Srp 17

3 Reasons Why Bitcoin Price Hasn’t Returned to $13,000

Despite the promises of crypto analysts and institutions like Goldman Sachs, Bitcoin price continues to hover around low 5 figures. What’s going on?


After struggling to hold above the $11,000 point earlier this week, Bitcoin price, at last, succumbed to selling pressure and dropped below $10,000 for the second time in three weeks. Prior to the drop, numerous analysts predicted that $10k would serve as a reliable bounce point as the price represents important psychological support.

Clearly, this was not the case and even after making a strong upside move from $9,500 to $10,450, Bitcoin still struggles to stay above $10,100. 

Let’s take a look at what is keeping the king of cryptocurrencies down. 

Dovey Wan says Ponzi Scheme is Crashing the Crypto Market

On July 14 Primitive Crypto founding partner Dovey Wan attributed the sharp sector-wide correction to bulk Bitcoin sells from PlusToken, a Chinese Ponzi scheme. The scheme managed to accrue 200,000 Bitcoin and more than 800,000 Ethereum from naive investors in China.

According to Wan, not every member of the PlusToken team has been arrested yet and data from cybersecurity auditing firm Peckshield shows that recently more than 1,000 Bitcoin was transferred to Huobi and Bittrex from PlusToken accounts. 

Wan is convinced that the scammers are covertly shifting their funds “into small batches into exchanges, like 50 to 100 Bitcoin per batch.”  Wan also claimed that she recently stumbled across a chat where Chinese traders were saying that someone had been dumping 100 BTC non-stop on Binance.

If true, it is entirely possible that large back to back sales of Bitcoin could affect spot rate across exchanges but this sole event is probably not fully responsible for Bitcoin’s malaise

Mind the CME Gap 

The CME Bitcoin Futures gap is another popular topic amongst Bitcoin traders and many cite the existence of the gap as a reason why Bitcoin continues to drop below $10,000. A glance at a Bitcoin daily chart shows an $870 gap between $7,177 and $8,050.

The gap is simply the outcome of Bitcoin price moving over the weekend while the CME Futures are closed and the space denotes the difference between the previous close and the new opening price once the market reopens.

The gap is a cause for concern as traders set the price as a target that must be filled at some point, typically when an asset corrects and retraces to supports in the vicinity of the gap.

Many traders believe that Bitcoin must revisit this $7,100 to $8,500 range to truly correct before resuming its strong bullish trend to a new all-time 2019 high. 

Bitcoin Accumulation Before Surge on Recession Fears 

An assortment of crypto analysts have posted charts suggesting that Bitcoin has entered a lengthy consolidation phase and will continue to be pinned between $9,000 to $14,000 until more excitement and momentum build up over the 2020 halving event. 

Earlier this week as the stock market took a horrific tumble over weakening macroeconomic fundamentals, fears of a recession sprang up as an economist focused on an inverted yield curve on treasury bonds.

This week the slope on US Treasury bonds became inverted and for economists and market analysts, this is typically an indicator that a recession could be on the way.

At the same time, Gold has continued to rise in price and many investors believe that Bitcoin is a similar store of value and hedge against volatility.

If the US and other countries truly are on the verge of a recession, one would increase inflow into Bitcoin and a significant increase in its market cap and value.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is steadily dropping back towards $10,000 and $9,800 is the most immediate support level. 

Do you think Bitcoin price will dip below $10,000 over the weekend? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 


Images from Bitcoinist Image Library, Twitter: @DoveyWan, BTC/USD charts by TradingView

The Rundown

Share
Srp 10

Ethereum Price Analysis: Bears Eye Pullback To $190 Support

Ethereum price recently broke out of a period of consolidation as mentioned in my previous analysis on ETH, completing an asymmetrical triangle in favors of the bulls but has since begun a pullback breaking the short-term support. Bears now eye $190 support around the visible range low.


Ethereum Price 1-Hour Analysis
ethusd60

On the 1 hour chart for ETH/USD, we can see how price action progressed after the breakout. Price levels tested $240 resistance and failed to gain on the 6th of August resulting in a rejection causing a pull-back to break the short-term support around $217. Since then price levels have continued to drop and looks poised to re-test the visible range low at $189 just below the 0.382 Fibonacci level.

