Dub 16

Bitcoin Consolidating Above $5K a ‘Positive Sign,’ Says Crypto Hedge Fund

It’s safe to say that Bitcoin has had a good Q1 2019, gaining upwards of 30 percent of its value since January 1st. Now, a new report has it that if the price consolidates above $5,000, this could lead to further increases throughout the year. 


Bitcoin Price $5K Consolidation a ‘Positive Sign’

According to a new report by BitBullCapital, a cryptocurrency hedge funds manager,”the fact that Bitcoin has managed to retain gains from early April is a very positive sign.

Moreover, CEO Joe DiPasquale outlines that the bitcoin price 00 is seeing consolidation above $5,000. If this continues for another week or two, it could lead up to a shot at the $5,500 level.

Going further, the report reiterates that the latest BTC/USD rally was caused by a large order, which was executed simultaneously on multiple exchanges and was likely an algorithmic one.

Notedly, such a move should have been viewed with a certain skepticism as it’s not organic or steady in its nature. However, it brought back substantial market momentum, which is considered to be a positive sign.

It’s worth noting, though, that Bitcoinist reported that another reason for the latest rally might be hidden in the increased activity across the board, as data shows that the number of active wallets has risen by as much as 40-60 percent.

This, with a significant uptick in institutional interest, are also likely the reasons why Bitcoin managed to sustain the recent gains.

But 2017-Type Run ‘Not in the Near Future’

On the other hand, the cryptocurrency hedge fund also believes that a run similar to that back in 2017 is unlikely to be seen “in the near future.”

It notes that for this to happen, there needs to be a major catalyst such as “global governmental approval and integration with mainstream services and portals.”

…[W]e do not believe a run similar to the 2017 drive can be seen again, at least not in the near future and particularly not in the absence of major catalysts such as global governmental approval and integration with mainstream services and portals… [W]e do expect steady growth in the years the come, building the foundation for a surge when the timing is right.

DiPasquale also says that there is a real risk for the cryptocurrency failing to maintain its current range and to retest the $5,000 level in the coming weekend if the trading volume starts to drop. Reads the report:

If $5,000 breaks, we are likely to see support around $4,700 – $4,800 and reconsider market sentiment and fundamentals.

However, Bitcoinist reported that the Mayer Multiple by Trace Mayer, a key indicator which called 2015’s bottom, is flashing again, suggesting that the price may have already bottomed.

Other Cryptocurrencies Would Benefit

On another note, it also outlines that an increase in Bitcoin’s price could also cause other cryptocurrencies, especially those closely related to it, to surge as well.

This already happened with Litecoin, which gained upwards of 55 percent following Bitcoin’s rally.

The cryptocurrency has since lost some of its gains but is still substantially higher than prices from last month.

BitBull Capital manages cryptocurrency hedge funds, and is the “the first cryptocurrency fund of funds,” BitBull Fund manages a strategically selected bundle of 10 of the more than 600 crypto hedge funds for its investors, including gaining access to exclusive, closed funds and $M-minimum funds.

What do you think of the recent report? Do you think we’ve entered a new bull run or are the bears still in charge? Don’t hesitate to let us know in the comments below!


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Dub 13

Uber IPO: Cryptocurrency Will Be a ‘Huge Beneficiary’

Uber Technologies Inc. expects a valuation of about USD 100 billion when listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Large IPOs such as Uber’s and others could bring spectacular benefits to the crypto industry. At the same time, business solutions allowing Uber users to pay with Bitcoin are now moving to center stage.


Uber IPO: Bigger Than Bitcoin’s Market Cap

On April 11, 2019, Uber filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to offer shares of its common stock. In its recently released prospectus, Uber does not mention the magnitude of the IPO, which could be one of the biggest ever.

However, according to The Financial Times,

The company is aiming to raise $10bn from its IPO and recently told some of its investors that it could be valued at $90bn to $100bn, according to people familiar with the matter. The company was last valued at $76bn in a private fundraising in August.

Thus, the estimated valuation would surpass today’s Bitcoin market capitalization of about $89 billion.

The transportation company bases its projections on its leading technology, expertise, and massive network, which comprises millions of drivers, users, shippers, and other participants around the globe.

Moreover, Uber details in its prospectus financial data as follows:

  • Revenue derived from our Ridesharing products grew from $3.5 billion in 2016 to $9.2 billion in 2018.
  • Gross Bookings derived from our Ridesharing products grew from $18.8 billion in 2016 to $41.5 billion in 2018.
  • Consumers traveled approximately 26 billion miles on our platform in 2018.

Uber has become omnipresent. Its global ridesharing footprint covers 63 countries, encompassing a population of over 4 billion people, as shown in the graph below:

Digital Currency Group CEO, Barry Silbert adds that billions of dollars in private company stock will be unleashed from IPOs this year.

