Čvc 17

Bitcoin Extends Losses With 12% Slide, Targets $8,000

Bitcoin continues to trade at four figures today as a new wave of bearish momentum sends the asset plummeting below $9,600. A couple of big red candles dumped bitcoin over a thousand bucks in a matter of hours and has left the asset scrambling to find support.


Bitcoin Drops Over $1,000 in a Day

This is not the first time BTC has shed over a thousand dollars in a day, and it probably wont be the last. From a Monday high of $11k bitcoin dropped to settle at the mid $10k level before plunging into four figures during late trading yesterday.

bitcoin

BTC price one hour chart. Tradingview.com

According to charts from Tradingview, BTC bottomed out at $9,250 before climbing back slightly. The recovery has not been strong and further losses are expected. At the time of writing bitcoin was trading at 00. Daily volume has returned to $25 billion but it is largely bearish at the moment, as traders take profits from the recent rally and newbies who bought at the top panic sell.

The move has dropped bitcoin’s market capitalization back to $170 billion and resulted in a loss of $30 billion from the global crypto market cap in just 24 hours.

As per usual, chartists and traders are looking for the next levels of support which appear to be back in the $8,000s as predicted earlier this week. Josh Rager is sticking by his $8k call but adds that altcoins are likely to dump even further.

My current Bitcoin view for max correction is near $8k (give or take 5%) which would be a near 40%+ pullback. This also means that altcoins would retrace at a much deeper %

At the moment bitcoin has corrected 33% from its 2019 high so it stands to reason that there could be further to fall. Crypto analyst and trader Alex Krüger correctly pointed out that the harder they pump, the harder they dump.

Bull market corrections are unavoidable and should be welcome. Assets that go too far up too fast tend to crash the hardest. As everyone who speculated with the price of bitcoin during 2017 and 2018 well knows.

Altcoins Still Melting

There has been no respite for the altcoins in the market as of yet, with many still in free-fall during the Asian trading session today. Ethereum has matched bitcoin’s dump with a 12% slide back to $200, EOS has been smashed even further sliding back to almost crypto winter lows of $3.70.

Also dumping double digits at the moment is Litecoin, BSV, Tron, Cardano, Monero, Dash, Chainlink, IOTA and NEO. It seems like the widespread rumors of the threat of an outright bitcoin ban in the US has put everyone into panic mode this week.

Will bitcoin dump back to $8,000 again? Add your thoughts below.


Images courtesy of Tradingview, Twitter @Josh_Rager,  Shutterstock

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Čvc 12

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Divergence At $11,500

Bitcoin price hit a peak of $13,000 on the 10th of July just two days ago. Since this price levels have pulled back to POC (Point of Control) around $11,300 as mentioned in my previous bitcoin price analysis. Three descending lows are evident on the 30 Minute time-frame alongside descending volume and ascending RSI which is a clear indication of bullish divergence.


Bitcoin Price 30 Minute Analysis

BTC 30 Min

On the 30-minute bitcoin price analysis chart, we can see clear bullish divergence playing out. Bright as day, we can see highlighted the descending peaks in both price action and volume. In addition to this, RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows clear ascending momentum. These are the three main points to look out for when trying to gauge bullish divergence, this coupled with the fact that market price is trading at POC (Point of Control) around $11,600 begins to paint a very bullish picture for BTC’s short-term price action.

Both the 50MA and 200EMA are sandwiching market price, this is a clear indication of consolidation before a big move. BTC’s volume is at it’s lowest in the last 3 Days and price levels aren’t continuing to dump meaning there’s good support around the current market price.

Provided the bullish divergence plays out as expected, price levels could break July’s monthly high of $13,000 over the coming days. The trend is still very much bullish and bears don’t seem to be gaining much momentum as outlined in yesterday’s bitcoin price analysis on BTC.