It’s important to note that volume remains reasonably low on this pull-back and will need to see a drastic increase in selling momentum to cause a crash through $189 support making it likely that a bounce could happen as market price tests this key support price level. RSI just hovering above 20.00 being oversold indicates selling momentum has control over market price.


Ethereum Price 8-Hour Analysis

ethusd8h

On the 8 Hour chart for ETH/USD, we can see where the support at $189 originates from being the local top throughout the middle of April just before price levels broke out and swiftly tested $282 resistance thereafter. RSI has yet to hit oversold zone but appears to be clearly heading in that trajectory, by the time the market price which is currently $204 tests support at $189 it’s likely RSI will be fully oversold presenting a good reason to consider re-entering at this level.

200 EMA can be seen acting as resistance at the local top mentioned on the 6th of August at $240 meaning the recent breakout was a failure to gain aka fakeout as the necessary volume needed for price levels to sustain a new short-term bullish uptrend didn’t arrive. The volume appears to be almost flatlining now in comparison to volume seen throughout April, May, and even June. POC (Point of Control) sits at $168 and will be the next key support level to look out for if $189 breaks.

15 SMMA and 50 MA can be seen just about to cross down over each-other at the recent support break-down point at $218. This could signal much further downside to come so it’s important to practice effective risk management when taking any trades on ETH/USD over the coming days and weeks.

Do you think the volume necessary to propel ETH/USD higher will arrive in the coming days? Please leave your thoughts in the comments below!


Images via Bitcoinist Image Library, ETH/USD charts by TradingView 

This article is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.

The Rundown

Share
Čvc 18

Did US Congress Send Bitcoin Price Back to Five Figures?

Bitcoin price has made a bit of a comeback over the past few hours to re-touch five figures again. It remains to be seen whether this is the beginning of a wider recovery but many analysts are still of the opinion that a four figure BTC is a giveaway.


Bitcoin price made it back to $10,000 again a few hours ago during Asian trading. The move marks a gain of over 10% from BTC’s intraday low of $9,050 yesterday. At the time of writing bitcoin price had retreated back to 00 where it currently trades, still up on the day consolidating around $9,800.

bitcoin

BTC prices 1-hour chart – Tradingview.com

It remains to be seen whether this revisit of five figures is part of a recovery from that recent dip of whether further losses are on the cards. The overall trend for the week is still down and the last move has been another lower high so more pain could be coming over the weekend.

Many are still of the opinion that anything below $10,000 is a gift. RT’s Max Keiser is still very bullish tweeting this yesterday:

“The next vault over $10,000 will leave that digit in the dust. Like we’ll never see $100 or $1,000 anymore, we’ll never see $10,000 again.”

Yesterday’s Congress hearing may have had an effect on BTC prices with many industry experts stating that it was bullish. Most of the regulatory angst appears to be aimed at Facebook which is a private, profit-driven corporation, now aiming to become the world’s largest digital bank. Binance boss Changpeng ‘CZ’ Zhao couldn’t resist the opportunity to point this out:

“So basically, congressmen are: bullish on bitcoin, just not so hot on Libra. Feeling pitiful for the guys who sold yesterday.”

Bitcoin Still ‘Eating’ Altcoins

According to Tradingview, BTC dominance is still over 68% despite its recent pullback. Yet again the altcoins are struggling to make an impact even though a few of them have pumped double digits today. Trader and analyst, Josh Rager, has observed the discrepancy adding:

“Currently, BTC sits a weekly open and at 68% and want to see this reduce significantly before investing into altcoins. $ETH (the S&P of alts) is sitting at monthly support, it needs to hold and it all lies on Bitcoin’s future price action.”

In a rare move, Ethereum has actually bounced back more than bitcoin today. The 8% move has lifted ETH prices back to around $218 but it remains bearish and could quickly fall back to support at $200. Altcoins will have their day, but at the moment it is nowhere to be seen.

Will bitcoin price climb back over $10k? Add your thoughts below.