“The crypto asset class is going to be a huge beneficiary,” he says

You Can Already Use Bitcoin

Uber’s direct acceptance of payments in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may still be a long way off, however.

In the meantime though, some Uber drivers around the world are unofficially accepting BTC instead of their local fiat currency.

Some users in Argentina, for example, have expressed interest in paying for Uber with bitcoin while some drivers wouldn’t mind receiving some bits instead of the depreciating peso.

For instance, an Uber driver, under the Reddit username bjandrus, wrote that he was already accepting bitcoin off the books for rides. However, he complains, the process is problematic because the Uber app does not support BTC payments.

It remains to be seen which ride-sharing company will officially begin accepting bitcoin first.

However, paying for Uber in bitcoin indirectly is already possible. For example, there’s the gift card option from Bitrefill and others, including the Coinbase e-gift card supported in select EU countries and Australia.

There are also third-party services as well as cryptocurrency debit cards that allow you to pay for anything, including Uber, Lyft etc. using bitcoin.

https://twitter.com/VenditExchange/status/1088929593577357313

How do you think IPOs such the one expected from Uber could benefit the crypto industry? Let us know what you think in the comments below.


Images via Uber Technologies Inc., Shutterstock

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Dub 02

Augur Prediction Market Platform May Have Design Flaws

An analysis of irregularities discovered in the Augur decentralized prediction market platform has identified a number of design flaws. Namely, it identified a potential attack vector based on discrepancies between a market’s expiry date and its outcome date.


How A Prediction Market Works

A prediction market would seem an ideal use-case for blockchain, harnessing the trustless nature and lack of centralized control. Augur uses the Ethereum blockchain, and allows an individual to create a prediction market based on any definable event.

The market creator defines the topic, end date, and potential outcomes, plus an adjudicator if so desired. Trading (denominated in ETH) continues until the event-end, at which point Augur token holders (or designated reporter) determines the outcome. Token holders stake their Reputation (REP) on the outcome and receive settlement fees.

Houston, We Have A Problem (or Two)

Aside from potentially-illegal markets, covering topics such as assassinations and terror attacks, there are some key fundamental issues.

Owing to its steep learning curve, many Augur users rely on various web interfaces, which offer non-standard features and are open to manipulation. In particular, many users gravitate towards markets which appear trustworthy to others. This creates a feeding-frenzy around the few markets with reported volume, which the market creator may well have manipulated.

Disputed outcomes go to a voting procedure, with users staking REP, and receiving rewards if they choose the winning outcome. This incentivises users to vote for the most popular outcome, regardless of whether it is the true outcome. On top of this, the validity bond, which is lost if a market is deemed invalid, remains fixed, so bad actors can continual create bogus markets.

Potential Attack Vector

A recent example of how this system can be manipulated, was based on the ‘general price of Ethereum’ at the end of the day on March 31st (UTC). The market expired at 01:59 on April 1st (UTC+8), which is before the outcome date, which could cause this contract to be deemed invalid.

By creating multiple outcomes, one of which was unrealistic (ETH over $1000), and one seemingly easy to achieve (ETH between $100 and $1000), it just required a bit of wash-trading to lure punters in.

The attacker would then send a limit sell order for the ‘easy’ outcome, for a quote which is above the reward for an invalid result, but below that of a supposed ‘good deal’. Thus users will fill the order, unknowingly being potentially stuck in an invalid market.

An invalid market results in an equal amount of ETH going to shares of each outcome. In a three outcome market (the final outcome being ETH < $100), each outcome would be marked at 1/3 value. With the majority of participants backing the ‘easy’ outcome, a disproportion return would go to the ‘unrealistic’ backers.

Fixing A Hole Where The Rain Comes In

Whilst Augur has already identified several of the concerns, there has been no official announcement of improvement implementation. Meanwhile, users are still exposed to this kind of attack.

Indeed, the same creator has already made a new market with the same flaw called ‘Ethereum Price at End of April’. There are also copycat markets springing up to catch users unawares.

Until these flaws are fixed, users should probable consider Augur, ‘buyer beware’.

Will blockchain-based predictions markets realize their potential? Share your thoughts below!


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Úno 10

Bitcoin Pioneer: Next BTC Price ‘Act’ Will See $250K

Mark Jeffrey, author of 2013 book, ‘Bitcoin Explained Simply’, remains bullish on the future of bitcoin, despite the current climate. Drawing analogies to a supercharged dot-com boom-and-bust cycle, he predicted future growth to a price of $250,000.


