Úno 10

Bitcoin Pioneer: Next BTC Price ‘Act’ Will See $250K

Mark Jeffrey, author of 2013 book, ‘Bitcoin Explained Simply’, remains bullish on the future of bitcoin, despite the current climate. Drawing analogies to a supercharged dot-com boom-and-bust cycle, he predicted future growth to a price of $250,000.


Coin Wars

We may be currently experiencing crypto-winter, hodling together for warmth, but Mark Jeffery thinks this should not be surprising. The early Bitcoin-pioneer was talking on ‘The Next Billion Seconds’ podcast:

I think this is very much like the dot com boom and bust cycle that we saw in the late nineties, early 2000s

Certainly, the period in late 2017 was analogous to the early days of the dot-com boom. Eager investors, desperate not to miss out, were remortgaging their homes, just to throw the money at anything that asked.

And certainly, when investors realized they were buying into nothing more than a vague promise of something, they panicked.

The Market Strikes Back

But Jeffrey suggests that the process has been greatly compressed with cryptocurrency:

So in the dot com boom and bust cycle it was about four and a half years, maybe five years. In the crypto world, it was about a year and a half. So it was a lot faster.

Just over a year into our crypto-winter, it would be warming to see an end to it within the next six months. Whilst Jeffrey stops short of predicting when it will happen, he is confident that the current ‘dead’ period will end.

But this is not the end of the story. This is the middle part. This is the second act. The third act is return of the Jedi and we’re not there yet.

bitcoin price bottom

Return Of The Bitcoin

So we’re at the end of ‘Empire’; Bitcoin has lost its hand, and Ethereum has been captured and frozen in carbon. And of course, thousands of grunts have been slaughtered in the process.

But Amazon and Google rose phoenix-like from the ashes of the dot com boom, to become the giants they are today. And Facebook didn’t even exist at the time, appearing having already learned the lessons of the boom-and-bust.

The tokens with real value will push through, and who knows what may still appear to become the Facebook of crypto. Jeffrey insists ‘this is coming’, and stands by his early prediction of a $250K bitcoin.

We’ll know the tide has changed when the Ewoks appear.

Do you agree with Jeffrey? Share your thoughts below!


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Úno 09

CBOE and CME Bitcoin Futures See Lowest Volumes Since Launch

Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) have seen the lowest Bitcoin futures volumes since they launched to much fanfare in December 2017. 


Battle Of The Markets

New research by TradeBlock shows that at their summer 2018 peak, combined trading volumes reached near-parity with spot trading volumes across five top US exchanges.

Bitcoin futures trading volume has fallen significantly since peaking in the summer. The latest numbers from December 2018 show the lowest volumes since the products were launched in December 2017.

What’s more, the vast majority of that volume has been through CME. Whilst the two markets were initially neck-and-neck, the gap between them has steadily widened since February 2018.

Volume grew rapidly following the products’ launch, reaching a high-point in July 2018 when it topped $5 billion. At the same time, spot trading volume was falling at digital currency exchanges in the US. Across five of the largest US exchanges (Coinbase, itBit, Kraken, Bitstamp, and Gemini) it fell dramatically, from over $20 billion, down to just over $5 billion.

Between January 2018 and October 2018, spot-trading volume fell 85%, following the general trend of the bitcoin price 00. Although volumes did start to pick up again in November and December 2018.

Back To The Futures

Meanwhile, following the peaking of the futures market in July and August 2018, volumes almost halved in September and have fallen steadily since. The exception to this was November, when volumes spiked, following volatility and a number of price crashes.

This decline in futures trading over H2 2018, coupled with the resurgence in spot trading, has seen spot trading volumes pull ahead again at the start of 2019.

But 2019 will see the launch of several new bitcoin futures products, from firms such as Bakkt, Nasdaq, ErisX, and CoinFLEX. It will be interesting to see the effect of these platforms on volumes as they come live over the next few months.

And of course, we may need to factor in the effects of volatility in price, should any also occur during this period.

Will futures volumes rebound with increasing price? Share your thoughts below!


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Led 30

Japanese Yen Overtakes the US Dollar in Bitcoin Trading

The Japanese Yen (JPY) has surpassed the USD in terms of worldwide bitcoin trading in the past 24 hours. 


Japanese Yen Tops Dollar

According to data from Coinhills, the JPY has officially overtaken the USD in terms of bitcoin trading throughout the world. A total of 490,925.45 BTC were traded against the JPY over the last 24 hours.

Data shows that 49.10 percent of the entire Bitcoin 00 trading volume for the last 24 hours has been exchanged against the JPY, while the USD accounts for 45.80 percent.

Together, both currencies account for as much as 94.9 percent of all fiat currencies in BTC trading. The Korean Won, the Euro, and the British pound round off the top five Bitcoin fiat trading pairs in terms of volume. Though these are dwarfed by JPY and USD, comprising less than 2 percent of the total volume each.

JPY/BTC has grown in popularity substantially over the last two months of 2018. In November, it accounted for only 21 percent of the BTC trading, compared to a solid 50 percent for the USD. But whether it will remain in at the top remains to be seen as Bitcoin price struggles to hold above $3,000.

What Changed?

In December, Bitcoinist reported on a study which claimed that Asia has more impact on Bitcoin price than America and Europe. The study cited major developments from Asia concerning cryptocurrencies, which had impacted the market by an average of 18.61 percent.