Images via Shutterstock, Tradingview, Twitter: @maxkeiser, @cz_binance, @Josh_Rager

Share
Čvc 12

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Divergence At $11,500

Bitcoin price hit a peak of $13,000 on the 10th of July just two days ago. Since this price levels have pulled back to POC (Point of Control) around $11,300 as mentioned in my previous bitcoin price analysis. Three descending lows are evident on the 30 Minute time-frame alongside descending volume and ascending RSI which is a clear indication of bullish divergence.


Bitcoin Price 30 Minute Analysis

BTC 30 Min

On the 30-minute bitcoin price analysis chart, we can see clear bullish divergence playing out. Bright as day, we can see highlighted the descending peaks in both price action and volume. In addition to this, RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows clear ascending momentum. These are the three main points to look out for when trying to gauge bullish divergence, this coupled with the fact that market price is trading at POC (Point of Control) around $11,600 begins to paint a very bullish picture for BTC’s short-term price action.

Both the 50MA and 200EMA are sandwiching market price, this is a clear indication of consolidation before a big move. BTC’s volume is at it’s lowest in the last 3 Days and price levels aren’t continuing to dump meaning there’s good support around the current market price.

Provided the bullish divergence plays out as expected, price levels could break July’s monthly high of $13,000 over the coming days. The trend is still very much bullish and bears don’t seem to be gaining much momentum as outlined in yesterday’s bitcoin price analysis on BTC.


Understanding Bullish Divergence

Bullish divergence is simply when the candlesticks create lower lows and your indicators create higher highs. This signals that bearish selling momentum during a pull-back or correction is starting to fade out. Understanding how to spot divergence in the market is a crucial fundamental skill that every crypto trader must learn. Characteristics such as a clear curve in short-term price action as highlighted in my technical analysis above on BTC, and three or two clear descending lows in price action.

Regular Bullish Divergence

  • Reversal of current downtrend
  • Second or third low.
  • Price makes new Lower Low, but the indicator makes Higher Low.
  • Trend changes to the upside.

Traders in both traditional and emerging financial markets will grasp a firm understanding of how to spot divergence. Given the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies, being able to predict future price action based on the simple rules above can provide assistance in developing your edge in the market, and in becoming a profitable trader. Below you can see an example of bullish divergence playing out in the Forex markets.

Bullish Divergence

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

Do you utilize divergence as a part of your trading strategy? Let us know in the comments below!


Images via Shutterstock, Tradingview

The Rundown

Share
Čvc 09

Bitcoin Price Rallies Towards $13,000 In Sudden 11% Surge

Just yesterday the Bitcoin price sentiment was starting to turn bearish as markets began to cool off. Many of the top analysts on crypto twitter had hinted at further losses as BTC posted lower highs. Today it has surged back in an epic 11% pump back towards $13,000.


Bitcoin Price Bears Bashed Again

BTC had been consolidating around $11,500 since recovering from its dip into four figures early last week. That range bound action finally broke during early Asian trading this morning when Bitcoin price broke through resistance and traded north of $12,000.

The king of crypto did not stay there and made a big push up to a new 13 day high of $12,880 according to Tradingview. It is the highest price Bitcoin has attained since June 27 when it slid down from that peak just $900 higher.

bitcoin

BTC price 1 hour chart – Tradingview.com

A new 2019 high could be imminent if Bitcoin price can close above the previous two daily candles at $12,950. Trader and analyst Josh Rager, who said yesterday’s weekly close was bearish, has changed his tune today as BTC continues to defy the markets.

“With lower-highs on the 4 hr chart, I’d look to lean bearish as we start the week”

“Fool me once, shame on you… Fool me twice, shame on me. No way was I shorting Bitcoin after a close under the resistance again. Not much stopping this train, just minor daily & weekly resistance left until new yearly highs.”

Altcoin Annihilation

Rager continued to comment on Bitcoin dominance which was approaching 67% at the time of writing.

“Bitcoin Dominance on its way above 66%. This is why you always keep a healthy percentage of your portfolio in Bitcoin especially in a bull market.”

It is the highest market share Bitcoin has had since December 2017 and those predominantly holding altcoins will be in a world of pain at the moment. Of the $26 billion that has entered the crypto markets over the past 24 hours, BTC is responsible for almost 85% of it.

The top three crypto assets after Bitcoin have not even gained 3 percent each. Even Litecoin, which is halving in just 27 days, has only managed a blip to get above $123. There are a number in the red at the moment including BNB, TRX, ADA, XMR, LEO, LINK and ATOM.