Coin Wars

We may be currently experiencing crypto-winter, hodling together for warmth, but Mark Jeffery thinks this should not be surprising. The early Bitcoin-pioneer was talking on ‘The Next Billion Seconds’ podcast:

I think this is very much like the dot com boom and bust cycle that we saw in the late nineties, early 2000s

Certainly, the period in late 2017 was analogous to the early days of the dot-com boom. Eager investors, desperate not to miss out, were remortgaging their homes, just to throw the money at anything that asked.

And certainly, when investors realized they were buying into nothing more than a vague promise of something, they panicked.

The Market Strikes Back

But Jeffrey suggests that the process has been greatly compressed with cryptocurrency:

So in the dot com boom and bust cycle it was about four and a half years, maybe five years. In the crypto world, it was about a year and a half. So it was a lot faster.

Just over a year into our crypto-winter, it would be warming to see an end to it within the next six months. Whilst Jeffrey stops short of predicting when it will happen, he is confident that the current ‘dead’ period will end.

But this is not the end of the story. This is the middle part. This is the second act. The third act is return of the Jedi and we’re not there yet.

bitcoin price bottom

Return Of The Bitcoin

So we’re at the end of ‘Empire’; Bitcoin has lost its hand, and Ethereum has been captured and frozen in carbon. And of course, thousands of grunts have been slaughtered in the process.

But Amazon and Google rose phoenix-like from the ashes of the dot com boom, to become the giants they are today. And Facebook didn’t even exist at the time, appearing having already learned the lessons of the boom-and-bust.

The tokens with real value will push through, and who knows what may still appear to become the Facebook of crypto. Jeffrey insists ‘this is coming’, and stands by his early prediction of a $250K bitcoin.

We’ll know the tide has changed when the Ewoks appear.

Do you agree with Jeffrey? Share your thoughts below!


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Úno 09

CBOE and CME Bitcoin Futures See Lowest Volumes Since Launch

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) have seen the lowest Bitcoin futures volumes since they launched to much fanfare in December 2017. 


Battle Of The Markets

New research by TradeBlock shows that at their summer 2018 peak, combined trading volumes reached near-parity with spot trading volumes across five top US exchanges.

Bitcoin futures trading volume has fallen significantly since peaking in the summer. The latest numbers from December 2018 show the lowest volumes since the products were launched in December 2017.

What’s more, the vast majority of that volume has been through CME. Whilst the two markets were initially neck-and-neck, the gap between them has steadily widened since February 2018.

Volume grew rapidly following the products’ launch, reaching a high-point in July 2018 when it topped $5 billion. At the same time, spot trading volume was falling at digital currency exchanges in the US. Across five of the largest US exchanges (Coinbase, itBit, Kraken, Bitstamp, and Gemini) it fell dramatically, from over $20 billion, down to just over $5 billion.

Between January 2018 and October 2018, spot-trading volume fell 85%, following the general trend of the bitcoin price 00. Although volumes did start to pick up again in November and December 2018.

Back To The Futures

Meanwhile, following the peaking of the futures market in July and August 2018, volumes almost halved in September and have fallen steadily since. The exception to this was November, when volumes spiked, following volatility and a number of price crashes.

This decline in futures trading over H2 2018, coupled with the resurgence in spot trading, has seen spot trading volumes pull ahead again at the start of 2019.

But 2019 will see the launch of several new bitcoin futures products, from firms such as Bakkt, Nasdaq, ErisX, and CoinFLEX. It will be interesting to see the effect of these platforms on volumes as they come live over the next few months.

And of course, we may need to factor in the effects of volatility in price, should any also occur during this period.

Will futures volumes rebound with increasing price? Share your thoughts below!


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Led 30

Japanese Yen Overtakes the US Dollar in Bitcoin Trading

The Japanese Yen (JPY) has surpassed the USD in terms of worldwide bitcoin trading in the past 24 hours. 


Japanese Yen Tops Dollar

According to data from Coinhills, the JPY has officially overtaken the USD in terms of bitcoin trading throughout the world. A total of 490,925.45 BTC were traded against the JPY over the last 24 hours.

Data shows that 49.10 percent of the entire Bitcoin 00 trading volume for the last 24 hours has been exchanged against the JPY, while the USD accounts for 45.80 percent.

Together, both currencies account for as much as 94.9 percent of all fiat currencies in BTC trading. The Korean Won, the Euro, and the British pound round off the top five Bitcoin fiat trading pairs in terms of volume. Though these are dwarfed by JPY and USD, comprising less than 2 percent of the total volume each.

JPY/BTC has grown in popularity substantially over the last two months of 2018. In November, it accounted for only 21 percent of the BTC trading, compared to a solid 50 percent for the USD. But whether it will remain in at the top remains to be seen as Bitcoin price struggles to hold above $3,000.

What Changed?