Thing are indeed moving fast in the East. Just a couple of weeks ago, one of Japan’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, Coincheck, was registered with the Financial Services Agency.

Additionally, a new partnership was formed between Blockstream, Digital Garage, and Tokyo Tanshi, which will serve the Japanese Bitcoin market by launching a JPY-pegged stablecoin.

Furthermore, in October last year, the country gave formal approval for the cryptocurrency industry to regulate itself, substantially increasing the capabilities of the Japan Virtual Currency Exchange Association (JVCEA), which is now authorized to punish operators which fail to conform to the stringent safety regulations put by the local authorities.

What do you think about the Japanese Yen overtaking the Dollar in Bitcoin trading? Share your thoughts below!


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Led 15

XRP Overtakes Ethereum Despite Looming ‘Constantinople’ Upgrade

XRP has reclaimed the position of the second largest cryptocurrency by market cap from ETH just days before Ethereum’s ‘Constantinople’ hard-fork upgrade. 


Pre-Fork Drop

On January 16th, Ethereum is scheduled to undergo a network-wide system update called ‘Constantinople’. Among other things, the implementation of the upgrade will reduce the block reward from 3 ETH/block to 2 ETH/block.

Days before the event, however, Ethereum’s (ETH) 00 price experienced a notable decline.

In a matter of minutes, ETH price dropped by about 8 percent.

The movement caused ETH to fall behind Ripple (XRP), which reclaimed its spot as the second largest cryptocurrency by means of market capitalization, less than two weeks after Ethereum regained the number two spot from XRP.

In fact, the two have been neck and neck over the past few months in cryptocurrency market cap rankings.

XRP 00 also experienced a decrease around the same time, but the cryptocurrency experienced a relatively smaller loss of 2.5 percent against the USD.

Ethereum’s ‘Constantinople’

Constantinople is a system upgrade scheduled for implementation at block 7,080,000. Given the current average block time, the event should take place on January 16th, 2019.

One of the most discussed changes that the upgrade will cause is the reduction of block reward from the current 3 ETH/block to 2 ETH/block. This is also referred to as the “thirdening.” It’s the second time Ethereum’s block rewards have been reduced.

The first one was called “Byzantium” and it took place on October 16th, 2017. Back then, ETH surged by about 6 percent during the day, followed by the cryptocurrency’s late 2017 rally to an all-time high of about $1,400.

In total, the upgrade will integrate 5 Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), which are geared toward tackling cost, speed, functionality, and mining issues.

Support For ‘Constantinople’

Several cryptocurrency exchanges have announced their support for the upcoming network upgrade.

Binance, HitBTC, Huobi, Bittrex, OKEx, CEX.IO, Cryptopia, and Poloniex, have all announced that they will support the Constantinople hard-fork.

Most of them advise users to give sufficient time for their deposits to be processed prior to the upgrade.

At the time of writing this, Gemini, Coinbase, and Bitfinex, haven’t yet declared their support for the upgrade.

What do you think about Constantinople and its impact on Ethereum? Don’t hesitate to let us know in the comments below!


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Pro 15

3 Cryptocurrencies Decoupling From Bitcoin into 2019 (PAL, TRX, WAVES)

2018 was underwhelming compared to 2017. The bear market went into full swing and most cryptocurrencies lost over eighty percent. Bitcoin has begun decoupling from many cryptocurrencies including those having some of the biggest developments of 2018. WAVES, TRX, and PAL are three cryptocurrencies that have persevered through the bear market. These three projects exceeded expectations and even demonstrated an important decoupling from BTC.


Cryptocurrencies PAL, WAVES, and TRX Decouple

Even during the bear market, there were major events in many cryptocurrency projects. PAL, TRON, and WAVES all had major developments as many cryptocurrency projects were imploding.

TRX (Tron) which as of December 31, 2017, was not in the Top 15 cryptocurrencies had a very important year regarding development. The TRX team burned 1 billion tokens and launched their mainnet in May. The mainnet was further developed the following month with the release of Odyssey 2.0.

Odyssey 2.0 is intended to be a public blockchain that supports decentralized applications. TRX also announced a $100 million gaming fund to increase the development and use of TRX in games. These developments during the height of the bear market speak volumes about TRON’s team and their dedication. Their founder Justin Sun is an outspoken, well-educated, blockchain advocate who has been a great leader for the TRX project.

WAVES (Waves) has been the most notable cryptocurrency regarding decoupling from BTC. Bitcoin price 00 has struggled the prior few months having corrected over forty percent this month alone. WAVES is the self-proclaimed fastest blockchain platform with real-world solutions for trading on a decentralized exchange (DEX) and running smart contracts.

Instead of correcting with the majority of the market following BTC lower, WAVES has actually increased from $1.45 November 14, to $2.35 per coin as of December 14. What is more impressive is not the dollar value increase, but WAVES going from 25250 Satoshis to 72138 Satoshis during that same period. Increasing almost two hundred percent against Bitcoin even though BTC fell almost fifty percent.

PAL (PAL Network) would be considered the cryptocurrency “moonshot” on this list due to their tiny market cap. WAVES is ranked #22 with TRX being ranked #9 by market capitalization. PAL’s market cap at just under $2 million is less than 1/100th of WAVES and 1/400th of TRX’s. The multiple aspects that make PAL noteworthy.

