Dub 16

Bitcoin Consolidating Above $5K a ‘Positive Sign,’ Says Crypto Hedge Fund

It’s safe to say that Bitcoin has had a good Q1 2019, gaining upwards of 30 percent of its value since January 1st. Now, a new report has it that if the price consolidates above $5,000, this could lead to further increases throughout the year. 


Bitcoin Price $5K Consolidation a ‘Positive Sign’

According to a new report by BitBullCapital, a cryptocurrency hedge funds manager,”the fact that Bitcoin has managed to retain gains from early April is a very positive sign.

Moreover, CEO Joe DiPasquale outlines that the bitcoin price 00 is seeing consolidation above $5,000. If this continues for another week or two, it could lead up to a shot at the $5,500 level.

Going further, the report reiterates that the latest BTC/USD rally was caused by a large order, which was executed simultaneously on multiple exchanges and was likely an algorithmic one.

Notedly, such a move should have been viewed with a certain skepticism as it’s not organic or steady in its nature. However, it brought back substantial market momentum, which is considered to be a positive sign.

It’s worth noting, though, that Bitcoinist reported that another reason for the latest rally might be hidden in the increased activity across the board, as data shows that the number of active wallets has risen by as much as 40-60 percent.

This, with a significant uptick in institutional interest, are also likely the reasons why Bitcoin managed to sustain the recent gains.

But 2017-Type Run ‘Not in the Near Future’

On the other hand, the cryptocurrency hedge fund also believes that a run similar to that back in 2017 is unlikely to be seen “in the near future.”

It notes that for this to happen, there needs to be a major catalyst such as “global governmental approval and integration with mainstream services and portals.”

…[W]e do not believe a run similar to the 2017 drive can be seen again, at least not in the near future and particularly not in the absence of major catalysts such as global governmental approval and integration with mainstream services and portals… [W]e do expect steady growth in the years the come, building the foundation for a surge when the timing is right.

DiPasquale also says that there is a real risk for the cryptocurrency failing to maintain its current range and to retest the $5,000 level in the coming weekend if the trading volume starts to drop. Reads the report:

If $5,000 breaks, we are likely to see support around $4,700 – $4,800 and reconsider market sentiment and fundamentals.

However, Bitcoinist reported that the Mayer Multiple by Trace Mayer, a key indicator which called 2015’s bottom, is flashing again, suggesting that the price may have already bottomed.

Other Cryptocurrencies Would Benefit

On another note, it also outlines that an increase in Bitcoin’s price could also cause other cryptocurrencies, especially those closely related to it, to surge as well.

This already happened with Litecoin, which gained upwards of 55 percent following Bitcoin’s rally.

The cryptocurrency has since lost some of its gains but is still substantially higher than prices from last month.

BitBull Capital manages cryptocurrency hedge funds, and is the “the first cryptocurrency fund of funds,” BitBull Fund manages a strategically selected bundle of 10 of the more than 600 crypto hedge funds for its investors, including gaining access to exclusive, closed funds and $M-minimum funds.

What do you think of the recent report? Do you think we’ve entered a new bull run or are the bears still in charge? Don’t hesitate to let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, TradingView

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Dub 14

It’s ‘Irresponsible’ For Investors Not To Have Any Bitcoin Exposure – Says Xapo CEO

Xapo CEO, Wences Casares, believes that it would be “irresponsible” for any investor not to have at least a one percent position in bitcoin as it could have a bigger impact on the world than the internet. 


Minimal Bitcoin Exposure, Maximum Gains

In an essay published by Kana and Katana back in March 2019, the Xapo chief laid down an argument for Bitcoin to take up one percent of every investment portfolio. According to Casares, a $10 million with a one percent allocation to BTC could yield close to $25 million within seven to ten years.

Casares based his analysis on his forecast that BTC could top $1 million within the stated timeframe. Conversely, if Bitcoin fails, the portfolio would only have lost the original one percent – $100,000.

Wences Casares

According to Casares:

Bitcoin offers a unique opportunity for a non-material exposure to produce a material outcome. It would be irresponsible to have an exposure to Bitcoin that one cannot afford to lose because the risk of losing the principal is very real. But it would be almost as irresponsible to not have any exposure at all.