Understanding Bullish Divergence

Bullish divergence is simply when the candlesticks create lower lows and your indicators create higher highs. This signals that bearish selling momentum during a pull-back or correction is starting to fade out. Understanding how to spot divergence in the market is a crucial fundamental skill that every crypto trader must learn. Characteristics such as a clear curve in short-term price action as highlighted in my technical analysis above on BTC, and three or two clear descending lows in price action.

Regular Bullish Divergence

  • Reversal of current downtrend
  • Second or third low.
  • Price makes new Lower Low, but the indicator makes Higher Low.
  • Trend changes to the upside.

Traders in both traditional and emerging financial markets will grasp a firm understanding of how to spot divergence. Given the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, being able to predict future price action based on the simple rules above can provide assistance in developing your edge in the market, and in becoming a profitable trader. Below you can see an example of bullish divergence playing out in the Forex markets.

Bullish Divergence

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

Do you utilize divergence as a part of your trading strategy? Let us know in the comments below!


Images via Shutterstock, Tradingview

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Čvc 09

Bitcoin Price Rallies Towards $13,000 In Sudden 11% Surge

Just yesterday the Bitcoin price sentiment was starting to turn bearish as markets began to cool off. Many of the top analysts on crypto twitter had hinted at further losses as BTC posted lower highs. Today it has surged back in an epic 11% pump back towards $13,000.


Bitcoin Price Bears Bashed Again

BTC had been consolidating around $11,500 since recovering from its dip into four figures early last week. That range bound action finally broke during early Asian trading this morning when Bitcoin price broke through resistance and traded north of $12,000.

The king of crypto did not stay there and made a big push up to a new 13 day high of $12,880 according to Tradingview. It is the highest price Bitcoin has attained since June 27 when it slid down from that peak just $900 higher.

bitcoin

BTC price 1 hour chart – Tradingview.com

A new 2019 high could be imminent if Bitcoin price can close above the previous two daily candles at $12,950. Trader and analyst Josh Rager, who said yesterday’s weekly close was bearish, has changed his tune today as BTC continues to defy the markets.

“With lower-highs on the 4 hr chart, I’d look to lean bearish as we start the week”

“Fool me once, shame on you… Fool me twice, shame on me. No way was I shorting Bitcoin after a close under the resistance again. Not much stopping this train, just minor daily & weekly resistance left until new yearly highs.”

Altcoin Annihilation

Rager continued to comment on Bitcoin dominance which was approaching 67% at the time of writing.

“Bitcoin Dominance on its way above 66%. This is why you always keep a healthy percentage of your portfolio in Bitcoin especially in a bull market.”

It is the highest market share Bitcoin has had since December 2017 and those predominantly holding altcoins will be in a world of pain at the moment. Of the $26 billion that has entered the crypto markets over the past 24 hours, BTC is responsible for almost 85% of it.

The top three crypto assets after Bitcoin have not even gained 3 percent each. Even Litecoin, which is halving in just 27 days, has only managed a blip to get above $123. There are a number in the red at the moment including BNB, TRX, ADA, XMR, LEO, LINK and ATOM.

Many of those interviewed at the Taipei Blockchain event (link to Taipei article) were confident that altcoins would rally again soon but at the moment they are getting buried by their big brother. A new 2019 high could be imminent for BTC this week and after today’s move, all eyes are on $14,000.

Will Bitcoin price break resistance to hit a new yearly high? Add your thoughts below.

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Čvc 05

Bitcoin Price Begins Consolidation; Markets Cooling Down

As the parties wind down in the US and the impending hangovers begin to fester, Bitcoin is taking a breather. In what appears to be the beginning of a consolidation phase, BTC has dropped around 8% on the day.


Bitcoin Price Falls Back To $11000

The epic 25% bounce back from the depths of $9,600 took Bitcoin price to $12000 briefly yesterday. For the duration of the fourth, it managed to consolidate around $11,800 but has fallen sharply a few hours ago. The latest dip has returned BTC back to $11k, and it is currently holding just above there at 00.

bitcoin

BTC price 1-hour chart – Tradingview.com

Daily volume has retreated back to $25 billion and BTC market capitalization has just dipped below $200 billion again. As Bitcoinist reported earlier this week, BTC may have found a new floor at around $10,000 but a drop below this could signal a deeper dip than the previous one, possibly somewhere back in the $8k region.