They were selected from over 60 entrants to be a part of the PayPal Incubator. Their mainnet launch was moved up to the end of December, three months ahead of schedule. PAL partnered with major projects such as NEM, QTUM, DGX, and MEDX. Their CEO and Founder Val Ji-hsuan Yapwas was featured in Forbes Asia 30 under 30. Having under a $2 million market cap was interesting, but beating deadlines by months with a top tier CEO is noteworthy.

The cryptocurrency markets were miserable to watch if you were long on blockchain projects, ICOs, and BTC in 2018. Those who were shorting the market enjoyed a nice ride but all tides turn eventually. As 2019 approaches projects that disregarded market conditions and continued to persevere should be one’s HODL focus.

PAL (PAL Network) 

With a market cap under $2 million and impressive volume, PAL seems fairly intriguing at 00. Earlier this year the PAL team was selected among three others to be a part of the PayPal Incubator Singapore. This prestigious award and notoriety by PayPal demonstrate PAL’s long-term connections in the Asia region. PayPal was impressed enough to place them in their incubator program, but why?

PAL’s CEO and Founder, Val Ji-Hsuan Yapwas was awarded Forbes Asia 30 Under 30 award. This award by Forbes further compliments the notoriety provided to this cryptocurrency by PayPal. It seems the technology and notoriety behind PAL is primarily in Asia, even as their blockchain model tends to focus on the United States. Both Forbes and PayPal have taken an interest into PAL and their Founder/CEO.

Beating deadlines in a bear market means the team is very committed. Originally PAL’s mainnet was scheduled to go live in quarter one of 2019. This date has been moved up to the end of December. If history repeats, cryptocurrencies have a tendency to trend North in value as their mainnet approaches. Releasing PAL’s mainnet months early demonstrates the team’s confidence in their platform.

Partnerships create utility and project awareness in the blockchain space. PAL not surprisingly has partnered with many major key projects. The most notable ones include NEM, QTUM, DGX, and MEDX. The importance of PAL’s partnerships will be determined following their mainnet launch depending on the partners’ utilization of the PAL network.

With notable partners, an exceptionally important Founder and CEO, a team dedicated to beating deadlines, an early mainnet release, being selected by PayPal and Forbes, and having a market cap under $2 million makes PAL a noteworthy acquisition target for 2019.

TRX (TRON)

TRX recently re-entered the Top 10 Cryptocurrencies by market cap with some impressive bear market news. TRX Company recently announced a $100 million gaming fund. Providing this much financial support to develop dApps on your Odyssey 2.0 blockchain demonstrates your company’s commitment to the platform. This amount of financial support will clearly drive adoption and development on the platform. It is very surprising that TRX is able to commit this amount of money during the height of the bear market. It seems they are poised for dApp development in 2019 and possibly major adoption.

Justin sun

In May, Tron launched their mainnet. Odyssey 2.0 went live in June as TRX burned 1 billion tokens. These 1 billion tokens were valued at $50 million at the time of the token burn.  The most important developments for TRX this entire year was the combination of the mainnet and Odyssey 2.0. TRX stayed true to their roadmap even with the markets providing difficult conditions to stay positive about.

The CEO of TRX Company, Justin Sun, is a very impressive figure in the cryptocurrency space. He is the founder of TRX and has led his community and project on a well-planned journey thus far. Recently he stated he would “rescue” ETH and EOS developers from their failing platform. This is likely part of what he had in mind when they announced a $100 million development fund.

With a very progressive and active founder combined with a team that has met and exceeded deadlines all year, TRX is worth keeping an eye on.

With a market cap in excess of $800 million, TRX has the highest market cap on this list. Their price per cryptocurrency currently is 00. However, with an $800 million market cap comes very impressive technological developments. Their TPS (transactions per second) are far greater than Ethereum’s at 2000 TPS.

WAVES

The most noteworthy aspects about WAVES the past month has been their decoupling from BTC’s price movement. It has been commonplace for the majority of cryptocurrencies to trend north or south with BTC. However, more recent projects have become more independent of Bitcoin price movement. WAVES has been one of the market leaders in this decoupling.

The price of each WAVES cryptocurrency has increased from $1.45 to 00 the prior thirty days. The Satoshi increase is even more exciting haven gone from 25,250 Satoshis to 72,138 satoshis during that same period. The price of BTC and the majority of altcoins in the cryptocurrency market collapsed the prior month. However, WAVES trended upwards in dollar value and more importantly, BTC value.

WAVES is both a decentralized exchange and smart contracts platform. They pride themselves on their speed but what intrigues me most is their multifaceted platform. Many cryptocurrencies are created for a sole purpose. The WAVES platform has developed into something far more than just a decentralized exchange or just a smart contracts platform. Being multifaceted as a cryptocurrency has allowed WAVES to trend north while the majority of smart contract platforms have underperformed BTC as it went south in recent weeks.

Why Waves is the Best Option for Airdrops

WAVES has a market cap of $252 million and is poised for a strong 2019 following their decoupling from BTC the prior few months. Being multifaceted, WAVES can pivot when one business (ICOs) are undergoing regulatory changes to focus on their DEX. WAVES has a market cap that is over one hundred times larger than PAL’s as their platforms are much more developed.