In December, Bitcoinist reported on a study which claimed that Asia has more impact on Bitcoin price than America and Europe. The study cited major developments from Asia concerning cryptocurrencies, which had impacted the market by an average of 18.61 percent.

Thing are indeed moving fast in the East. Just a couple of weeks ago, one of Japan’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, Coincheck, was registered with the Financial Services Agency.

Additionally, a new partnership was formed between Blockstream, Digital Garage, and Tokyo Tanshi, which will serve the Japanese Bitcoin market by launching a JPY-pegged stablecoin.

Furthermore, in October last year, the country gave formal approval for the cryptocurrency industry to regulate itself, substantially increasing the capabilities of the Japan Virtual Currency Exchange Association (JVCEA), which is now authorized to punish operators which fail to conform to the stringent safety regulations put by the local authorities.

What do you think about the Japanese Yen overtaking the Dollar in Bitcoin trading? Share your thoughts below!


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Led 15

XRP Overtakes Ethereum Despite Looming ‘Constantinople’ Upgrade

XRP has reclaimed the position of the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap from ETH just days before Ethereum’s ‘Constantinople’ hard-fork upgrade. 


Pre-Fork Drop

On January 16th, Ethereum is scheduled to undergo a network-wide system update called ‘Constantinople’. Among other things, the implementation of the upgrade will reduce the block reward from 3 ETH/block to 2 ETH/block.

Days before the event, however, Ethereum’s (ETH) 00 price experienced a notable decline.

In a matter of minutes, ETH price dropped by about 8 percent.

The movement caused ETH to fall behind Ripple (XRP), which reclaimed its spot as the second largest cryptocurrency by means of market capitalization, less than two weeks after Ethereum regained the number two spot from XRP.

In fact, the two have been neck and neck over the past few months in cryptocurrency market cap rankings.

XRP 00 also experienced a decrease around the same time, but the cryptocurrency experienced a relatively smaller loss of 2.5 percent against the USD.

Ethereum’s ‘Constantinople’

Constantinople is a system upgrade scheduled for implementation at block 7,080,000. Given the current average block time, the event should take place on January 16th, 2019.

One of the most discussed changes that the upgrade will cause is the reduction of block reward from the current 3 ETH/block to 2 ETH/block. This is also referred to as the “thirdening.” It’s the second time Ethereum’s block rewards have been reduced.

The first one was called “Byzantium” and it took place on October 16th, 2017. Back then, ETH surged by about 6 percent during the day, followed by the cryptocurrency’s late 2017 rally to an all-time high of about $1,400.

In total, the upgrade will integrate 5 Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), which are geared toward tackling cost, speed, functionality, and mining issues.

Support For ‘Constantinople’

Several cryptocurrency exchanges have announced their support for the upcoming network upgrade.

Binance, HitBTC, Huobi, Bittrex, OKEx, CEX.IO, Cryptopia, and Poloniex, have all announced that they will support the Constantinople hard-fork.

Most of them advise users to give sufficient time for their deposits to be processed prior to the upgrade.

At the time of writing this, Gemini, Coinbase, and Bitfinex, haven’t yet declared their support for the upgrade.

What do you think about Constantinople and its impact on Ethereum? Don’t hesitate to let us know in the comments below!


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Pro 15

3 Cryptocurrencies Decoupling From Bitcoin into 2019 (PAL, TRX, WAVES)

2018 was underwhelming compared to 2017. The bear market went into full swing and most cryptocurrencies lost over eighty percent. Bitcoin has begun decoupling from many cryptocurrencies including those having some of the biggest developments of 2018. WAVES, TRX, and PAL are three cryptocurrencies that have persevered through the bear market. These three projects exceeded expectations and even demonstrated an important decoupling from BTC.


Cryptocurrencies PAL, WAVES, and TRX Decouple

Even during the bear market, there were major events in many cryptocurrency projects. PAL, TRON, and WAVES all had major developments as many cryptocurrency projects were imploding.

TRX (Tron) which as of December 31, 2017, was not in the Top 15 cryptocurrencies had a very important year regarding development. The TRX team burned 1 billion tokens and launched their mainnet in May. The mainnet was further developed the following month with the release of Odyssey 2.0.

Odyssey 2.0 is intended to be a public blockchain that supports decentralized applications. TRX also announced a $100 million gaming fund to increase the development and use of TRX in games. These developments during the height of the bear market speak volumes about TRON’s team and their dedication. Their founder Justin Sun is an outspoken, well-educated, blockchain advocate who has been a great leader for the TRX project.

WAVES (Waves) has been the most notable cryptocurrency regarding decoupling from BTC. Bitcoin price 00 has struggled the prior few months having corrected over forty percent this month alone. WAVES is the self-proclaimed fastest blockchain platform with real-world solutions for trading on a decentralized exchange (DEX) and running smart contracts.