The CT traders seem to have taken the day off for the US holiday and things are pretty quiet in crypto land at the moment. Looking at next levels of support, the 50-day moving average is currently at $9,200 so this may serve as the next lower low if BTC heads south again.

On the four-hour chart, Bitcoin price has already dropped below the 50 MA and could head towards the 200 which is currently at $9,600. As in previous cycles, there was a lot of buying pressure at four figures but this may not be of the same magnitude if BTC drops below $10k again.

CNBC, which often serves as a counter trade signal, seems to be bullish on Bitcoin however with this rather festive tweet posted a few hours ago.

Altcoins Getting Battered Again

Total crypto market capitalization has dumped over $15 billion on the day but Bitcoin dominance remains over 65% according to Tradingview.com. Yet again the altcoins, which are already in bad shape, are getting battered.

Ethereum has dumped 5% to return to $285 and XRP has shed a similar amount falling back to $0.387. Litecoin is holding $120 at the moment but Bitcoin Cash and EOS are both down 4%. There is a lot of red on the altcoin markets during Asian trading this morning and only a handful of the very low cap ones are making any progress.

The weekend may see more consolidation from Bitcoin which appears to result in a dump in the altcoins. It might be time for the daddy of crypto to take a breather for a bit.

Will Bitcoin price make another lower low or remain here for a while? Add your thoughts below.


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, , Tradingview

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Čvc 04

Bitcoin Price Approaching $12000 Again As Dominance Hits 65%

The recent Bitcoin price correction was over before it really began. A five-day slide culminating in a short-lived 30% dip below $10000 saw a huge bounce back by over 20% as BTC surged back above $11000. It’s market dominance is now heading towards highs not seen since 2017.


Bitcoin Dominance Hits 65%

Bitcoin price has continued to push higher since it topped $11000, 24 hours ago. There was clearly huge buying pressure at four figures and some have suggested that BTC may never fall that low again. The gradual crank higher has taken Bitcoin price to $12000 again during the morning’s Asian trading session. It is now exactly 25% higher than the dip on Tuesday.

bitcoin

BTC price 1-hour candles. Tradingview.com

A few hours ago one big green candle lifted Bitcoin price back above the 200 moving average on the hourly chart. It has pulled back a little and is currently trading at 00. Zooming out to the daily chart still paints a very bullish picture for BTC.

Once again the move has increased Bitcoin market dominance to highs not seen since late 2017. According to trader Josh Rager, it is facing resistance here and altcoins could soon start to react.

“$BTC dominance climbing at 65%. Bitcoin’s dominance hasn’t been above 70% since July 2017 & see this as a definite area w/ possible resistance. Majority of altcoins can continue to retest support until BTC dominance drops (which could happen near these levels) so pay attention.”

The discussion that followed had many thinking that BTC dominance could climb as high as 70% again where it was during the start of the 2017 bull run. This would absolutely obliterate the altcoins, many of which are still wallowing over 80% down from their peaks.

Fellow trader ‘CryptoFibonacci’ has noticed a triple top for bitcoin dominance which could spell a breakout to the upside.

“I’m not a big believer in “triple tops”. It will have to prove me wrong. Be careful if you are in Alts.”

Very few of the altcoins have done anything since Bitcoin’s bounce back. Ethereum is still below $300, XRP has not moved at all from $0.40 and Litecoin is stuck at $120 as the halving FOMO dries up.

Bitcoin is currently the top performing crypto asset in the top twenty with a gain of over 5% on the day. It doesn’t look like slowing down either as fears of Trump induced dollar manipulation to start to fester. The US president tweeted that America should match currency manipulation practices being carried out in China and Europe. Fiat fiddling is all good news for Bitcoin.

Will Bitcoin price hit $13000 this week? Will BTC market dominance hit 70% again? Add your thoughts below.