Looking to 2019

Cryptocurrency bear markets have a tendency to last one to two years. The bull markets have statistically lasted under 3 months. This means the bear market is not necessarily over. However, the cryptocurrency markets as a whole have generally pumped as the halving approaches and passes. The BTC halving is under 540 days away.

The markets may not turn bullish tomorrow, this week, or even this year. However, it is very likely when the public least expects it, that they turn the most bullish.

The cryptocurrencies that focused on BUIDLing during this bear market period will likely be the ones to continue to exist and thrive through the next bull-run.

[Disclaimer: This views expressed in this article do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist and should not be taken as financial advice.]

To read the Crypto King’s prior articles or to get in contact directly with him, you can on Twitter (@JbtheCryptoKing) or Reddit. The King is the founder of ANON and actively trades cryptocurrencies.


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Lis 24

Cryptocurrency Winter Special: Two to HODL and One to FODL

This week provides another opportunity for a cryptocurrency HODL vs. FODL analysis. With Black Friday having just passed this is the perfect opportunity to do some shopping.


Cryptocurrency Winter is Here

BTC 00 having fallen more than 30% in the prior week has brought many cryptocurrencies lower with it. However, with a lower BTC comes cheaper cryptocurrencies. This week two cryptocurrencies are highlighted as HODLs: DOCK and VET. With DOCK likely to have the most significant gains of those on this list in the short term. Unfortunately, Bitcoin Gold is highlighted as the FODL of the week.

As the cryptocurrency market progresses through 2018 it is important to distinguish which cryptocurrencies are HODLs (acquisition targets) vs FODLs (possible sells).

The prior months have seen niche market cryptocurrencies trading on major exchanges highlighted. This week 2 HODLS are highlighted: a small cap cryptocurrency and larger cap both in their own respective niche market.

DOCK is one of the smallest market cap cryptocurrencies on Binance providing platform users with ownership of their data. VET is a Top 20 Cryptocurrency by market cap, which specializes in supply chain management.

Both of these coins represent the HODLs of the week. DOCK with a market cap a fraction of VET is likely to post higher returns than VET. VET is the ‘safer’ play while DOCK is more ‘high risk, high reward.’

Bitcoin Gold represents the FODL of the week. BTG is a hardfork of Bitcoin, which allows GPU miners to ‘mine’ the BTG fork instead of the ASICs that are used to mine BTC. GPU mining capability is the predominant benefit of BTG, though that is not enough to keep it relevant in the crypto space.

When analyzing cryptocurrencies, it is important to determine if they are acquisition targets (HODL) or if they are relatively irrelevant in the space (FODL).

DOCK would be the cryptocurrency for those wanting a higher risk, very high reward potential coin. VET is a much lower risk given its substantial list of partnerships but is likely to return a lower percentage based on its market cap. BTG seems to be fading into irrelevancy as their sole purpose is GPU mining of a Bitcoin fork.

DOCK

DOCK 00 has landed on the HODL radar for a plethora of reasons. With a $5.5 million market cap, DOCK has one of the lowest market caps on Binance. DOCK was added to Binance at the end of July during the height of the bear market. It is almost as if the public did not even notice.

When DOCK was added to Binance the price shot up to over $0.07. With the price currently hovering around $0.01 that is an 86% correction since July 30, 2018. Having corrected such an astronomical amount in just the last two months DOCK seems to be poised for a breakout.

What makes DOCK qualify as a niche coin among many cryptocurrencies is what their platform stands for. DOCK gives individuals ownership of their data, specifically rewarding them in DOCK. This allows the user to connect multiple social media accounts through one portal while securely storing your personal data in the cloud. The information you wish to share from the cloud will be rewarded based on what it is.

Currently, we provide free internet data to many corporations by just browsing. Why not be paid for that same data?

The benefits of the DOCK platform are not just for the user. Yes, it is more simple to have all your social media accounts logged in via one platform. Yes, it saves time to be able to pick and choose which aspect of your data can be seen by the public wishing to pay for it. However, the benefits are far greater than one would imagine.

Advertisers can tailor adverts to their consumers without wasting money on uninterested demographics. Users will not be bombarded with adverts unrelated to their lives. Time and money are saved by all parties with platform users receiving the most benefits.

DOCK is an ERC-20 token that has found a way to pay users for the data they had previously shared anyways. It is essential to be able to protect your private information in the cloud, DOCK not only protects it, but it also allows you to profit from of it. If there was a high risk, high reward cryptocurrency to accumulate prior to the bull run, DOCK is one of the top contenders!

This week’s market correction has forced DOCK down another 30% positioning it perfectly for a rebound and this week’s top cryptocurrency.

VeChain (VET)

VeChain (VET) 00 is one of the larger cap cryptocurrencies that has solidified itself as a ‘niche’ specialist.

VET specializes in supply chain management and for the majority of 2018 had a market cap in excess of a billion. Unfortunately, VET has corrected with the rest of the cryptocurrency space and has fallen to the #20 spot on CMC with an impressive list of partnerships.

