal money’ into, is the DMI coin. Through Android, iOS, and PC apps, tourists will use these to pay for public services with their phones and computers.

DMI is a company that provides mobile enterprise, business intelligence, and cybersecurity services. It collaborated on this project to develop the DMI platform and coin.

…where the Cash is Banned…

The Chinese government-backed development will convert 835 acres of the Malaysian state of Malacca into the ‘tourist blockchain-destination of the future’. As well as the 3 million annual tourists it hopes to attract, Melaka will host businesses and education services.

It is not the only project of this type currently in development, either as a new city or the implementation of a crypto-economy in and existing city. Amongst others, these include so-called libertarian city, Liberstad in southern Norway, although the changes aren’t always for tourism reasons.

…it’s a Bit Like Disney?

While a true ‘Crypto City’ could do wonders to demonstrate the Bitcoin economy working at a holistic level, this does not seem to be it. It is hard to see how this is any different to exchanging your cash for Disney Dollars to spend while in the resort.

It also seems interesting that the Chinese government is backing this venture, as they’ve been coming across as ever-so-slightly anti-crypto. Perhaps it’s just a case of ‘not in their own back yard’?

Will this new crypto city succeed? Share your thoughts below!


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Dub 25

Tether Supply Hits Record High – Here’s What Bitcoin Did Last Time This Happened

Bitcoin price has room for immediate 12 percent growth, according to the latest figures showing current availability of major stablecoin Tether (USDT).


USDT Printing Peaks

Bitcoin price after correcting from its 2019 high of $5620 earlier this week, currently trades just under $5500.

At the same time, USDT production stepped up in April to almost reach its highest-ever level of $2.83 billion April 25.

As Bitcoin entrepreneur Alistair Milne noted on social media Thursday, the last time more than $2.8 billion worth of USDT tokens was in circulation was October 2018, at which time BTC price held at around $6250.

Tether production and reduction have traditionally impacted on Bitcoin price performance. As Bitcoinist previously reported, sudden ‘printing’ of USDT induces volatility in Bitcoin markets.

Since April 8, the USDT supply has increased by more than one third from its previous level of $2.08 billion.

Overall this month, BTC/USD 00 has jumped by a broadly similar amount – at press time, 32 percent since April 1.

Sending Bitcoin Back Over $6k

Tether has frequently come in for criticism over its printing activities, pressure increasing in recent months after officials appeared to quietly remove promises that all tokens were backed by US dollars.

Having billed itself as the opposite of fractional reserve banking, the new descriptions of USDT being supported by unspecified “reserves” drew predictably undesirable comparisons.

Nonetheless, the potential room for growth compounds already strong sentiment among commentators that Bitcoin price can only go up, not down, from current levels.

As Bitcoinist reported earlier this week, some of the industry’s best-known names have attributed high probabilities to the concept that the price of bitcoin has definitively bottomed.

Specifically, that ‘bottom’ came in December last year, when upheaval among developers of altcoin Bitcoin Cash caused BTC/USD to drop by almost half to $3100.

Going that low again, analyst Willy Woo concluded this week, is just 5 percent likely.

Not Out of the Woods Yet, But…

Buoying the bulls are factors centered on technical and adoption signs. Bitcoin economic activity, Bitcoinist noted this week, is around 30 percent higher than during the cryptocurrency’s all-time highs of $20,000 in December 2017.

Despite its lengthy bear market the following year, Bitcoin is nonetheless recovering strongly within the context of those highs.

The behavior sets Bitcoin further and further apart from altcoins, which have overwhelmingly lost more versus their best-ever price and broadly failed to recoup the losses in the interim.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently down 88 percent against Bitcoin’s 72 percent, while third-largest asset by market cap Ripple (XRP) is still down 90 percent.

What do you think about Tether supply versus Bitcoin price? Let us know in the comments below!


Images via Shutterstock, charts.cointrader.pro

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Dub 25

New Poll Reveals Italy As The Most Bullish European Country For Bitcoin

A new bitFlyer poll that sampled the opinions of 10,000 respondents across ten countries in Europe revealed a high percentage of Europeans, particularly in Italy and Norway, who say cryptocurrencies aren’t a fad.


Europeans Are Bullish On Cryptocurrencies

According to the details of the Google Survey carried out by bitFlyer, 63 percent (more than two-thirds) of Europeans believe cryptocurrencies will still exist by 2029.

Of the ten countries covered in the poll, participants from Norway showed the highest level of confidence in cryptocurrencies as 73 percent believe virtual currencies will still be around in ten years’ time.

French responders had the least confidence of the lot with only 55 percent expressing the belief that cryptos will last the next decade.

But Many Don’t Think Bitcoin Will Last

While the survey suggests Europeans are generally bullish on cryptocurrency as a whole, that enthusiasm didn’t extend towards Bitcoin. According to bitFlyer, the survey involved seven possible responses to the question “do you think Bitcoin will still exist in 10 years’ time.”

Only 49 percent of participants said that believed Bitcoin would last the decade. Italy had the highest percentage of Bitcoin believers with 55 percent while France once again occupied the rear with 40 percent.

Furthermore, only seven percent of the participants said Bitcoin will exist as a security or investment tool. Commenting on the patterns observed in the result, Andy Bryant, the COO of bitFlyer said:

The fact that Bitcoin is not generating as much support as other cryptocurrencies is in part a symptom of the market’s volatility but is also a direct impact of the constant media attention that is associated to its volatility.

Poll results aside, Bitcoin continues to outperform the rest of the cryptocurrency market combined. Recent upward gains in April have dampened most of the ground accumulated by altcoins during so-called ‘altseason.’

On the technical side, Bitcoin continues to process greater value transactions that all altcoins combined and even those with lower transaction fees. Security and network effect reign supreme.

From Hype to Legitimate Asset Class

On the whole, the results of bitFlyer’s Euro Poll are in line with the emerging sentiment of cryptocurrencies moving from hype to legitimate asset class. Earlier in April, an IMF Twitter poll showed more than half of responders saying that cryptos will become mainstream within the next five years.

Since 2018, there has been a considerable uptick in institutional involvement in the cryptocurrency market. From endowment funds taking investment positions to multinational conglomerates looking to establish vital crypto-based services.

The growing consensus among analysts is that the next crypto bull run will emerge on the back of a strengthened asset class as against the hype-driven speculative play that characterized the 2017 bull market.

These analysts point to the emergence of a robust Bitcoin market and technical fundamentals, as well as the decline of the ICO market.

Do you think Bitcoin will continue to be king of crypto? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.


Images via bitFlyer, Shutterstock

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