Many of those interviewed at the Taipei Blockchain event (link to Taipei article) were confident that altcoins would rally again soon but at the moment they are getting buried by their big brother. A new 2019 high could be imminent for BTC this week and after today’s move, all eyes are on $14,000.

Will Bitcoin price break resistance to hit a new yearly high? Add your thoughts below.

The Rundown

Share
Čvc 08

Bearish Weekly Close Could Create More ‘Buy Bitcoin’ Opportunities

Bitcoin and crypto markets have been mostly sideways over the weekend. There has been little movement in either direction for BTC and most of the high cap altcoins and all eyes have been on the close of the weekly candle.


Bitcoin Price Closes Below Resistance

The four hour chart has been showing lower highs for the past week or so however the range is tightening up which could lead to a possible breakout. With an intraday high of $11,700 and a low of $11,000 BTC remains range bound for now trading at 00.

bitcoin

BTC price 1 hour chart. Tradingview.com

Trader and analyst Josh Rager has been eyeing the charts for the next move and is leaning towards a bearish one following the close of the weekly candle.

“Bitcoin closed below the resistance while at the same time tapped the tippy top of the support near $9,614. With lower-highs on the 4 hr chart, I’d look to lean bearish as we start the week. But you know that you’d love to buy more BTC and crypto under $10k”

On the upside, any move below five figures may well trigger another ‘buy Bitcoin’ frenzy as we witnessed last week when BTC fell to $9,600 briefly.

Full-time trader and self-styled financial revolution prepper ‘Financial Survivalism’ has also hinted at a move to the downside and expects Bitcoin price to drop back into four figures this week.

“I’m expecting $BTC to return to 4 figures within the next 48 hours. Main reason is the high volume shooting star from last week.
Confirmation comes from the charts below:
1st weekly Stoch sell signal since Dec 17
Overbought W ADX
Bearish TK Cross on D cloud
4h Bear channel”

The sentiment appears to be spreading across CT this Monday morning as others echo the possible end of the rally.

“In the near term, I think upside on $BTC is limited. Likely the top is in for the next 3-4 months. Better to build some support first before the 6 fig moon mission.”

Altcoins In The Green

Not all is bearish during Asian trading this morning. A number of the altcoins are actually posting pretty good gains over the past 24 hours. Ethereum has made almost 6% taking it back over $300 again, and Tron is on a flyer surging 9% to retake a top ten place.

Monero is up a similar amount as XMR reaches $105 and Crypto.com Chain is in double digits this morning with an 11% pump. Total market capitalization has added $8 billion so maybe the altcoins could be starting to finally decouple from their commander at the top.

Will Bitcoin price drop back to four figures this week? Will there be favorable situations to buy more Bitcoin?Add your thoughts below.


Images via Shutterstock, Tradingview, Twitter: Josh Rager @Josh_Rager, Financial Survivalism@Sawcruhteez

The Rundown

Share
Čvc 05

Bitcoin Price Begins Consolidation; Markets Cooling Down

As the parties wind down in the US and the impending hangovers begin to fester, Bitcoin is taking a breather. In what appears to be the beginning of a consolidation phase, BTC has dropped around 8% on the day.


Bitcoin Price Falls Back To $11000

The epic 25% bounce back from the depths of $9,600 took Bitcoin price to $12000 briefly yesterday. For the duration of the fourth, it managed to consolidate around $11,800 but has fallen sharply a few hours ago. The latest dip has returned BTC back to $11k, and it is currently holding just above there at 00.

bitcoin

BTC price 1-hour chart – Tradingview.com

Daily volume has retreated back to $25 billion and BTC market capitalization has just dipped below $200 billion again. As Bitcoinist reported earlier this week, BTC may have found a new floor at around $10,000 but a drop below this could signal a deeper dip than the previous one, possibly somewhere back in the $8k region.

The CT traders seem to have taken the day off for the US holiday and things are pretty quiet in crypto land at the moment. Looking at next levels of support, the 50-day moving average is currently at $9,200 so this may serve as the next lower low if BTC heads south again.