Instead of correcting with the majority of the market following BTC lower, WAVES has actually increased from $1.45 November 14, to $2.35 per coin as of December 14. What is more impressive is not the dollar value increase, but WAVES going from 25250 Satoshis to 72138 Satoshis during that same period. Increasing almost two hundred percent against Bitcoin even though BTC fell almost fifty percent.

PAL (PAL Network) would be considered the cryptocurrency “moonshot” on this list due to their tiny market cap. WAVES is ranked #22 with TRX being ranked #9 by market capitalization. PAL’s market cap at just under $2 million is less than 1/100th of WAVES and 1/400th of TRX’s. The multiple aspects that make PAL noteworthy.

They were selected from over 60 entrants to be a part of the PayPal Incubator. Their mainnet launch was moved up to the end of December, three months ahead of schedule. PAL partnered with major projects such as NEM, QTUM, DGX, and MEDX. Their CEO and Founder Val Ji-hsuan Yapwas was featured in Forbes Asia 30 under 30. Having under a $2 million market cap was interesting, but beating deadlines by months with a top tier CEO is noteworthy.

The cryptocurrency markets were miserable to watch if you were long on blockchain projects, ICOs, and BTC in 2018. Those who were shorting the market enjoyed a nice ride but all tides turn eventually. As 2019 approaches projects that disregarded market conditions and continued to persevere should be one’s HODL focus.

PAL (PAL Network) 

With a market cap under $2 million and impressive volume, PAL seems fairly intriguing at 00. Earlier this year the PAL team was selected among three others to be a part of the PayPal Incubator Singapore. This prestigious award and notoriety by PayPal demonstrate PAL’s long-term connections in the Asia region. PayPal was impressed enough to place them in their incubator program, but why?

PAL’s CEO and Founder, Val Ji-Hsuan Yapwas was awarded Forbes Asia 30 Under 30 award. This award by Forbes further compliments the notoriety provided to this cryptocurrency by PayPal. It seems the technology and notoriety behind PAL is primarily in Asia, even as their blockchain model tends to focus on the United States. Both Forbes and PayPal have taken an interest into PAL and their Founder/CEO.

Beating deadlines in a bear market means the team is very committed. Originally PAL’s mainnet was scheduled to go live in quarter one of 2019. This date has been moved up to the end of December. If history repeats, cryptocurrencies have a tendency to trend North in value as their mainnet approaches. Releasing PAL’s mainnet months early demonstrates the team’s confidence in their platform.

Partnerships create utility and project awareness in the blockchain space. PAL not surprisingly has partnered with many major key projects. The most notable ones include NEM, QTUM, DGX, and MEDX. The importance of PAL’s partnerships will be determined following their mainnet launch depending on the partners’ utilization of the PAL network.

With notable partners, an exceptionally important Founder and CEO, a team dedicated to beating deadlines, an early mainnet release, being selected by PayPal and Forbes, and having a market cap under $2 million makes PAL a noteworthy acquisition target for 2019.

TRX (TRON)

TRX recently re-entered the Top 10 Cryptocurrencies by market cap with some impressive bear market news. TRX Company recently announced a $100 million gaming fund. Providing this much financial support to develop dApps on your Odyssey 2.0 blockchain demonstrates your company’s commitment to the platform. This amount of financial support will clearly drive adoption and development on the platform. It is very surprising that TRX is able to commit this amount of money during the height of the bear market. It seems they are poised for dApp development in 2019 and possibly major adoption.

Justin sun

In May, Tron launched their mainnet. Odyssey 2.0 went live in June as TRX burned 1 billion tokens. These 1 billion tokens were valued at $50 million at the time of the token burn.  The most important developments for TRX this entire year was the combination of the mainnet and Odyssey 2.0. TRX stayed true to their roadmap even with the markets providing difficult conditions to stay positive about.

The CEO of TRX Company, Justin Sun, is a very impressive figure in the cryptocurrency space. He is the founder of TRX and has led his community and project on a well-planned journey thus far. Recently he stated he would “rescue” ETH and EOS developers from their failing platform. This is likely part of what he had in mind when they announced a $100 million development fund.

With a very progressive and active founder combined with a team that has met and exceeded deadlines all year, TRX is worth keeping an eye on.

With a market cap in excess of $800 million, TRX has the highest market cap on this list. Their price per cryptocurrency currently is 00. However, with an $800 million market cap comes very impressive technological developments. Their TPS (transactions per second) are far greater than Ethereum’s at 2000 TPS.