Investment legend, Biller Miller is a popular example of Casares’ logic. In July 2017, Miller took up a one percent position on BTC. By mid-December 2017, BTC accounted for 50 percent of Miller’s total asset under management, simply because BTC/USD gained almost 700 percent in value during that period.

The 2018 bear market probably, reduced Bitcoin’s proportion with respect to the rest of Miller’s portfolio. However, with BTC price still double what it was in July 2017, Miller’s bitcoin bag is still in the green.

Bitcoin Resembles the Early Internet

For Casares, whose company stores over $10 billion in BTC for clients in Swiss ‘bunkers,’ the signs pointing towards Bitcoin’s long-term success continue to become evident as time passes. For one, the Xapo chief says Bitcoin resembles the early internet in many ways.

Casares highlighted how since the establishment of the Internet, the world has seen little of protocol developments and with more emphasis on creating companies. Bitcoin, according to the Xapo CEO represents a new paradigm-altering protocol that could have even greater ramifications than the Internet.

Coming from a purely technical standpoint, Casares does agree that there exists the possibility that Bitcoin might not necessarily fail, but become obsolete. He says companies could create solutions on a protocol level that appeal more to users than Bitcoin’s current state.

Casares has previously made expressed similar sentiments, describing Bitcoin as an intellectual experiment that could still fail.

However, Bitcoin’s leaderless open-source and borderless approach to both its tech and economics are diminishing this possibility alongside its ever-growing network effect and first-mover advantage.

Meanwhile, there is a growing unease with the policies of governments and central banks that are making BTC become an even more attractive proposition to investors as a hedge.

Forget Altcoins, BTC is the Real Deal

Casares also adds that the other over 2,000 altcoins don’t stand a chance. The Xapo CEO says Bitcoin as a protocol is already on its way to succeeding in ways altcoins can’t.

5 Altcoins with Major Events the week of April 1, 2018 (Gains Likely to Beat BTC Returns!)

Elaborating on the gulf in utility and adoption, Casares noted:

Over 60 million people own Bitcoin and over 1 million people become new owners every month. The other 1,000 cryptocurrencies [that process at least one transaction per day] have less than 5 million owners combined, so Bitcoin will add more users in the next 5 months than those 1,000 cryptocurrencies added in their combined history.

Back in August 2018, Casares declared that altcoins will eventually face a “mass extinction event.” Commentators like Matt Hougan of Bitwise and Barry Silbert of Digital Currency group also believe that most altcoins will not survive the crypto version of the dot-com bubble bursting. After which, most altcoins will go to zero.

Bitcoin’s superiority becomes even more apparent given that its value transfer dwarfs all cryptocurrencies despite having fewer BTC transactions per day than some altcoins.

Should investment portfolios consider taking up a one percent position on Bitcoin? Share your thoughts with us in the comments below.


Image via Twitter (@wences), realidadeconomica.com.ar

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Úno 26

Swiss Bank Julius Baer Launching Crypto Services to Meet ‘Increasing Demand’

The Swiss private bank industry is stepping up its efforts to become a formidable world player in the crypto industry. Now, Julius Baer, one of the largest and oldest Swiss private banks, and SEBA Crypto AG are joining forces to offer their clients a range of digital asset services, in a fully regulated environment.


Major Swiss Banks Embracing Cryptocurrencies

The Julius Baer group is partnering with SEBA to respond to its clients’ growing demands for crypto asset services. According to the announcement on February 26, 2019,

Julius Baer will enter into a partnership with SEBA to take advantage of their innovative platform and capabilities in order to provide Julius Baer clients with leading-edge solutions in the area of digital assets to meet an increasing demand.

At the announcement, Peter Gerlach, Head Markets at Julius Baer, remarked,

At Julius Baer, we are convinced that digital assets will become a legitimate, sustainable asset class of an investor’s portfolio. The investment into SEBA as well as our strong partnership is proof of Julius Baer’s engagement in the area of digital assets and our dedication to make pioneering innovation available to the benefit of our clients.

Julius Baer’s move follows the trend set by other Swiss private banks. In August 2017, Maerki Baumann Private Bank announced that it would be accepting cryptocurrencies. And, Falcon bank already allows direct crypto transfers, while its blockchain facilitates investments in Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ether, and Litecoin.