Partnerships and platforms result in long-term relevancy. VET has an impressive platform, and a more impressive list of partners: DNV (specializing in audits), PriceWaterhouseCoopers (Big 4 Accounting Firm), National Research Consulting (Fortune 1000 Company), Chinese Government (Gui’an New Economic Area), Republic of Cyprus, and BMW. VET has aligned with the largest manufacturers, governments, and companies to ensure the world can take advantage of blockchain supply management technology.

Even with a list of partners who dominate industry VET has continued to slide down the list of largest market cap cryptocurrencies. VET is #20 while BTG is #19. VET has a bigger community, better partnerships, and more niche platform than the majority of cryptocurrencies, especially in the Top 20. Of the cryptocurrencies that make up the Top 20, VET seems most poised for a break out when BTC price stabilizes.

A niche market, partnerships that would make Fortune 500 companies jealous, being on the cutting edge of technology, and a market that has just fallen 70+% all make VET a highly attractive cryptocurrency. Will the returns be as high as DOCK’s? It is unlikely. VET will likely remain a Top 20 Cryptocurrency for years to come while DOCK could fade into oblivion following a major bull run.

Bitcoin Gold (BTG)

It is never fun to discuss cryptocurrencies that one should FODL, but this week it is Bitcoin Gold (BTG).

BTG 00 exists because miners of the BTC network wanted to use GPUs instead of ASICs. BTC went through a hard fork (similar to what they experienced with Bitcoin Cash) resulting in BTG, allowing GPU mining.

However, the cryptocurrency space already has thousands of coins and the ability to mine a BTC knockoff using GPUs is not an important enough reason for BTG to exist.

Any person with GPU miners could mine the highest paying GPU coin, sell the underlying coin for BTC and voila! Problem solved.

The miner is, in essence, mining the real BTC by mining an altcoin and having the user sell it for BTC. There is no need to mine BTG directly instead of a higher paying altcoin and then selling the altcoin for actual BTC.

Recently people have been discussing how Bitcoin has no value because it is infinitely replicable. But this is not true.

Designer purses are also infinitely replicable but each purse that is not ‘genuine’ is fake, a replica, and their value is subsequently impacted. BTG is not BTC regardless of similarities. Mining BTG using GPUs provides the same benefit as mining any other cryptocurrency using GPUs. BTG has no real purpose and is another of BTC’s many unnecessary forks.

Twitter

With a market cap over $250 million, BTG makes up the #19 spot on CMC. This is surprising as it is one spot ahead of VET. BTG has no long-term viability and minimal partnerships when compared to VET.

Solutions exist to mine using GPUs and earn returns in BTC too. There is no reason BTG needs to be that ‘solution’ leading to a market cap larger than VET’s.

The Verdict

Cryptocurrencies that are focused on niche markets that need a blockchain solution are those that are most likely to survive. Those that have partnerships with thriving Fortune 500 companies are the blockchains of tomorrow. The smaller, lesser-known ones, are the cryptocurrencies that could pull off the next 20-100x.

DOCK is the cryptocurrency on this list that has true ‘moon’ potential. If DOCK’s market cap rivals VET’s that means HODLers of DOCK would enjoy a 50x (comparing market caps). Smaller market cap cryptocurrencies are the ones that have the ability to penetrate the Top 20 while having a huge rise in market cap.

Verdict: HODL

VET is perfect for those that enjoy lower-risk cryptocurrencies but want to remain well diversified in unique blockchain niches. Already having a market cap over $250 million VET has the potential to provide significant returns. As VET continues to partner with companies many are familiar with expecting the price to begin to appreciate with the turn of the market.

Verdict: HODL

BTG is a cryptocurrency maintaining a Top 20 spot among all cryptocurrencies when it is fairly irrelevant. The benefits BTG provides are minimal and those that wish to mine BTC using GPUs can mine a more profitable alternative, and sell it for BTC.

Verdict: FODL

[Disclaimer: This views expressed in this article do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist and should not be taken as financial advice.]

To read the Crypto King’s prior articles or to get in contact directly with him, you can on Twitter (@JbtheCryptoKing) or Reddit. The King is the founder of ANON and actively trades cryptocurrencies.


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Lis 19

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will $5k Hold or Are Bulls Being Led to Slaughter?

Bitcoin price (BTC/USD) had a dire week, breaking down last Wednesday from its 2018 consolidation reaching weekly lows of $5200. 


This week started no better with new lows being found after a further selloff at around $5050. Here we take a look at some of the immediate levels trades and investors alike worth paying attention to.

Bitcoin Price: Daily Chart

Bitcoin‘s resilience sustaining prices around $5500, gave up on Monday as the wider trading environment kicked off the week, with markets pushing BTC price 00 down to test $5000.

As the market attempts to adjust to the breakdown, many are trying to work out where the bottom may be. Here we look at a few of the scenarios being contemplated by investors and traders alike.

Weekly Chart

The lows of August – 2015 August 2017 uptrend converges with the lows of the 2018 downtrend around $4400-4800.  There is a distinct lack of historically traded volume between $4800 and $5500, which may explain why the market is currently falling through the current price range with minimal resistance.

Traders may look to this price range for a bounce, marking a 75% discount from December 2017 prices and a psychological level for both buyers and short covering.

A break and close above previous support at $6,100 would signify some confirmation of a longer term bottom.

2015 Bottom

The 2015 bottom was found at the top of the 2012-2013 trend.  If the same is applied to 2019 it again suggests $4800 region may be a significant level of support.