WAVES

The most noteworthy aspects about WAVES the past month has been their decoupling from BTC’s price movement. It has been commonplace for the majority of cryptocurrencies to trend north or south with BTC. However, more recent projects have become more independent of Bitcoin price movement. WAVES has been one of the market leaders in this decoupling.

The price of each WAVES cryptocurrency has increased from $1.45 to 00 the prior thirty days. The Satoshi increase is even more exciting haven gone from 25,250 Satoshis to 72,138 satoshis during that same period. The price of BTC and the majority of altcoins in the cryptocurrency market collapsed the prior month. However, WAVES trended upwards in dollar value and more importantly, BTC value.

WAVES is both a decentralized exchange and smart contracts platform. They pride themselves on their speed but what intrigues me most is their multifaceted platform. Many cryptocurrencies are created for a sole purpose. The WAVES platform has developed into something far more than just a decentralized exchange or just a smart contracts platform. Being multifaceted as a cryptocurrency has allowed WAVES to trend north while the majority of smart contract platforms have underperformed BTC as it went south in recent weeks.

Why Waves is the Best Option for Airdrops

WAVES has a market cap of $252 million and is poised for a strong 2019 following their decoupling from BTC the prior few months. Being multifaceted, WAVES can pivot when one business (ICOs) are undergoing regulatory changes to focus on their DEX. WAVES has a market cap that is over one hundred times larger than PAL’s as their platforms are much more developed.

Looking to 2019

Cryptocurrency bear markets have a tendency to last one to two years. The bull markets have statistically lasted under 3 months. This means the bear market is not necessarily over. However, the cryptocurrency markets as a whole have generally pumped as the halving approaches and passes. The BTC halving is under 540 days away.

The markets may not turn bullish tomorrow, this week, or even this year. However, it is very likely when the public least expects it, that they turn the most bullish.

The cryptocurrencies that focused on BUIDLing during this bear market period will likely be the ones to continue to exist and thrive through the next bull-run.

[Disclaimer: This views expressed in this article do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist and should not be taken as financial advice.]

To read the Crypto King’s prior articles or to get in contact directly with him, you can on Twitter (@JbtheCryptoKing) or Reddit. The King is the founder of ANON and actively trades cryptocurrencies.


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Lis 24

Cryptocurrency Winter Special: Two to HODL and One to FODL

This week provides another opportunity for a cryptocurrency HODL vs. FODL analysis. With Black Friday having just passed this is the perfect opportunity to do some shopping.


Cryptocurrency Winter is Here

BTC 00 having fallen more than 30% in the prior week has brought many cryptocurrencies lower with it. However, with a lower BTC comes cheaper cryptocurrencies. This week two cryptocurrencies are highlighted as HODLs: DOCK and VET. With DOCK likely to have the most significant gains of those on this list in the short term. Unfortunately, Bitcoin Gold is highlighted as the FODL of the week.

As the cryptocurrency market progresses through 2018 it is important to distinguish which cryptocurrencies are HODLs (acquisition targets) vs FODLs (possible sells).

The prior months have seen niche market cryptocurrencies trading on major exchanges highlighted. This week 2 HODLS are highlighted: a small cap cryptocurrency and larger cap both in their own respective niche market.

DOCK is one of the smallest market cap cryptocurrencies on Binance providing platform users with ownership of their data. VET is a Top 20 Cryptocurrency by market cap, which specializes in supply chain management.

Both of these coins represent the HODLs of the week. DOCK with a market cap a fraction of VET is likely to post higher returns than VET. VET is the ‘safer’ play while DOCK is more ‘high risk, high reward.’

Bitcoin Gold represents the FODL of the week. BTG is a hardfork of Bitcoin, which allows GPU miners to ‘mine’ the BTG fork instead of the ASICs that are used to mine BTC. GPU mining capability is the predominant benefit of BTG, though that is not enough to keep it relevant in the crypto space.

When analyzing cryptocurrencies, it is important to determine if they are acquisition targets (HODL) or if they are relatively irrelevant in the space (FODL).

DOCK would be the cryptocurrency for those wanting a higher risk, very high reward potential coin. VET is a much lower risk given its substantial list of partnerships but is likely to return a lower percentage based on its market cap. BTG seems to be fading into irrelevancy as their sole purpose is GPU mining of a Bitcoin fork.

DOCK

DOCK 00 has landed on the HODL radar for a plethora of reasons. With a $5.5 million market cap, DOCK has one of the lowest market caps on Binance. DOCK was added to Binance at the end of July during the height of the bear market. It is almost as if the public did not even notice.

When DOCK was added to Binance the price shot up to over $0.07. With the price currently hovering around $0.01 that is an 86% correction since July 30, 2018. Having corrected such an astronomical amount in just the last two months DOCK seems to be poised for a breakout.