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Čvc 01

Bitcoin a Better Bet Than Bolivars as Venezuelan Hyperinflation Escalates

Bitcoin can be many things depending on the situation. For many it is a store of value, for some, it is a trading vehicle, but for Venezuelans, BTC is the most reliable hedge against the rampant hyperinflation the Latin nation is suffering.


New Bank Notes Fresh Off The Press

The inflation has reached such epic proportions that the Banco Central de Venezuela has printed more new notes with a lot fewer zeroes on them. According to an official statement last week the government has printed new banknotes of 10,000, 20,000 and 50,000 bolivar denominations. The release added that the new bills are aimed “to make the payment system more efficient and facilitate business transactions.”

According to one Venezuelan posing on Reddit, the new notes have already been devalued.

“Government issued new Bolivares banknotes. 10,000 Bs. 20,000 Bs. and 50,000. Bs. 50,000 Bs. are around 8 USD, since the time they announce them and people get them at the banks they have lost 10% of the value. This after 5 zeroes were shaved from the currency less than a year ago and 3 zeroes more 12 years ago. So it would be 5,000,000,000,000 Bs.”

During last year’s monetary reform the state announced the launch of a new re-denominated Bolivar which shaved five zeros off the national currency. The ‘sovereign Bolivar’, or Bolivar Soberano (VES), replaced the super inflated ‘strong bolivar’, Bolivar Fuerte (VEF), which had itself replaced the original currency in 2008, when three zeros were chopped.

President Maduro claimed that the new VES currency would be anchored by the oil-backed state-issued digital coin, the Petro. Economic conditions in Venezuela have continued to spiral out of control as political clashes escalate. According to the International Monetary Fund inflation is expected to hit 10 million percent this year.

The Financial Times reports that the number of people fleeing the country could reach 8 million by the end of next year making it the biggest recent exodus anywhere on the planet.

Bitcoin Is The Answer

When a state manipulated currency decreases in value people need to look elsewhere in order to survive. Bitcoin would be the savior in this instance and, according to Coin Dance, more Venezuelans are turning towards it. Volumes have surged to all-time highs of over 45 billion in recent weeks as bitcoin surged to new highs for fifteen months.

bitcoin

Venezuelans are not the only ones looking towards Bitcoin as a hedge against economic oppression; it is also going on in Russia, China, Iran, and Turkey. People are slowly waking up to the mess that their governments are making and realizing that there is a viable and safe alternative in Bitcoin.

Would you switch to Bitcoin over fiat? Add your thoughts below.


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Coin.Dance

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Čvn 26

Little Resistance Above as Bitcoin Heads to $13,000

Another day, another new 2019 high for Bitcoin. The daddy of digital assets swept through resistance yet again, a few hours ago to power up towards its next major milestone, $13,000.


No Derailing The Bitcoin Train

It has been another fruitful morning for Bitcoin markets in Asia. BTC spent the best part of the past 24 hours trading at around $11,300 but lifted off again a few hours ago to hit $12,380 according to Tradingview.com. On some exchanges, it may have even surpassed $13k.

bitcoin

BTC price 1 hour candles – Tradingview.com

Daily volume has surged again to $28 billion and BTC market capitalization has added $20 billion overnight to reach $220 billion. This is more than the entire crypto market cap less than two months ago. Bitcoin market dominance is now well above 60 percent, its highest level since the last big bull run in December 2017.

Analysts and traders have been keeping an eye on the charts for next possible levels of resistance. The previous, which has now turned support, is at $11,500. There has been no pullback whatsoever and there is very little technically stopping Bitcoin surging another thousand dollars up to $13k.

Trader Josh Rager has noted that the last stand for BTC could be $14.2k, and after that, there are clear skies to new all-time highs.

“$BTC: Weekly chart looks so good. People can talk pullback all they want, but not much is stopping Bitcoin from ripping up to $13k+. After price passes $14,200 there isn’t a lot standing in the way to new all-time highs. I’m not going to try to stand in front of a moving train.”