Moreover, Switzerland’s stock exchange Six has been offering a Bitcoin-heavy cryptocurrency ETP for some time now and planning its own security token offering (STO) later this year.

Bridging the Gap Between Fiat and Cryptocurrencies

SEBA, headquartered in Zug, Switzerland, aims “to build a FINMA supervised and progressive technological bridge between the traditional and the crypto worlds.”

SEBA is currently petitioning The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) for a banking license.

Swiss Regulators Engage Banks to Prevent Exodus of Cryptocurrency Ventures

The partnership with Julius Baer will take effect when SEBA obtains a securities dealer and banking license from FINMA.

Thus, besides providing a platform for storage, transaction and trading solutions for digital assets, SEBA will ensure that these services will be delivered within the FINMA regulatory framework. In this regard, Guido Buehler, CEO SEBA, underlines,

We are very proud to have Julius Baer as an investor. SEBA will enable easy and safe access to the crypto world in a fully regulated environment. The cooperation between SEBA and Julius Baer will undoubtedly create value for the mutual benefit and to the clients.

How do you think Julius Bair and other major Swiss banks’ ventures into the crypto space will impact Bitcoin’s value? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of  Twitter/@Juliusbaier, Shutterstock

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Led 25

Wall Street Invests $20M to Bridge Blockchain With Capital Markets

Despite the bear market, and rising camp of naysayers predicting Bitcoin’s demise, Wall Street is steadily plowing funds into crypto. The latest blockchain company to catch investors’ eyes is Symbiont, a New York startup bringing blockchain tech to capital markets.


2019 The Year of Institutional Investment

Bitcoinist reported yesterday that Nasdaq is positively bullish on bitcoin. Ahead of Davos, Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman stated unequivocably that cryptocurrencies would play an important role in the future. She even predicted that bitcoin could become a global currency.

Now the world’s second largest stock exchange Nasdaq Ventures initiative is taking the lead in Symbiont’s series B funding round. Along with Citigroup, and other high-name investors including Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd, they’re investing $20 million.

This vote of support in Symbiont shows that Wall Street is still anxious to make its way into the cryptocurrency space. Despite a torrid 12 months with as much as 90 percent of value wiped off of some altcoins.

Blockchain Technology Called into Question

According to Symbiont CEO Mark Smith, this much-needed backing from Wall Street comes not only during the crypto winter but at a time when blockchain technology is being called into question as well.

After an overhyped 2017, 2018 left people’s expectations deflated like a helium balloon after a children’s party. Smith told Bloomberg that we were now entering a much more “realistic phase” about what blockchain can and cannot do.

We are leaving the peak of the hype cycle and entering the trough of disillusionment, especially for people who inappropriately applied this technology hoping it would become a panacea for solving all their problems.

From finding a cure to cancer to eradicating corruption in the supply chain, blockchain was the solution. However, it’s becoming clear that while the technology is undoubtedly important, its uses are limited–for the current time.

What Makes Symbiont a Good Bet?

Symbiont’s smart contract platform Assembly allows financial institutions to verify and share data. By using smart contracts, the company aims to make the mortgage bond market more efficient. It also plans to speed up times for syndicated loans.

As well as the backing of Nasdaq, Citi, Novogratz, and Jim Pallotta’s Raptor Group Holdings, Symbiont has also teamed up with Vanguard Group Inc.

This will be an important partnership that will enable investment giant Vanguard to apply blockchain tech to update the index data behind mutual funds.

Symbiont will use the funds to improve their data management process and work on private equity, mortgages, and syndicated loans.

And as for Nasdaq? The world’s second largest stock exchange will be looking into opportunities to capture new clients who want to tokenize assets and use smart contracts through Symbiont’s Assembly platform. Watch this space.

Will this latest cash injection materialize for the Wall Street investors? Share your thoughts below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock

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Pro 31

Bakkt Raises $182.5M From Microsoft And Other Big-Name Investors

Bakkt on Monday announced the completion of its first funding round, to the tune of $182.5 million. The platform which aims to offer the first-ever Bitcoin-settled futures contracts in the coming year says it is going ahead with its plans irrespective of the current market conditions.