On the four-hour chart, Bitcoin price has already dropped below the 50 MA and could head towards the 200 which is currently at $9,600. As in previous cycles, there was a lot of buying pressure at four figures but this may not be of the same magnitude if BTC drops below $10k again.

CNBC, which often serves as a counter trade signal, seems to be bullish on Bitcoin however with this rather festive tweet posted a few hours ago.

Altcoins Getting Battered Again

Total crypto market capitalization has dumped over $15 billion on the day but Bitcoin dominance remains over 65% according to Tradingview.com. Yet again the altcoins, which are already in bad shape, are getting battered.

Ethereum has dumped 5% to return to $285 and XRP has shed a similar amount falling back to $0.387. Litecoin is holding $120 at the moment but Bitcoin Cash and EOS are both down 4%. There is a lot of red on the altcoin markets during Asian trading this morning and only a handful of the very low cap ones are making any progress.

The weekend may see more consolidation from Bitcoin which appears to result in a dump in the altcoins. It might be time for the daddy of crypto to take a breather for a bit.

Will Bitcoin price make another lower low or remain here for a while? Add your thoughts below.


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, , Tradingview

The Rundown

Share
Čvc 04

Bitcoin Price Approaching $12000 Again As Dominance Hits 65%

The recent Bitcoin price correction was over before it really began. A five-day slide culminating in a short-lived 30% dip below $10000 saw a huge bounce back by over 20% as BTC surged back above $11000. It’s market dominance is now heading towards highs not seen since 2017.


Bitcoin Dominance Hits 65%

Bitcoin price has continued to push higher since it topped $11000, 24 hours ago. There was clearly huge buying pressure at four figures and some have suggested that BTC may never fall that low again. The gradual crank higher has taken Bitcoin price to $12000 again during the morning’s Asian trading session. It is now exactly 25% higher than the dip on Tuesday.

bitcoin

BTC price 1-hour candles. Tradingview.com

A few hours ago one big green candle lifted Bitcoin price back above the 200 moving average on the hourly chart. It has pulled back a little and is currently trading at 00. Zooming out to the daily chart still paints a very bullish picture for BTC.

Once again the move has increased Bitcoin market dominance to highs not seen since late 2017. According to trader Josh Rager, it is facing resistance here and altcoins could soon start to react.

“$BTC dominance climbing at 65%. Bitcoin’s dominance hasn’t been above 70% since July 2017 & see this as a definite area w/ possible resistance. Majority of altcoins can continue to retest support until BTC dominance drops (which could happen near these levels) so pay attention.”

The discussion that followed had many thinking that BTC dominance could climb as high as 70% again where it was during the start of the 2017 bull run. This would absolutely obliterate the altcoins, many of which are still wallowing over 80% down from their peaks.

Fellow trader ‘CryptoFibonacci’ has noticed a triple top for bitcoin dominance which could spell a breakout to the upside.

“I’m not a big believer in “triple tops”. It will have to prove me wrong. Be careful if you are in Alts.”

Very few of the altcoins have done anything since Bitcoin’s bounce back. Ethereum is still below $300, XRP has not moved at all from $0.40 and Litecoin is stuck at $120 as the halving FOMO dries up.

Bitcoin is currently the top performing crypto asset in the top twenty with a gain of over 5% on the day. It doesn’t look like slowing down either as fears of Trump induced dollar manipulation to start to fester. The US president tweeted that America should match currency manipulation practices being carried out in China and Europe. Fiat fiddling is all good news for Bitcoin.

Will Bitcoin price hit $13000 this week? Will BTC market dominance hit 70% again? Add your thoughts below.


Share
Čvc 03

Bitcoin Price May Have Found The Floor At $10,000

The long-awaited Bitcoin price correction lasted less than an hour. Yes, it did dump 30% as many analysts had predicted, but mass buying pressure was triggered when it hit the target so BTC subsequently surged again. Now comfortably back over five figures again, some have seen this as the new floor.