The most bullish scenario that can be presented is that this down move is being induced by a large player tempting sell volume to the market, which was lacking around $6,000, in an attempt to make a large, longer-term buy and hold position.

This kind of trading is known as a fake out trap to run stops and create liquidity to build such a large opposing position, but it really the only hope short-term players have in this market resuming an uptrend.

$3k – A Comparison to 2015

Looking at 2015 the bottom was found resting alongside the 200MA, currently trending towards $3200, which is where the bottom of the volume range currently resides.

This level is where the market last witnessed significant volume, bouncing the market back to $4350 within two weeks.

It is likely that a number of market participants who took profits from above this level, or from those that sold here historically and had to endure the run up to 20k will happily re-enter the market on an 85% retracement

Bitcoin Cash Hashing War

Hashing power has been diverted from the BTC network to provide support to the Bitcoin Cash ‘hash war,’ which goes some way to undermine the network security for Bitcoin.

Game theory in Economics and as applied here, works on the basis that individuals are incentivized with their resources to do what is best for themselves and the group, which in this case would be to mine the more profitable Bitcoin chain, however, there is currently an uneconomical war being conducted meaning that the marginal profitability from mining is being ignored in the quest for dominance over the BCH network.

Its unclear how this war of attrition using SHA 256 resources is directly impacting Bitcoin price, but it would be reasonable to assume that it is not positive to the outsiders looking in and until there is liquidity to dump the opposing chains coins, they will need to use their Bitcoin to provide working capital to cover the marginal cost of production.

The probable outcome is that the losing miners will revert their hash and capital back to the BTC network once a winner has been found.

In Summary, Bitcoin 00 looks likely to continue its downward momentum from here, testing the low volume price ranges, with the closest one closing around $4800, however, the strength of the hands of the Hodlers will be tested.

A large engulfing candle supported by significant volume is the only thing which the bulls want to order from the menu, but where that will occur remains to be seen.

Does Bitcoin price suggest it is now a buyers market? Where is the bottom? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.


[Disclaimer:  The views expressed in this article are the personal opinion of the author and do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist. The information in the article should not be taken as financial advice.]

To get receive updates for the writer you can follow on Twitter (@filbfilb) and TradingView. Images courtesy of Tradingview, Shutterstock.

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Lis 15

Ripple (XRP) Overtakes Ethereum as Second Biggest Crypto By Market Cap

Ripple (XRP) has once again overtaken Ethereum by market cap amid ongoing cryptocurrency market turbulence and bearish sentiment.


Only $100k Separates Ripple and Ethereum

As data from Coinmarketcap confirms, Ripple’s XRP token is now the largest altcoin, losing less than Ethereum in the past 24 hours. As a result, ETH is now in the third-largest cryptocurrency, repeating what has become a pattern in 2018.

As Bitcoinist previously reported, XRP last overtook ETH fairly recently on the back of rumored expansion of the token’s usage.

While not directly affecting Ethereum, the Bitcoin Cash hard fork appeared to hit the asset particularly hard, ETH/USD 00 losing almost 15 percent versus Bitcoin’s 11 percent.

XRP/USD 00 fell 9.2 percent, the difference in market cap between the two altcoins now just $100,000.

No Cause To Celebrate

The short-term success of XRP contrasts with the continued publicity battle Ripple has seen in recent months.

As Ethereum developers forge ahead with major technical developments many have championed, Ripple appears mired in criticism of both its products and senior executives, who have delivered contradictory statements about the company.

In October, CEO Brad Garlinghouse hit back at accusations the network was overly centralized.

“I as the CEO of the company can’t control the XRP ledger. I can’t change a transaction,” he told Cheddar.

“…I think there are a lot of people out there who are waging holy wars, they’re spreading misinformation – and they’re spreading misinformation because they have an economic interest in that.”

Nonetheless, third-party interest in the token remains with news this week surfacing that Japan’s biggest bank wishes to use it as the basis for a cross-border remittance service to Brazil.

Multiple financial institutions are currently considering the concept of Ripple-based remittances, with the company’s xRapid payment network also debuting with XRP as its means of exchange.

What do you think about Ripple overtaking Ethereum? Let us know in the comments below!


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Lis 13

Stock Market Slump Could See Bitcoin Price ‘Make New All-Time High’

Cryptocurrency inventor, fund partner and advocate Max Keiser is predicting new all-time Bitcoin price highs as the stock market tumbled again this week.


Bitcoin to ‘New All-Time High’ as Stock Market Slumps

A drop in share prices for both Goldman Sachs and Apple has equated to an approximately 160-point loss for the Dow Jones November 12, leading Keiser to suggest the index could collapse to below the significant 10,000 barrier in future.

“10 (years) of cash transfusions from central banks – masking the globe’s economic death in 2008 – hasn’t worked,” he wrote on Twitter.

“Dow 10,000 here we come. (Bitcoin) will make new (all-time high).”

The Dow last saw 10,000 during the banking crisis a decade ago, having hovered around 25,000 for most of 2018.

Anticipation Of Crypto Awakening Grows

While Keiser like many other well-known commentators has long heralded a return to form for Bitcoin price 00, cryptocurrency markets have yet to signal their bear market is over this year.