$182.5 Million in Funding From High Profile Investors

In a Medium post published on Monday (Dec. 31, 2018) by the Bakkt CEO, Kelly Loeffler, the company announced that it had successfully carried out its first funding round. According to the announcement, 12 investors participated in the capital raising exercise.

The CEO notes the investors including some big names, namely:

The partners and investors in the first round include Boston Consulting Group, CMT Digital, Eagle Seven, Galaxy Digital, Goldfinch Partners, Alan Howard, Horizons Ventures, Intercontinental Exchange, Microsoft’s venture capital arm, M12, Pantera Capital, PayU, the fintech arm of Naspers, and Protocol Ventures.

Bakkt Moving Ahead Despite Bear Market

For Loeffler, the status quo remains unchanged despite the prolonged bear market that characterized the cryptocurrency space in 2018. The company intends to continue its drive for proper onboarding of clients, as well as, collaborating with relevant business partners.

New York Stock Exchange Owner to Launch Bitcoin Data Service

Reinstating Bakkt’s commitment and resolve to the process, Loeffler, said:

We have worked to build new markets and products many times before. Those of us building Bakkt have earned our stripes by helping advance markets in once-nascent asset classes, from energy to credit derivatives and, now, bitcoin. The path to developing new markets is rarely linear: progress tends to modulate between innovation, dismissal, reinvention, and, finally, acceptance.

According to Loeffler, focusing on the BTC price 00 action is a distraction from the groundbreaking developments happening with Bitcoin as a whole. The Bakkt CEO also noted that paradigm-shifting technological breakthroughs have a long incubation time and price isn’t always the best metric for gauging growth.

Notably, 2018 was the most active year for crypto in its brief ten-year history. This was evidenced by rising investment in distributed ledger technology and digital assets, as well as by blockchain network metrics such as daily bitcoin transaction value and active addresses. Yet, these milestones tend to be overshadowed by the more narrow focus on bitcoin’s price…

Bakkt Postponed From January to ‘Early 2019’

Bakkt and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) continue to work out modalities for the launch of the BTC-settled futures contracts. However, the current government shutdown in the United States looks like it has pushed back the January 2019 launch to “early 2019.”

The official statement published on December 31, reads:

Following consultation with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, ICE Futures U.S., Inc. expects to provide an updated launch timeline in early 2019, for the trading, clearing and warehousing of the Bakkt Bitcoin (USD) Daily Futures Contract. The launch had previously been set for January 24, 2019, but will be amended pursuant to the CFTC’s process and timeline.

While awaiting CFTC approval, the platform says it will continue to onboard customers while firming up its institutional-grade infrastructure.

Do you think the signs are good for Bakkt following this successful fundraising round? Please share your thoughts with us in the comments below.


Image courtesy of Twitter (@Bakkt), Shutterstock

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Pro 30

New Survey Finds 40% of Chinese Want To Invest In Bitcoin

A new survey asked nearly 5000 Chinese people about their familiarity and interest in cryptocurrency. The results of the survey show that two in five or 40 percent wanting to invest in bitcoin, despite the current bear market.


Subject Knowledge

The survey found that 98 percent of the respondents had heard of at least one concept related to cryptocurrency or blockchain.

Although, only 50 percent said they had heard of cryptocurrency, digital currency or bitcoin, and 42% had heard of blockchain. One would imagine a very high level of crossover in these two groups, so it is unclear what the other 48 percent had heard of.

Only 20% of those who have heard of blockchain claim to have an understanding of the technology. Half of these were millennials, suggesting a greater level of crypto-interest amongst this group.

Indeed, the affinity for digital payments among the millennial generation alongside a deep distrust in banks following the ’08 financial crisis may be setting the stage for Bitcoin adoption to happen naturally.

In November, Bitcoinist noted:

[I]n 8 years, there will be no person under 18 years old who have lived in a world without Bitcoin, which has been working flawlessly their whole lives. This will be the reality for everyone born in 2009 and beyond.

Their trust in bitcoin will be as profound as their trust in gravity.

Invested In Crypto

14 percent of survey respondents had invested in cryptocurrency. Of these, one in five have little knowledge and only know about Bitcoin, two in five know about mainstream cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and EOS, and two in five have knowledge of other altcoins.