Only 3 Bitcoin Price Candles Closed Under $10000

The pullback to $9,600 was short-lived. According to Tradingview.com, there were only three candles on the hourly chart that closed under $10000, the lowest at $9,780. Even the one that marked the 30% dip closed in five figures indicating that this could be the last time BTC price trades that low. The charts indicate that a lot of buyers were interested in sub-$10k Bitcoin, so many in fact that it did not remain there for very long.

bitcoin

Bitcoin price 1-hour chart. Tradingview.com

$10000 Is The New Bitcoin Price Floor

CNBC Futures Now, which has often been considered as a counter trade indicator, has indicated that Bitcoin price may have just found a new floor at $10,000. During the interview on ‘Futures Now’, broker Jim Iuorio stated:

“I’m actually starting to see bitcoin for what it may be, and that really is a genuine dollar hedged safe haven asset. At least, it has performed that way over the last six months and ten thousand seems to be a good level here.”

Iuorio added that he has been very impressed with the Bitcoin price action so far this year, especially since June when it went higher up as the US dollar fell. Scott Nations, who admitted that he was not a fan of Bitcoin, stated that as digital gold it works well because investors have the belief that it will do well when everything else is doing poorly.

Nations added that anywhere around $10k would be a good entry level and for him, the only time he would consider buying Bitcoin as someone who does not usually trade it.

Where Next For BTC?

If a new floor of $10,000 has been established for Bitcoin price, then consolidation above here may be the next moves over the coming days. Trader and analyst Josh Rager is in agreement.

“We had our 30% pullback so what’s next? History says that price consolidates followed by an average gain of 153% before the next big pullback.”

Consolidation at this range would not be a bad thing and may give some of the altcoins a chance to wake up a little. So far they have been hopelessly anchored to Bitcoin on the downsides but have done very little on the upsides. BTC is still in the driving seat as its dominance returns above 62% while its brethren remain stagnant.

Will Bitcoin price fall back below $10k again? Add your thoughts below.


Images via Shutterstock, Tradingview, CNBC Futures Now

The Rundown

Share
Čvn 25

Bitcoin Price Surge Dampens Altcoin Rally Hopes

There has been no Monday correction for Bitcoin this week as the top cryptocurrency has held on to its weekend gains. With market dominance, a touch under 60% many traders and crypto aficionados are beginning to wonder if the altcoins will ever recover.


Bitcoin Price Holding Steady Above $11000

Bitcoin is back at its 2019 high of just over $11,200 at the moment. It has spent most of the past day consolidating around $10,800 but started heading north again during the morning’s Asian trading session. Since the same time, last week BTC has made a solid 20% and has shown no signs of slowing down.

crypto

Bitcoin price 1 hour candles – Tradingview.com

There is a lot of resistance in the $11,700 region but that has not thwarted Bitcoin previously. A correction right now would be healthy though as parabolic charts are not. That thirty percent plus chart move that many have speculated about would drop BTC from its current high back to around $7,800. At this level or lower, there is likely to be a lot more accumulation before the next leg up.

Remember 2017? When Altseason?

Many traders on Crypto Twitter are starting to express concern about the performance, or lack of, for most of the altcoins. While some such as Litecoin have done extremely well the majority still appear to be frozen over from crypto winter. An earlier tweet by blockchain entrepreneur ‘The Crypto King’ served as a reminder from 2017.

“All the focus is on BTC… did everyone forget 2017?
BTC pumps. BTC Stagnates.
Alts go absolutely bananas.
Altseason 2.0 Tik Tok.”

This sentiment has been echoed by crypto trader ‘Moon Overlord’ who has also looked back at patterns in late 2017 when altseason took off.

“The altcoin sentiment feels eerily similar to mid to late 2017. Bitcoin just went up and up and $ALTS got smoked. Then all of the sudden WHAM, a few alts lead the way and they started going 50, 100X out of nowhere. I suspect this time will be no different, you won’t get a warning,”

It is true that many of the top performing altcoins from 2017 have done very little in 2019. Big pump coins such as Cardano and Stellar have now been dumped out of the top ten and are still down from ATH by 91% and 85% respectively. Other previously high performing altcoins such as IOTA, NEO, OmiseGO, ICON, Qtum, Lisk, VeChain and 0x are still battered and bruised showing very little sign of recovery.

Many have speculated that a lot of 2017’s tokens will fade away and be usurped by new offerings this year but at the moment Bitcoin is still dominating markets and an altcoin season has yet to begin.

Will Bitcoin give altcoins a chance to move higher? Let us know what you think in the comments below. 


The Rundown

Share