What makes DOCK qualify as a niche coin among many cryptocurrencies is what their platform stands for. DOCK gives individuals ownership of their data, specifically rewarding them in DOCK. This allows the user to connect multiple social media accounts through one portal while securely storing your personal data in the cloud. The information you wish to share from the cloud will be rewarded based on what it is.

Currently, we provide free internet data to many corporations by just browsing. Why not be paid for that same data?

The benefits of the DOCK platform are not just for the user. Yes, it is more simple to have all your social media accounts logged in via one platform. Yes, it saves time to be able to pick and choose which aspect of your data can be seen by the public wishing to pay for it. However, the benefits are far greater than one would imagine.

Advertisers can tailor adverts to their consumers without wasting money on uninterested demographics. Users will not be bombarded with adverts unrelated to their lives. Time and money are saved by all parties with platform users receiving the most benefits.

DOCK is an ERC-20 token that has found a way to pay users for the data they had previously shared anyways. It is essential to be able to protect your private information in the cloud, DOCK not only protects it, but it also allows you to profit from of it. If there was a high risk, high reward cryptocurrency to accumulate prior to the bull run, DOCK is one of the top contenders!

This week’s market correction has forced DOCK down another 30% positioning it perfectly for a rebound and this week’s top cryptocurrency.

VeChain (VET)

VeChain (VET) 00 is one of the larger cap cryptocurrencies that has solidified itself as a ‘niche’ specialist.

VET specializes in supply chain management and for the majority of 2018 had a market cap in excess of a billion. Unfortunately, VET has corrected with the rest of the cryptocurrency space and has fallen to the #20 spot on CMC with an impressive list of partnerships.

Partnerships and platforms result in long-term relevancy. VET has an impressive platform, and a more impressive list of partners: DNV (specializing in audits), PriceWaterhouseCoopers (Big 4 Accounting Firm), National Research Consulting (Fortune 1000 Company), Chinese Government (Gui’an New Economic Area), Republic of Cyprus, and BMW. VET has aligned with the largest manufacturers, governments, and companies to ensure the world can take advantage of blockchain supply management technology.

Even with a list of partners who dominate industry VET has continued to slide down the list of largest market cap cryptocurrencies. VET is #20 while BTG is #19. VET has a bigger community, better partnerships, and more niche platform than the majority of cryptocurrencies, especially in the Top 20. Of the cryptocurrencies that make up the Top 20, VET seems most poised for a break out when BTC price stabilizes.

A niche market, partnerships that would make Fortune 500 companies jealous, being on the cutting edge of technology, and a market that has just fallen 70+% all make VET a highly attractive cryptocurrency. Will the returns be as high as DOCK’s? It is unlikely. VET will likely remain a Top 20 Cryptocurrency for years to come while DOCK could fade into oblivion following a major bull run.

Bitcoin Gold (BTG)

It is never fun to discuss cryptocurrencies that one should FODL, but this week it is Bitcoin Gold (BTG).

BTG 00 exists because miners of the BTC network wanted to use GPUs instead of ASICs. BTC went through a hard fork (similar to what they experienced with Bitcoin Cash) resulting in BTG, allowing GPU mining.

However, the cryptocurrency space already has thousands of coins and the ability to mine a BTC knockoff using GPUs is not an important enough reason for BTG to exist.

Any person with GPU miners could mine the highest paying GPU coin, sell the underlying coin for BTC and voila! Problem solved.

The miner is, in essence, mining the real BTC by mining an altcoin and having the user sell it for BTC. There is no need to mine BTG directly instead of a higher paying altcoin and then selling the altcoin for actual BTC.

Recently people have been discussing how Bitcoin has no value because it is infinitely replicable. But this is not true.

Designer purses are also infinitely replicable but each purse that is not ‘genuine’ is fake, a replica, and their value is subsequently impacted. BTG is not BTC regardless of similarities. Mining BTG using GPUs provides the same benefit as mining any other cryptocurrency using GPUs. BTG has no real purpose and is another of BTC’s many unnecessary forks.

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With a market cap over $250 million, BTG makes up the #19 spot on CMC. This is surprising as it is one spot ahead of VET. BTG has no long-term viability and minimal partnerships when compared to VET.

Solutions exist to mine using GPUs and earn returns in BTC too. There is no reason BTG needs to be that ‘solution’ leading to a market cap larger than VET’s.

The Verdict

Cryptocurrencies that are focused on niche markets that need a blockchain solution are those that are most likely to survive. Those that have partnerships with thriving Fortune 500 companies are the blockchains of tomorrow. The smaller, lesser-known ones, are the cryptocurrencies that could pull off the next 20-100x.