As Bitcoinist has frequently reported in recent months, the anticipation of institutional investor money buoying sideways prices continues to run high. Major crypto assets themselves, however, continue to trend slowly downwards.

Big money remains faithful to the optimistic narrative on Bitcoin, however. Last week, billionaire investor Tim Draper took to the stage at Europe’s largest fintech conference Summit 2018 to double down on his prediction the largest cryptocurrency would hit $250,000 per unit by 2023 at the latest.

He was joined by Blockchain wallet CEO Peter Smith and Managing Capital co-founder Garry Tan. While both stopped short of endorsing the quarter-million figure, there appeared to be unanimous agreement that Bitcoin would be worth more in USD terms by this time next year.

“…My prediction for $250,000 by 2022 – maybe 2023 but in that range – is absolutely solid, but I’m not so sure how we’re going to get there,” Draper said.

What do you think about Max Keiser and Tim Draper’s predictions? Let us know in the comments below!


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Lis 10

Cryptocurrencies to Target for the Next Bull-Run (OAX, XLM, HOT)

Cryptocurrencies OAX, HOT, and XLM are worth looking into if you’re looking for coins with the best chance to outperform Bitcoin price in Q4 2018. 


Small Cap Vs. Low Price Cryptos (A Trader’s Mindset)

The mindset of a cryptocurrency trader in a bull vs. a bear market is vastly different. During the last bull-run, two types of cryptocurrencies had a tendency to ‘pump.’ Ones with very low market caps on big exchanges and those with very low prices.

The coins with low market caps, dedicated teams, with the network to get listed on top exchanges should be acquisition targets heading into the next bull-run vs. the alternative of buying low priced coins.

A very low market cap coin with major unknown quarter four events: OAX, should perform exceptionally well in the short term. 

The market sentiment has continued to shift from the summer of 2018 through the beginning of quarter four. With crypto personalities and technical analysis pointing to a December bull-run, the question becomes fairly obvious: How does one take advantage of the shifting of market sentiment and the possible impending moonshot?

Amusement park ride

The last bull run which concluded 2017 had two main types of cryptocurrencies that saw significant pumps. These two types included very low cost per coin cryptocurrencies regardless of their market capitalization. The other type were coins that had a very low market cap. Coins with a low market cap are the coins which should be targeted vs. the ones that the price seems “cheap” on.

Most individuals who are not accustomed to cryptocurrencies do not realize the importance of market capitalization vs. actual price.

For example: consider 2 cryptocurrencies, one is trading at $0.50 the other at $2.00, the first has a market cap of $100 million, the second has a market cap of $5 million.

Which is the better investment if both are about to have $1 million in demand of the cryptocurrency generated by an announcement?

The answer is the second, with a $5 million market cap and $2.00 price. The reason for this is if $1 million of demand is generated for a cryptocurrency with a $5 million market cap the total market cap will increase to $6 million. This 20% increase in market cap will be reflected by the price increasing by 20%, from $2.00 to $2.40.

The first coin with a market cap of $100 million would now have a market cap of $101 million and the $.50 crypto would have increased to $0.505. If you purchased the cryptocurrency with the lower market cap you would make 20% compared to 2% for the coin with the higher market cap.

With all else equal it is always a better idea to target a lower market cap cryptocurrency vs. one with a ‘lower price.’

OAX has one of the smallest market caps on Binance and is my #1 acquisition target for this reason, along with many others. For those wanting a lower price coin with a significantly higher market cap HOT and XLM are fantastic options.

OAX

OAX 00 is one of the lesser known and discussed cryptocurrencies, which is a great reason to begin targeting it before the Twitter personalities and “whales” begin their accumulation. OAX is also listed on the highest volume exchange, Binance, which is notorious for solely listing tier 1 projects.

So what is OAX’s project that impressed Binance enough to list?

I had the pleasure of discussing with the OAX team many aspects about their project during a recent interview. According to Wayland Chan who is the Technology Lead of the OAX Foundation, by the end of 2018 OAX will “deliver a stand-alone DEX using the work done building a scalable layer 2 solution.” This very significant event is not listed on cryptocurrency calendar websites nor is it commonly known in the space.

What is most impressive about OAX’s decentralized exchange (“DEX”) is that they plan to have an “off-chain order book, off chain order execution, as well as no custody of user assets.” OAX could be the scalable solution that DEX’s have sought for years. The OAX project is very ambitious but having secured a Binance listing their legitimacy should not be challenged.

The first prototype of the DEX was delivered in June and since the developer have been finalizing the layer 2 solution using off-chain solutions to solve the performance problems of blockchains.

According to OAX’s Technology Lead,

We’ve made huge strides…and expect to soon announce some big news that will definitely rock the boat.

As much as I pressed I was unable to get an inside glance at what this ‘breakthrough’ was.

This year, OAX was trading as high as $2.28, having dropped to under $0.35 since. With their platform becoming a reality, now is the perfect time to acquire a position. The future of OAX looks very bright. OAX plans to have a layer 2 working prototype by the end of 2018. Their DEX has the potential to revolutionize the exchange community and the scaling difficulties they face.

ICOs were all the craze at the end of 2017, DEXs are becoming the next craze with looming regulations and government crackdowns already underway. With decentralized exchanges becoming the new ‘hot thing’ and the bear market coming to an end, OAX clearly is an acquire and HODL for traders and investors alike.