China’s First Bitcoin Documentary Premiere

Influencers play an important role in the spread of cryptocurrency awareness. Nearly 40% of those polled had discovered crypto through online celebrities. 25 percent learned about crypto through friends and relatives, whilst 20 percent became aware through media coverage.

Age Appropriate

60 percent of those who had invested in cryptocurrency was in the 19-28 age range, with most having invested between 10,000 and 100,000 yuan ($1450 – $14,500). Most of this group invested after the 2017 bull-run, so will likely be nursing some major losses.

Despite this, 40 percent of the survey respondents said that they would invest any spare funds in cryptocurrency in the future.

Barriers To Entry

However, almost 60 percent of respondents said they were scared off by complicated procedures when using wallets or exchanges. A similar number believe that they don’t need crypto as a means of payment, due to existing mobile payment options being pervasive in the country.

Despite these misgivings and the ongoing legality issues, the survey claimed to be the largest of its kind, seems to indicate a bright future for crypto in China.

What do you think of the survey’s findings? Share your thoughts below! 


Images courtesy of Shutterstock

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Pro 26

Perfect Storm: Bitcoin Didn’t Exist in the Last Financial Crisis

Bitcoin has been quietly preparing for over a decade for the next market storm as a non-political alternative to the money printing pyramid.


Bitcoin Separates Money and State

Bitcoin was forged by the last great financial crisis of 2008 and designed to thrive in financial turmoil.

“Bitcoin adoption has always been driven by bank failures, bailouts, bail-ins, and political unrest,” said Max Keiser in an interview with Bitcoinist earlier this month.

It’s certainly no coincidence that Satoshi Nakamoto left a message in the first ever mined Bitcoin block —known as the genesis block. It famously contains the dated title of an FT article:

The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.

The anonymous creator hints that Bitcoin is a non-political alternative to the existing financial system. The Bitcoin whitepaper could, in fact, be interpreted by some as a declaration of the separation of money and state. 

Bitcoin was an inevitability  a solution to downfalls of the trust-based monetary system — in which central banks and governments have historically abused that trust at the expense of the public.

For almost fifty years now, the de facto global currency has essentially been running on ‘full faith and credit’ only. The problem is that when this faith is tested by the markets (i.e. reality), credit-fuelled bubbles are exposed. When they go pop, liquidity dries up and cash once again becomes king.

Bitcoin: Trust Buster

So it’s no surprise that cash injections — euphemistically known as QE (Quantative Easing) — have become the preferred drug prescribed by central banks to fuel the longest bull market in history. 

At the same time, the demand for the US dollar hasn’t waned but actually risen. This phenomenon may have impacted the price of bitcoin 00 this year, according to Keiser.

“The problem Bitcoin has had recently is its competitor, the US Dollar, has been rising,” he explains.

When the dollar rolls over and starts dropping, Bitcoin will hit new ATH.

Meanwhile, critics say it’s too volatile to be a safe haven alternative. Its price has admittedly dropped by 85 percent from its all-time high in 2017. But proponents, like Max Keiser and many others, argue that short-term price fluctuations do not matter if the legacy fiat monetary system is inherently flawed.

They also note that savvy investors are realizing the long-term value proposition of holding the world’s most politically-neutral, hard form of money.

Simply put, trusting no one pays off for those who wait.

Bitcoin Transfers Value From the Sodler to the Hodler

Saifedean Ammous, economist and author of the Bitcoin Standard, states that Bitcoin’s attributes, particularly immutability and neutrality, make it attractive to investors with a long-time preference.

saifedean

Saifedean Ammous

He explained:

Bitcoin has already gone through 9 years of growth out in the wilds of the internet, mostly without a central planner in charge of it after its creator disappeared. It grew because it offered utility to enough users and developers to keep maintaining it.

It has weathered attacks and hacks and ‘community conflict’ and plenty of powerful interests and questionable characters trying to bend it to their will. After all of this, Bitcoin can indeed claim to be immutable. Once it became clear Bitcoin was successful at doing this, then anyone who was interested in an immutable digital hard money could use it.”

Coinbase President Asiff Hirji, whose San Francisco-based exchange launched a custodial platform for institutional investors earlier this year, also sees Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies rewarding the patient in the future.