DOCK is the cryptocurrency on this list that has true ‘moon’ potential. If DOCK’s market cap rivals VET’s that means HODLers of DOCK would enjoy a 50x (comparing market caps). Smaller market cap cryptocurrencies are the ones that have the ability to penetrate the Top 20 while having a huge rise in market cap.

Verdict: HODL

VET is perfect for those that enjoy lower-risk cryptocurrencies but want to remain well diversified in unique blockchain niches. Already having a market cap over $250 million VET has the potential to provide significant returns. As VET continues to partner with companies many are familiar with expecting the price to begin to appreciate with the turn of the market.

Verdict: HODL

BTG is a cryptocurrency maintaining a Top 20 spot among all cryptocurrencies when it is fairly irrelevant. The benefits BTG provides are minimal and those that wish to mine BTC using GPUs can mine a more profitable alternative, and sell it for BTC.

Verdict: FODL

[Disclaimer: This views expressed in this article do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist and should not be taken as financial advice.]

To read the Crypto King’s prior articles or to get in contact directly with him, you can on Twitter (@JbtheCryptoKing) or Reddit. The King is the founder of ANON and actively trades cryptocurrencies.


Images courtesy of Shutterstock

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Lis 19

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will $5k Hold or Are Bulls Being Led to Slaughter?

Bitcoin price (BTC/USD) had a dire week, breaking down last Wednesday from its 2018 consolidation reaching weekly lows of $5200. 


This week started no better with new lows being found after a further selloff at around $5050. Here we take a look at some of the immediate levels trades and investors alike worth paying attention to.

Bitcoin Price: Daily Chart

Bitcoin‘s resilience sustaining prices around $5500, gave up on Monday as the wider trading environment kicked off the week, with markets pushing BTC price 00 down to test $5000.

As the market attempts to adjust to the breakdown, many are trying to work out where the bottom may be. Here we look at a few of the scenarios being contemplated by investors and traders alike.

Weekly Chart

The lows of August – 2015 August 2017 uptrend converges with the lows of the 2018 downtrend around $4400-4800.  There is a distinct lack of historically traded volume between $4800 and $5500, which may explain why the market is currently falling through the current price range with minimal resistance.

Traders may look to this price range for a bounce, marking a 75% discount from December 2017 prices and a psychological level for both buyers and short covering.

A break and close above previous support at $6,100 would signify some confirmation of a longer term bottom.

2015 Bottom

The 2015 bottom was found at the top of the 2012-2013 trend.  If the same is applied to 2019 it again suggests $4800 region may be a significant level of support.

The most bullish scenario that can be presented is that this down move is being induced by a large player tempting sell volume to the market, which was lacking around $6,000, in an attempt to make a large, longer-term buy and hold position.

This kind of trading is known as a fake out trap to run stops and create liquidity to build such a large opposing position, but it really the only hope short-term players have in this market resuming an uptrend.

$3k – A Comparison to 2015

Looking at 2015 the bottom was found resting alongside the 200MA, currently trending towards $3200, which is where the bottom of the volume range currently resides.

This level is where the market last witnessed significant volume, bouncing the market back to $4350 within two weeks.

It is likely that a number of market participants who took profits from above this level, or from those that sold here historically and had to endure the run up to 20k will happily re-enter the market on an 85% retracement

Bitcoin Cash Hashing War

Hashing power has been diverted from the BTC network to provide support to the Bitcoin Cash ‘hash war,’ which goes some way to undermine the network security for Bitcoin.

Game theory in Economics and as applied here, works on the basis that individuals are incentivized with their resources to do what is best for themselves and the group, which in this case would be to mine the more profitable Bitcoin chain, however, there is currently an uneconomical war being conducted meaning that the marginal profitability from mining is being ignored in the quest for dominance over the BCH network.

Its unclear how this war of attrition using SHA 256 resources is directly impacting Bitcoin price, but it would be reasonable to assume that it is not positive to the outsiders looking in and until there is liquidity to dump the opposing chains coins, they will need to use their Bitcoin to provide working capital to cover the marginal cost of production.

The probable outcome is that the losing miners will revert their hash and capital back to the BTC network once a winner has been found.

In Summary, Bitcoin 00 looks likely to continue its downward momentum from here, testing the low volume price ranges, with the closest one closing around $4800, however, the strength of the hands of the Hodlers will be tested.

A large engulfing candle supported by significant volume is the only thing which the bulls want to order from the menu, but where that will occur remains to be seen.

Does Bitcoin price suggest it is now a buyers market? Where is the bottom? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.


[Disclaimer:  The views expressed in this article are the personal opinion of the author and do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist. The information in the article should not be taken as financial advice.]

To get receive updates for the writer you can follow on Twitter (@filbfilb) and TradingView. Images courtesy of Tradingview, Shutterstock.

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