OAX is one of the few cryptocurrencies that could re-approach their all-time high, once the crypto community awakens to the significance of their project.

HOT

How does HOT (Holochain) 00 compete against other cryptocurrencies in the space?

HOT has a lower “price per coin” than OAX but their market cap is almost 20x higher than OAX’s. This means if both HOT and OAX received the same amount of publicity the price of HOT would move 5% while the price of OAX would move 100%.

This is the main reason targeting smaller cap cryptos with platforms on the cusp of development makes for better “moonshot” investments than targeting a crypto with a $100 million-plus market cap.

However, HOT does get a unique award for being the least expensive coin on Binance (even though it has a huge market cap). During a bull run new ‘dumb’ money enters the market and they flock to both the cheapest coin and the ones with the lowest market caps (once they get a bit smarter). HOT qualifies as the “cheapest cryptocurrency on Binance,” and therefore money will likely flow into it the minute the markets start moving North.

Understanding market caps makes those looking to choose between HOT and OAX, pick OAX very easily. However, when choosing an investment, it is important to look beyond the market cap. How is the team? What is the product or platform?

Holochain is distributed hosting, owned and run by the users. The goal of HOT is to facilitate businesses and communities to build the next internet paradigm. Their goals seem to be extravagant but the team is continuously pushing forward with their roadmap.

For those wanting to capitalize on new ‘dumb’ money rushing into the crypto space in the next few months, HOT is not a bad option. OAX will likely to provide much higher returns than the larger market cap coins like HOT, however, diversification should not be overlooked for short-term profits.

XLM 

XLM (Stellar Lumens) 00 has been all over the news this week with their announcement of the Blockchain wallet giving away $125 million XLM.

This coupled with their likely imminent addition to Coinbase makes them a short-term speculatively play receiving a lot of attention. With a market cap in the Top 10 cryptocurrencies and a coin value of under $1.00, XLM could post impressive gains.

Stellar: Headed Towards $1?

However, that “moon” that everyone is searching for is unlikely to come from a cryptocurrency with a $1 billion-plus market cap. One can expect reasonable gains following a Coinbase listing but that is truly what all are HODLing for at this point.

Even though XLM is unlikely to post gains associated with coins that have less than a $10 million market cap, they still have plenty of exciting developments occurring.

XLM has partnered with IBM to allow them to use their Stellar network to bring more transparency into their payment structure. Analysts have predicted this partnership could actually replace the current SWIFT/IBAN structure as the global standard. If this partnership results in anything relevant XLM will have moon potential even as a $1 billion-plus market cap cryptocurrency.

Another one of XLM’s unique partnerships is with Veridium and IBM to tokenize carbon credits globally. This is one of many partnerships that will make XLM relevant for the short and long term.

The projects for XLM continue with Stellar X. This is Stellar’s version of a DEX. Also:

  • Open Garden is a project that allows users to turn their phone into a hotspot while earning a reward in XLM for data used.
  • TillBilly is Stellar’s version of a point of sale system, easing the burden of a paper receipt.
  • SmartLands looks to tokenize agricultural lands on the Stellar Network.
  • Sure Remit is one of the leading remittance networks in Africa that allows the transfer of funds. They have partnered with Stellar and have branches in Kenya, Rwanda, and many other African countries.

The list of partnerships and use cases for XLM go on and on. XLM is a great long-term HODL when compared to other cryptocurrencies in the Top 10. However, for significant short-term gains, lower market cap cryptocurrencies with major under the radar events are better options.

Cryptocurrencies Ranked By Risk

As new money rushes into the crypto space it will likely end up in 1 of 2 places: very low-cost coins, or very low market cap coins. Regarding percentage return, it is always better to target low market cap coins, not just ‘low cost’ coins.

This is why OAX is a favorite this week with their DEX on the horizon, a 1 on 1 interview, and a Binance listing; this project is well positioned being one of the smallest market cap coins on Binance. With little public awareness regarding their underlying news, OAX could be one of the most significant gainers of quarter four. If OAX ends quarter four with a market cap of $28 million, it will have returned over 200% for those reading this article.

HOT will likely be a target of ‘dumb’ money searching for a cheap coin on the biggest exchanges. Once they learn what a market cap is they will likely switch their position. The HOT project is a great one, but regarding undervalued cryptocurrencies, there are better options.

XLM may be a Top 10 cryptocurrency but with a Coinbase listing seeming imminent and partnerships that compete with Ripple they will likely post positive returns in the short-term. This is important as they are positioned for long-term success as well. Their short-term gains will likely be inferior to those with micro-caps but their guaranteed success long term reduces a great amount of investor risk.

Those seeking the highest risk, highest reward crypto should target OAX. Those wanting a safer play that is likely to still post positive gains, XLM is the choice. For those wanting to chase dumb money entering the market HOT is an okay choice, but OAX will likely still post better returns based on their market cap being 1/20th of the size.

To read the Crypto King’s prior articles or to get in contact directly with him, you can on Twitter (@JbtheCryptoKing) or Reddit. The King is the founder of ANON and actively trades cryptocurrencies.

[Disclaimer: This views expressed in this article belong solely to the author and do not reflect the views of Bitcoinist. They are intended as opinion for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice.]


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