A thirty percent correction from this new high would take Bitcoin back down to the low $8,000s. At the moment that does not look like happening as those green candles just keep stacking up.

Total Market Cap At 12-Month High

Bitcoin’s unrelenting momentum has lifted total market capitalization to its highest level since early June last year. Altcoins, however, are still getting smashed as only $150 billion of that can be attributed to them.

The usual rants about a Bitcoin bubble have started appearing from the usual suspects but all they need to do is look at history to see that this is a market cycle, not a bubble. BTC is commanding the scene at the moment and the big institutional players have yet to even make an entry. Hold on to your seats as we could be in for a wild ride.

How high will Bitcoin go? Add your thoughts below. 


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Tradingview, Josh Rager

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Čvn 25

Bitcoin Price Surge Dampens Altcoin Rally Hopes

There has been no Monday correction for Bitcoin this week as the top cryptocurrency has held on to its weekend gains. With market dominance, a touch under 60% many traders and crypto aficionados are beginning to wonder if the altcoins will ever recover.


Bitcoin Price Holding Steady Above $11000

Bitcoin is back at its 2019 high of just over $11,200 at the moment. It has spent most of the past day consolidating around $10,800 but started heading north again during the morning’s Asian trading session. Since the same time, last week BTC has made a solid 20% and has shown no signs of slowing down.

crypto

Bitcoin price 1 hour candles – Tradingview.com

There is a lot of resistance in the $11,700 region but that has not thwarted Bitcoin previously. A correction right now would be healthy though as parabolic charts are not. That thirty percent plus chart move that many have speculated about would drop BTC from its current high back to around $7,800. At this level or lower, there is likely to be a lot more accumulation before the next leg up.

Remember 2017? When Altseason?

Many traders on Crypto Twitter are starting to express concern about the performance, or lack of, for most of the altcoins. While some such as Litecoin have done extremely well the majority still appear to be frozen over from crypto winter. An earlier tweet by blockchain entrepreneur ‘The Crypto King’ served as a reminder from 2017.

“All the focus is on BTC… did everyone forget 2017?
BTC pumps. BTC Stagnates.
Alts go absolutely bananas.
Altseason 2.0 Tik Tok.”

This sentiment has been echoed by crypto trader ‘Moon Overlord’ who has also looked back at patterns in late 2017 when altseason took off.

“The altcoin sentiment feels eerily similar to mid to late 2017. Bitcoin just went up and up and $ALTS got smoked. Then all of the sudden WHAM, a few alts lead the way and they started going 50, 100X out of nowhere. I suspect this time will be no different, you won’t get a warning,”

It is true that many of the top performing altcoins from 2017 have done very little in 2019. Big pump coins such as Cardano and Stellar have now been dumped out of the top ten and are still down from ATH by 91% and 85% respectively. Other previously high performing altcoins such as IOTA, NEO, OmiseGO, ICON, Qtum, Lisk, VeChain and 0x are still battered and bruised showing very little sign of recovery.

Many have speculated that a lot of 2017’s tokens will fade away and be usurped by new offerings this year but at the moment Bitcoin is still dominating markets and an altcoin season has yet to begin.

Will Bitcoin give altcoins a chance to move higher? Let us know what you think in the comments below. 


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Čvn 15

Bitcoin Bulls Are Running Again – Is $9,000 The Weekend Target?

After over a week of consolidation, bitcoin price has started to move again as we enter the weekend. Many had anticipated a selloff and larger correction, which still may come, but at the moment the bulls are back in play as BTC breaks resistance.


BTC/USD Breaks Resistance

From an intraday low of around $8,200, bitcoin price shifted gear and broke this resistance level to push to a high of $8,730 a few hours ago during early Asian trading. The 6% gain has had the usual effect of lifting most of the altcoins with it. Bitcoin volume has also increased to its highest level for over a week which is back above $20 billion.