According to Hirji, none of Coinbase’s investors speculated on BTC price when they valued the exchange at $8 billion earlier this year. They weren’t betting on what the price will be “today, tomorrow or even a year from now,” he said 

“If that’s your time horizon, as an institutional investor, you shouldn’t be touching this,” adds Hirji.

Fragile Fiat

From a security standpoint, centralized money systems are also honeypots. Centralized infrastructure is prone to hacks and shut down compared to a much more robust decentralized network like Bitcoin, which has been operating 24/7 with 99.8 percent uptime.

What’s more, third-parties aren’t just security holes. They are also structurally political. A duopoly such as Visa and Mastercard, for example, can (and do) restrict access for their own reasons, and even have the power to push other companies to toe the line.

bakkt earnings season Wall Street's Old Guard Has A Double Standard When It Comes To Bitcoin

The next global financial crisis is baked into the fiat cake. It’s a matter of not if, but when.

Will Bitcoin be ready? Only time will tell. But with warning signs already surfacing such as global social unrest and the markets tanking, the test may come sooner rather than later. 

Do you consider Bitcoin the perfect long-term investment? Share your thoughts below! 


Images courtesy of Bitcoinist archives, Shutterstock

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Pro 21

Bakkt Bitcoin-Settled Futures Set To Be Approved in Early 2019

Bakkt, a platform for the first-ever Bitcoin-settled futures contract, is expected to be approved by the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), according to the Wall Street Journal.


CFTC Approval Imminent

According to the Wall Street Journal, Bakkt will soon receive a regulatory green light from the CFTC for its Bitcoin futures contract. The WSJ notes:

The first futures contract that will pay out in cryptocurrency rather than cash is expected to soon get regulatory approval.

Bakkt, owned by Intercontinental Exchange Inc., will be the first to offer a BTC-settled futures product.

The Chairman Of The CFTC Might Just Have Brought The Bitcoin Crash To An End

Both Bakkt and the CFTC have been working together to iron out crucial issues relating to the futures contract. CFTC is also reportedly examining Bakkt’s business plan to determine whether they comply with its regulations.

Another major point of concern has to do with cybersecurity infrastructure. Cryptocurrencies are a target of hackers and other cybercriminals. The CFTC is looking at Bakkt’s security framework and the modalities in place to recover from a possible cyberattack.

Previously, Bakkt had to postpone the launch of BTC futures contracts to 2019 to give more room for proper customer onboarding and warehousing for the product.

In a press released issued by ICE back in November, the company announced that Bakkt would begin trading BTC futures on January 24, 2019. According to available reports, the CFTC will likely vote on the matter in early 2019.

Focus on Price Discovery

For Bakkt, the mechanism of price discovery is a critical issue given that its contract will be BTC-settled and not cash-settled like the ones offered by the CME and the CBOE.

Back in 2017, the appeal of the futures contract provided by the latter two gave traders the ability to place leveraged bets on BTC price 00 movement without having to buy the cryptocurrency itself.

However, the dynamics of price discovery could improve with Bakkt contracts being settled in actual bitcoin to gauge real demand as opposed to placing USD cash bets on BTC price movement. In August 2018, Bakkt CEO, Kelly Loeffler, said:

A critical element to price discovery is physical delivery. Specifically, with our solution, the buying and selling of Bitcoin is fully collateralized or pre-funded. As such, our new daily Bitcoin contract will not be traded on margin, use leverage, or serve to create a paper claim on a real asset.

Apart from Bakkt, Nasdaq has also confirmed that it wants to launch its Bitcoin futures product in 2019 and possibly other altcoins like Ethereum thereafter.

Will Bakkt Bitcoin futures get approved and make Bitcoin price discovery more accurate? Share your thoughts below!


Image courtesy of Twitter (@Bakkt), Shutterstock

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Pro 07

‘Buffett Bet 2.0’ – Investment Fund Puts $1M on Bitcoin to Outperform S&P 500

Asset manager, Morgan Creek Digital, is offering an interesting wager if anyone is willing to take it. It’s willing to bet $1 million, that its Bitcoin-focused Digital Asset Index Fund outperforms the S&P500 over the next ten years.