At the time of writing, BTC 00 had retraced slightly but was still trading at a two week high of $8,650.

bitcoin

BTC prices 1-hour candles – Tradingview.com

Bitcoin Correction Fears Fading

Now that the expectations of a massive correction have started to dissipate, and the head and shoulders formation has broken down, traders and analysts are turning to the charts to map out bitcoin’s next move.

Analyst Josh Rager has shared two possible scenarios revolving around a resistance level at $8,566.

Battle at the $8566 resistance. Two possible scenarios:
1. Close above this level and continue up to $8750+
2. Close below level, retest $8k area followed by push back up to $8750+
The next couple hours will be key for 4hr and daily close.

It turns out that the first scenario was the correct one as the daily candle closed at $8,700. BTC is currently sitting at the next resistance level so a move above this could take it back to $9k once again. The opposite would be a pullback to the $8,400 zone in the short term.

Trader ‘CryptoFibonacci’ has been looking at the futures charts which also confirms that the head and shoulders are now null.

So, the “possible” Head and Shoulders pattern is null and void IMO. The futures closed right close to the 61.8 retrace. Another gap is possible, but the Squeeze indicator is still not giving any signal at all.

The move has taken bitcoin dominance back over 56% and lifted total crypto market capitalization by over $10 billion in the last 24 hours.

Total market cap is now around $272 billion, its highest level since June 3. The rest of the pack appears to be slowly following their leader but gains are a lot smaller as bitcoin is clearly in the driving seat this Saturday morning.

Will bitcoin hit $9k this weekend? Add your thoughts below!


Images via Shutterstock

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Čvn 11

Bitcoin Resistance Turns Support at $8,000 as H&S Pattern Forming

Following the close of a big red candle on the weekly chart, many expected the pullback to accelerate and Bitcoin price to fall even further today. Such is the nature of crypto markets that BTC did the opposite and moved back up above $8,000 once again.


As has been typical of Bitcoin price chart patterns, the ‘Bart Simpson’ styled spikes have been quite frequent lately. Another one of these occurred during late US trading sending BTC surging from $7,630 to top out at $8,090 in just two hours according to Tradingview.com.

bitcoin

BTC price, 1 hour candles, Tradingview.com

The six percent surge has wiped out all losses over the past three days and returned Bitcoin to the $8,000 level, which has become resistance turned support once again. During Asian trading, this morning Bitcoin remained just below $8k where it has been rangebound within this channel for the past week.

Bitcoin Resistance Turns Into Support

Trader and market analyst Josh Rager has been looking at the charts noting the next possible places that Bitcoin can go to in the short term.

Support that flipped to resistance, flipped back to support. Still in a channel and need to break above $8200 – closing there would likely lead up to $8700+. $7900 to $8000 has been the most accumulated price range since May 13.

The most likely scenario for the next day or so is more consolidation here. Self-styled ‘chart psychologist,’ ‘Chonis Trading’ has identified a pennant, the end of which could spell the next move.

Fellow trader ‘The Crypto Dog’ confirmed that nothing really has changed for Bitcoin momentum in a recent tweet.

So far, so nothing. As exciting as today was, bulls haven’t managed to secure a breach past a significant resistance. We’re still much in the same boat as yesterday, more waiting…

There is also a lot of talk about the clear head and shoulders pattern that is forming but has yet to fully complete. These are typically indicative of a trend reversal and could signal a break to the low side and the start of the deeper correction that many are also predicting.

Bearish Candles Can’t Be Ignored

Other confirmation signals would include the bearish candles on the weekly chart that Bitcoinist reported on yesterday. Many are still secretly hoping that the 30% plus correction does finally materialize as it will no doubt provide a huge buying zone for Bitcoin.

Nearly all of the traders and analysts on crypto twitter have at one stage or another said that they would be loading up if BTC ever got close to $6k again. When this happens it will catalyze the next big move upwards keeping the current bull run intact.

Will you be buying Bitcoin if it drops back to $6k? Add your thoughts below.


Images via Shutterstock, Tradingview.com

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