Buffett Bet 2.0

The fund tracks ten major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin, although the bulk (78%) is Bitcoin. Morgan Creek is so sure of their success, that the partners are putting up the stake themselves.

The wager has been dubbed ‘Buffett Bet 2.0’, after a similar bet made by Warren Buffett, that the S&P500 would outperform a selection of hedge funds over a ten year period. Buffett won that bet, collecting his prize just last year.

Morgan Creek partner, Anthony Pompliano, says the plan is to donate the proceeds to charity, win or lose.

Cold Winter

The bet comes at an interesting time, as Bitcoin (BTC) 00 and other cryptocurrencies are enduring a prolonged crypto-winter. However, US stocks have also fallen recently, due to a number of concerns over global outlook.

Pompliano explained that the company was not just being bullish on crypto, but that its competition was also not exactly at an all-time high.

This is a combination of our outlook not only for the upside of cryptocurrencies but also the outlook on public equities.

Bad Form

Morgan Creek had better cling to the mantra of ‘past performance is not indicative of future results,’ however. The last big bet on Bitcoin is just weeks away from losing.

A call option costing $1 million was placed on a bitcoin price of $50,000 at the end of last year. Following a year which saw the price move from $1000 to $20,000, that may have seemed like a safe bet. However, for the contract to be worth anything now, Bitcoin must see an increase of almost the same magnitude in just three weeks.

Let’s hope that Morgan Creek Digital has stocked up on rabbit’s feet, horseshoes, and four-leaved clovers.

Earlier this year, an Australian investor tried to make a $6.3 million bet with Berkshire Hathaway, that Bitcoin would top its share price by 2023. It’s not thought that the famously crypto-skeptic company took him up on the offer.

Who will win the bet? Share your prediction below!


 Images courtesy of Shutterstock

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Lis 26

Bitcoin ETF ‘Definitely Possible,’ SEC Commissioner Confirms

SEC commissioner, Hester Peirce, recently appeared on the ‘What Bitcoin Did’ podcast, confirming that a Bitcoin ETF was definitely possible.


‘I Dissent’

The most notably pro-bitcoin SEC commissioner, Hester Peirce, appeared on the ‘What Bitcoin Did’ podcast at the weekend. Whilst unwilling to describe a future Bitcoin ETF as inevitable, she did confirm it was definitely possible.

Peirce first won the hearts of the crypto-community with her ‘statement of dissent’, following yet another denied Winklevoss ETF application. In the statement made in July, she publicly disagreed with the Commission’s view, that Bitcoin was not “ripe enough, respectable enough, or regulated enough to be worthy of our markets.”

She felt that the SEC had gone beyond its jurisdiction, in assessing the underlying asset, rather than the specific market that it would trade in.

In the podcast she reasserts that the SEC has a specific mandate, to uphold the regulatory framework. She believes that the SEC should allow for innovation within that framework and not become interventionist.

‘Crypto’ Not A Free Pass

Peirce explains that the SEC has brought in specialists to advise in the area of cryptocurrency, who have led the agency to take to a cautious approach. She believes that it is right to pursue those who use “crypto” in an attempt to scam people out of money but is pushing to allow more scope for innovation.

Just because you are calling something Crypto does not mean you can ignore the rules we have had in place for years… but I do think we also need to be willing to open the doors a little bit wider for innovation.

She stresses that although so far all cryptocurrency ETF applications have been rejected, they are still open.

Ongoing Relationship

Peirce points out that the commissioners have been inviting comments from the public, and that this process is extremely useful. The applications are an ongoing relationship or conversation, the SEC’s orders following denial simply point out issues to address.

One the face of it, it may seem like the SEC is poking around and trying to cause issues but in reality, it might be the opposite.

Peirce explains that many comments enquire about the timing of the route to final approval, but this is not so easy to answer. Each proposal is assessed on its own merits, and each is designed differently. So when a particular proposal will convince three of the five commissioners is hard to say.

Peirce suggests it must run its course.

Meanwhile, this month Switzerland approved the first Bitcoin ETP to trade on the Six Stock Exchange. This is the main stock exchange in Switzerland and the fourth largest in Europe. So it seems the winds of change are blowing and it can only be a matter of time before they reach across the Atlantic.

Will the Bitcoin ETF be approved by the final deadline in February? Let us know below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock

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